Lacessit

The oligarchs are seeing their ruble wealth trashed, and their funds outside Russia frozen. In their shoes, I'd be thinking assassination. Putin opened that door himself by tasking 400 special forces to kill Zelensky.

Russia doubles interest rates as rouble hits record low Interest rate is now 20%. Source: ABC News Australia.

This information is misleading, there is more than one test for residency status in Australia. https://www.ato.gov.au/Individuals/coming-to-australia-or-going-overseas/Your-tax-residency/#Residencytests I still have a domicile in Australia, as I have a financial interest in the house my son owns, and that is my address as far as the ATO is concerned. I will continue to claim Australian residency until the ATO tells me otherwise. It is not up to me to hang myself with whatever rope the ATO has prepared. The other option is to stop putting in the yearly tax return. I know a guy on a full Australian OAP here who has not put in a tax return for the ten years he has been here. His pension has not been taxed at the 32% rate you mention. It seems to be a grey area, my advice would be don't poke the bear.

As I have no further interest in Western women, I would not care whether they were nice to me. Women world-wide want support, it is hardwired into them. The trick for men is to stay in control of the purse strings. It's a double standard, Western women are all for equality until they resort to the legal system to get what they want, but have not earned.

The Russian Central Bank has been interdicted by Western sanctions. It can't sell gold or forex through legal channels to prop up the ruble, Maintaining the stability of a country's currency is the role of all central banks, and they are normally sacrosanct in the world financial system. Blocking one of them out is unprecedented. I expect the ruble to fall further, wars cost money.

My son would give me a place to stay if I went back to Australia, which is increasingly unlikely. I sold my house because it was a major PITA in terms of maintenance and costs. It freed up enough capital to enable me to live in Thailand very comfortably. In the very unlikely event my Thai GF and I were to split, she would have a house which she is welcome to keep. Her income would stop. I suppose that keeps her motivated. I still keep 70% of my assets in Australia, the 30% I have here is mostly cash. I don't "own" property here either, why would I do that in a country where I can be kicked out on a whim? Thai family law is much more sensible and equitable than Australian family law, which is so heavily biased towards women I wonder why any men there still maintain a relationship beyond one year. In hindsight, I would not have.

Models are based on assumptions, sometimes from fact, sometimes not. I'm a model sceptic, it only takes one assumption to be incorrect, and the whole model collapses like a house of cards. Prove me wrong, show me in the history of modelling there are more accurate models than inaccurate ones.

I did read one headline that claimed Putin had tasked 400 special forces soldiers to assassinate the Ukrainian PM. I'd say returning the favor would be quite in order. I remember the British dented German morale quite badly when they bombed Berlin, trashing Goering's boast it would never happen. Perhaps the Ukrainians should start thinking along those lines, remember when Mathias Rust landed in Red Square?

That's a statistical sample of one, I would need a bigger sample size. Only time will tell if BTC is a Ponzi or not. It took the American SEC over 40 years to catch up with Madoff. Saying older people are wrong because they reject a form of "investment" they don't understand is wrong in itself. What is your evidence cryptocurrencies are NOT a scam?

Not strange at all. I understood it, and I'm an old fart.

Guilty as charged. I'm solvent, have no debt, I'll be leaving money when I die. Gold, silver and platinum. I've seen timber plantations, property funds, CFD's and CDO's come and go. To me, a stream of electrons is even more ephemeral. Why is it the young think they are smarter than the old? We have the benefit of experience. Floating around in cyberspace may give you the knowledge to change a car tire, but nothing beats actually doing it.

Something to fill in the time, I'm going to watch Reacher instead.

I suppose I'll get to that eventually.

I might just surprise you. My pulse rate is under 60 bpm, look up where that puts me in terms in terms of physical fitness for my age. No chore for me, I am always looking forward to my next bonk. It's something for you to look forward to.

While I accept that, IME my GF has never put limits on the amount of sex I can have.

I'm afraid we are discussing at cross-purposes, if you care to go back through my posts on this thread IMO you will find I am a few light years away from being an apologist for Russia. The problem IS Putin, he is obsessed with restoring the USSR, and has said so. He also has a track record of poisoning/murdering any effective opposition over that 20 years. It's like one hand clapping, how do Russians vote for anyone else if there is no one to lead? You're not wrong in saying the cost will be high for ordinary Russians, but lumping them in with a megalomaniac who has surrounded himself with yes-men is not being an apologist.

I am wondering if the OP spends a lot of time looking at his reflection in a pool.

Could you please explain why independent Russian media has been instructed to stop referring to the invasion of the Ukraine as war, etc., and only use the term "special military operation" under threat of heavy fines and/or prison? You think that is not censorship? Russia ( Putin ) is blocking Twitter and Facebook to stop its citizens from discussing the number of bodybags occupied by their children that will be coming back to their neighborhoods. That is censorship too. This war is going to impact them personally, when exports are curtailed the only people with money will be the oligarchs, who are running out of places to hide their wealth, and won't be able to transfer it safely. Putin and his generals planned a clean, surgical military operation that would take over Ukraine in a few days. They prepared the ground with a barrage of propaganda over the last 6 months. He is now finding out, as von Moltke said, no plan survives contact with the enemy.

I would have accepted the Eastern European nations joining NATO are doing it for a reason, and move on. In my thinking, with Russia's military might, those nations joined NATO for defense. It's ludicrous to think of NATO attacking Russia. Of course, Putin's thinking is different. He sees NATO as a threat. He would do better to be focusing on the East. History shows the most grievous wounds inflicted on the Russian psyche originated there. In the West, Russia gave as good as it got. The official language of Ukraine is Ukrainian. The fact some Ukrainians speak Russian is about as relevant as Dutchmen speaking German.

Critical thinking says Ukrainians do not speak Russian, they speak Ukrainian. Different alphabet, different vocabulary. https://askanydifference.com/difference-between-russian-and-ukrainian/ The historical and cultural claims IMO are BS, the strategic claims may be valid from a Russian point of view. I can buy a need for the Russians to prevent the Ukraine from joining NATO. I don't buy the need for an invasion to achieve that end. One does not need critical thinking to know Putin wants to restore the USSR to its former "glory". He has said it himself. His idea of that concept, and those of the Ukraine and Baltic states, probably differ substantially. Remove Putin, and I suspect the Russian hierarchy would become much more pragmatic, a la Gorbachev.

Von Moltke: " No plan survives contact with the enemy". Mike Tyson: " Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth". I don't know what the true figures are either, but I'd say the plan is probably ailing.

I understand it was Thomas Macaulay who remarked on the Russian aristocracy "dripping with pearls and vermin". "Journey into Russia" by Sir Lauren van der Post is one of the best books I have read on how ordinary Russians are generous and hospitable, while subject to one of the world's most stifling political systems, and led by people with all the wrong motives. Peter and Catherine were probably the only leaders they had that were worthy of the name.

Latest news: The EU and USA will cut Russian banks out of the SWIFT payment system. In trying to restore the USSR, Putin does not realize he is now taking his country back to the depths of the Cold War, when Russia stagnated. It is ordinary Russians who will suffer, not that he cares. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-02-27/russia-ukraine-war-live-blog-updates-kyiv/100865142#live-blog-post-1209109667

I seem to remember America was supplying Stinger missiles to the Afghans when Russia was occupying that country, history is repeating itself. I think the Ukrainians will keep on fighting even if the Russians succeed in occupying the major cities, it's a big country with a lot of scope for guerrilla warfare. They are not craven poltroons.

I call that dodging the question. You're on ignore now, because I find your abject attitude towards a thief and murderer quite disgusting.