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World Bank: Climate change could result in 100 million poor


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World Bank: Climate change could result in 100 million poor
By KARL RITTER

STOCKHOLM (AP) — Climate change could push more than 100 million people into extreme poverty by 2030 by disrupting agriculture and fueling the spread of malaria and other diseases, the World Bank said in a report Sunday.

Released just weeks ahead of a U.N. climate summit in Paris, the report highlighted how the impact of global warming is borne unevenly, with the world's poor woefully unprepared to deal with climate shocks such as rising seas or severe droughts.

"They have fewer resources and receive less support from family, community, the financial system, and even social safety nets to prevent, cope and adapt," the Washington-based World Bank said.

How to help poor countries — and poor communities within countries — deal with climate change is one of the crunch issues in talks on a global climate accord that's supposed to be adopted next month in Paris.

Those who say that rich countries aren't doing enough to help the poor said the report added emphasis to demands for billions of dollars in so-called climate finance to developing countries.

"The statistics in the World Bank report are suitably shocking and I hope they force world leaders to sit up and take notice," said Mohamed Adow of Christian Aid. "The Paris deal needs to support the poor and vulnerable communities to cope with unavoidable climate crises better, and to be more resilient to a changed climate."

Despite pledges to rein in emissions of carbon dioxide and other global warming gases, climate change isn't likely to stop anytime soon. Carbon emissions are expected to rise for many years as China, India and other developing countries expand the use of fossil fuels to power their economies.

But efforts to protect the poor, such as generally improving access to health care and social safety nets, and targeted measures to upgrade flood defenses and deploy more heat-tolerant crops could prevent most of the negative consequences of climate change on poverty, the bank said.

"Absent such good development, climate change could result in an additional 100 million people living in extreme poverty by 2030," the report said.

Stephane Hallegatte, one of the authors, told The Associated Press that one of the unique features of the report was that instead of analyzing the macro-economic impact of climate change it was based in part on surveys of 1.4 million people in 92 countries.

"When we ask people why they fall into poverty there are three major factors," he said. "Agricultural shocks, including an increase in food prices; natural disasters such as floods, droughts, storms; and health issues, including malaria, diarrhea."

The report referred to studies showing climate change could result in global crop yield losses as large as 5 percent by 2030 and 30 percent by 2080. It also referenced studies showing warming temperatures could increase the number of people at risk for malaria by 150 million.

Hallegatte said the "hotspots" for climate impacts on poor people were sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia.

The U.S. and other countries have collectively pledged to scale up climate financing to developed countries to $100 billion annually by 2020 to help them adapt to climate change and reduce their emissions. Developing countries are calling for commitments beyond 2020 in the Paris agreement but rich nations are reluctant to make firm promises, in part due to budget uncertainties.

A recent report by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development estimated climate finance flows to developing countries reached $62 billion in 2014.

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-- (c) Associated Press 2015-11-09

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A recent report by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development estimated climate finance flows to developing countries reached $62 billion in 2014.

This hoax is paying quite nice dividends and that's all it's about.

The Washington Post says:
The Arctic Ocean is warming up, icebergs are growing scarcer and in
some places the seals are finding the water too hot, according to a
report to the Commerce Department yesterday from Consulafft, at
Bergen, Norway.
Reports from fishermen, seal hunters and explorers all point to a
radical change in climate conditions and hitherto unheard-of
temperatures in the Arctic zone. Exploration expeditions report that
scarcely any ice has been met as far north as 81 degrees 29 minutes.
Soundings to a depth of 3,100 meters showed the gulf stream still very
warm.
Great masses of ice have been replaced by moraines of earth and
stones, the report continued, while at many points well known glaciers
have entirely disappeared. Very few seals and no white fish are found
in the eastern Arctic, while vast shoals of herring and smelts which
have never before ventured so far north, are being encountered in the
old seal fishing grounds. Within a few years it is predicted that due
to the ice melt the sea will rise and make most coastal cities
uninhabitable.
* * * * * * * * *
I must apologize, I neglected to mention that this report was from
November 2, 1922, as reported by the AP and published in The
Washington Post - 93 years ago.

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What is pushing 100 million (and more) people in to poverty are the in humane tactics of the bankers and private banking families who are controlling the distribution of wealth. The reason climate change is pushing more in to poverty is nothing to do with real 'climate change', it is the Al Gore's of this world whose companies have made billions trading carbon credits, many by purchasing the carbon credits from countries such as Africa (meaning America can use those credits instead of cutting their own emissions) , resulting in the fact that Africa can no longer build any coal power plants and bring much needed electricity to poor regions. Gore and the experts say 'the Africans can use solar panels' !! Sure get someone in a slum or ghetto to spend 2500 USD on a solar panel for the roof of their mud hut facepalm.gif

I know there is no God/Heaven/Hell but I sooo wish their really is so that all these neo-con greedy bas****s can look forward to an eternity roasting in the fires below.

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Another dishonest attempt to pretend that mankind is to blame for everything, through the use of the phrase "climate change".

No. We were explicitly promised "global warming", and lots of it, due to man's activities, and yet the temperature has not risen in 18 years*. With no global warming, there is no damage that can be blamed on global warming.

Hence the constant attempts to divert the narrative into the effects of "climate change". Like other similar parasite organisations, the World Bank has to keep manufacturing "crises" to justify its own existence.

(*or has risen marginally, depending on how you do your statistics)

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Believe it or not, it’s a fact that the earth’s climate is changing (has been for 4.5 billion years or so)!

