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Range Of Moves During New Year Could Trigger Turmoil, Opposition Warns: Thailand

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Range of moves during new year could trigger turmoil, opposition warns

The Nation

BANGKOK: -- Thai politics in the new year will be marred by intensifying conflicts caused by both political division and economic problems, political veterans have forecast.

Former Democrat leader Banyat Bantadtan, now a senior party MP, believes the country's gloomy political outlook is a result of four factors that cropped up last year.

The first was the government's adoption of an authoritarian appro-ach in its administration against political opponents - such as the move to press murder charges against Democrat leader Abhisit Vejjajiva and senior MP Suthep Thaugsuban.

"Legal experts all said that these charges are far-fetched. Another incident was the violent crackdown on protesters who were led by General Boonlert Kaewprasit. History shows that wherever there is oppression, there will be more struggle for justice," he said.

The second factor was the rising cost of living and plummeting prices of agricultural produce that have driven street protests by farmers. "If the government ignores the problem, we will witness more rallies this year," he warned.

The third factor was the push to amend the entire Constitution by using a public referendum to legalise the move and claiming the current charter was derived from a dictatorship. This could be another root of political conflict that may turn violent because the public believes the government has a hidden agenda, Banyat said.

The more arrogant and demanding red-shirt movement, he said, was another key factor that would shape political landscape.

If these four factors continue this year, he believes there will be more anti-government rallies.

"The charter amendment and the authoritarianism will be a more powerful catalyst than the other two factors that could bring about political chaos," Banyat said.

Asked if he thought Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra could handle the situation and rein in the red shirts, Banyat said her brother would. "The government has been given the nickname 'First Brother's Government', so 'the brother' will have to rein them in."

As for how "the first brother" would orchestrate political moves this year, Banyat said what the PM's brother Thaksin Shinawatra had done indicated a man of multiple personalities.

"He wants to go on the offensive and fulfil his personal desire, but deep down, he knows if he does that, he will rock the government's stability. So he also tries not to rock the boat so the government holds on to power as long as possible," Banyat said.

Chief opposition whip Jurin Laksanawisit, another senior Democrat, said the government would be a key factor on whether the country suffered political turmoil or not. He listed factors that would cause a crisis of public faith:

- the government breaking the law or allowing corruption;

- the PM showing a lack of leadership;

- the PM avoiding responsibility and failing to keep her promise of not taking revenge;

- the PM allowing interference by power from outside the country;

- the PM managing national affairs for her own group of supporters.

"If the government creates conditions that lead to political conflict, such as amending the charter to whitewash culprits, [or] returns the confiscated money and political rights to a certain group, the country will likely experience political turmoil," he said.

Meanwhile, Deputy Prime Minister and Education Minister Phongthep Thepkanjana said it was likely that amending the charter would take longer than one year. He said that to complete a public referendum alone could take a whole year. The ruling Pheu Thai Party will discuss the matter next Sunday and Monday to gather ideas from all sides.

nationlogo.jpg

-- The Nation 2013-01-01

In the inner workings of Thailand's Political scene, all is not well, one can't see a lot of hope for a united,coherent Thailand , possibly more harsh type of semi dictator moves, ah la brother "T" as he ramps up the pressure , so while you have the present Shincorp family and its rich parasites , with their noses in the trough, expect more of the same in 2013

But did Yingluck not announce that she will push the charter change with or without the referendum? Which means that this entire referendum would be a mockery and profound disrespect for the democratic values. This article is a very good analysis of the threats that are lingering in 2013...

otherwise, as long as this Thaksin is around, there is no solution in sight, and there will never be. Regret to say that there is only one solution to this ever increasing problem!

otherwise, as long as this Thaksin is around, there is no solution in sight, and there will never be. Regret to say that there is only one solution to this ever increasing problem!

Agreed. Mr. Thaksin returns and runs for PM next election. Subsequent to his victory, peace and prosprity will be ensured for thailand. wink.png

otherwise, as long as this Thaksin is around, there is no solution in sight, and there will never be. Regret to say that there is only one solution to this ever increasing problem!

Agreed. Mr. Thaksin returns and runs for PM next election. Subsequent to his victory, peace and prosprity will be ensured for thailand. wink.png

Presumably that would be after he has served his two year prison sentence?

Sorry, I forgot that would make him a released criminal and criminals aren't allowed in Thai politics

Edited by ratcatcher

otherwise, as long as this Thaksin is around, there is no solution in sight, and there will never be. Regret to say that there is only one solution to this ever increasing problem!

Agreed. Mr. Thaksin returns and runs for PM next election. Subsequent to his victory, peace and prosprity will be ensured for thailand. wink.png

Well if he returned the B10 billion his latest charge alleges that he stole while in office, that would help the prosperity.

otherwise, as long as this Thaksin is around, there is no solution in sight, and there will never be. Regret to say that there is only one solution to this ever increasing problem!

Agreed. Mr. Thaksin returns and runs for PM next election. Subsequent to his victory, peace and prosprity will be ensured for thailand. wink.png

Thanks GK you are one of my favorite posters. I love satire and as with you a lot of my posts are strictly satire. You have made my day. Keep up the good work my friend. This calls for another Leo. wai.gif

otherwise, as long as this Thaksin is around, there is no solution in sight, and there will never be. Regret to say that there is only one solution to this ever increasing problem!

Agreed. Mr. Thaksin returns and runs for PM next election. Subsequent to his victory, peace and prosprity will be ensured for thailand. wink.png

Presumably that would be after he has served his two year prison sentence?

Sorry, I forgot that would make him a released criminal and criminals aren't allowed in Thai politics

pardon takes care of that.

otherwise, as long as this Thaksin is around, there is no solution in sight, and there will never be. Regret to say that there is only one solution to this ever increasing problem!

Agreed. Mr. Thaksin returns and runs for PM next election. Subsequent to his victory, peace and prosprity will be ensured for thailand. wink.png

Thanks GK you are one of my favorite posters. I love satire and as with you a lot of my posts are strictly satire. You have made my day. Keep up the good work my friend. This calls for another Leo. wai.gif

whistling.gif

otherwise, as long as this Thaksin is around, there is no solution in sight, and there will never be. Regret to say that there is only one solution to this ever increasing problem!

Agreed. Mr. Thaksin returns and runs for PM next election. Subsequent to his victory, peace and prosprity will be ensured for thailand. wink.png

Presumably that would be after he has served his two year prison sentence?

Sorry, I forgot that would make him a released criminal and criminals aren't allowed in Thai politics

pardon takes care of that.

pardon or amnesty?

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