However, we need to be careful in determining what is actually change per se, and what is (in reality) just part of short- and long-term climate variability cycles. There are many well-documented such “cycles” that have a significant impact on climate over wide areas and quite long time periods – El Niño Southern Oscillation (commonly called ENSO) is perhaps the best known. But a few others include: The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO), and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD).

One problem in deciphering climate variability from climate change is that the effects of each of the climate cycles have different time periods, so they can move in and out of phase with each other to nullify or enhance particular climate patterns over long periods of time (thus giving the appearance of change, rather than variability). Of course, it goes without saying that this is happening in addition to the continuous process of natural climate change.

What is worrying most climate scientists is not so much the natural change (or the variability), rather it is the accelerated effects brought about by human-induced change (generally accepted as starting from the industrial revolution).

In this context, I would have to argue that climate change is not totally to blame for the three factors eluded to in this article as to why people fall into poverty. But, it is certainly a contributor.

Additionally, I’d add two more factors which seem to have been overlooked by the World Bank.

The first (which may not be related to climate change) is political and cultural unrest leading to conflict! Nothing can turn once-productive regions into desolation quicker than a war! Just one current example - the Syrian refugee crisis, labelled the worst humanitarian crisis since World War II!

And the second factor, I believe, is the insidious sea-level rise (currently estimated at up to 3.3 mm/yr). This is most certainly related to climate change, and is especially applicable to much of the Asia, and will have a dramatic impact over time on many of the people now living in its low-lying mega-cities (including Bangkok).

It’s important that the World Bank identify the impact of climate on poor communities (both change and variability) as it goads people into action (the U.S. and others pledging to scale up climate financing to developed countries to $100 billion annually by 2020). However their view of climate change is more from an economic perspective than a scientific one. The definitive source for scientific understanding of climate change is the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), especially through their Assessment Reports, see http://www.ipcc.ch/.

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And the second factor, I believe, is the insidious sea-level rise (currently estimated at up to 3.3 mm/yr). This is most certainly related to climate change, and is especially applicable to much of the Asia, and will have a dramatic impact over time on many of the people now living in its low-lying mega-cities (including Bangkok).

Well, if it's due to climate change, there's nothing we can do about it since, as you point out, climate change has been occurring for 4.5 billion years.

If, on the other hand, it is due to global warming, then we'll just have to see if the warming resumes, or if, as many scientists have said, we're now due for an extended cooling period.

Either way, we will have to wait and see whether homo sapiens is cunning enough to deal with a 1-meter rise in sea level, given we have 300 years to come up with a solution. Given how far we've come in the last 300 years, it really shouldn't be beyond our ingenuity.

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And the second factor, I believe, is the insidious sea-level rise (currently estimated at up to 3.3 mm/yr). This is most certainly related to climate change, and is especially applicable to much of the Asia, and will have a dramatic impact over time on many of the people now living in its low-lying mega-cities (including Bangkok).

Well, if it's due to climate change, there's nothing we can do about it since, as you point out, climate change has been occurring for 4.5 billion years.

If, on the other hand, it is due to global warming, then we'll just have to see if the warming resumes, or if, as many scientists have said, we're now due for an extended cooling period.

Either way, we will have to wait and see whether homo sapiens is cunning enough to deal with a 1-meter rise in sea level, given we have 300 years to come up with a solution. Given how far we've come in the last 300 years, it really shouldn't be beyond our ingenuity.

Would that be with or without the widespread legalization and use of marijuana and other stupefying drugs that human ingenuity may contrive and become addicted to in the next 300 years?

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RickBradford

Global warming is just one aspect of climate change, caused mostly by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

Don't expect the recent pause in warming to continue, as it seems to be an aberration which (according to the British Met Office) has been brought about by changes in the exchange of heat between the upper and deep ocean, especially the Pacific Ocean.

The BMO also suggests that a wide range of observed climate indicators continue to show changes consistent with a globally warming world. They caution that the recent pause in global surface temperature rise does not materially alter the risks of substantial warming of the Earth by the end of this century. Nor does it invalidate the fundamental physics of global warming, the scientific basis of climate models and their estimates of climate sensitivity.

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Global warming is just one aspect of climate change, caused mostly by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

"Global warming" is what we were told to expect in large amounts because of greenhouse gas emissions. All other aspects of man-made "climate change" are supposed to occur simply as a result of that warming. "Global warming" is the origin of all those deleterious effects which have been predicted. No "global warming" = no man-made "climate change."

So let's call it for what it is.

Don't expect the recent pause in warming to continue, as it seems to be an aberration which (according to the British Met Office) has been brought about by changes in the exchange of heat between the upper and deep ocean, especially the Pacific Ocean.

Government scientists have managed, so far, to come up with over 60 different (and often contradictory) excuses for the halt to global warming. Apart from your example, there is:

* Low solar activity

* Chinese coal use (particulates)

* Montreal protocol

* Coincidence

* End of 'global brightening'

* Bad luck

* Lousy data

* Global quasi-stationary waves .. etc etc

Plus the always popular "What pause?" and "Not statistically significant."

It could have been summed up as "We don't have a clue...."

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we need an air, water, and internet page tax......

then sell indulgences......then sell heaven papers.....amulets against hell...

then, after i get all the money in the world....i will get super paranoid and go crazy...

playing god is fun......would you rather play poor???

coffee1.gif

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