Some U.S. allies caught in crossfire of sanctions on Russian arms

[webfact]

Some U.S. allies caught in crossfire of sanctions on Russian arms

By Sanjeev Miglani

 

FILE PHOTO: Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a plenary session of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) Summit, in Xiamen, China September 4, 2017. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu/File photo

 

NEW DELHI (Reuters) - U.S. sanctions on Russian military exports have put the brakes on a $6 billion deal with India and may derail the arms purchases of other U.S. allies around Asia, experts say.

 

Under a law that U.S. President Donald Trump signed in August, any country trading with Russia's defence and intelligence sectors will face sanctions.

 

The law is designed to punish Russian President Vladimir Putin for the 2014 annexation of Crimea from Ukraine, involvement in the Syrian civil war and meddling in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

 

But American allies who buy weapons and equipment from Russia, the world's second-largest arms exporter, could suffer as well.

 

The highest-profile example is India, which wants to buy five S-400 long-range surface-to-air missile systems that the country's military sees as a game changer. The systems are touted as being able to counter the ballistic missiles and stealth aircraft that China is developing, while overwhelming the capabilities of Pakistan, India's other main adversary.

 

The deal, which Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi struck as part of an inter-government agreement in 2016, has run headlong into the U.S. sanctions law, two officials in Delhi said.

 

Indonesia and Vietnam also buy weapons from Russia while being regional partners of the United States. Jakarta closed a $1.14 billion pact for Sukhoi fighters recently, while Vietnam is seeking more jet fighter-bombers from Russia.

 

And with both Almaz-Antey Air and Space Defense Corporation, which makes the S-400, and Rosoboronexport, which negotiates Russian export deals, listed as under sanction, those deals have become trickier.

 

"The optics of a major arms purchase from Russia looks quite 'iffy' from the point of view of Western capitals, especially at a time when Russia-West relations are at an all-time low and India seeks strategic convergence with the West, including with the U.S." said Abhijnan Rej, a defence strategy expert at Observer Research Foundation, a New Delhi think tank.

 

The U.S.-led airstrikes this month against facilities of the Syrian government, an ally of Russia, has further aggravated tensions between the superpowers.

 

A Russian source close to the Indian S-400 deal said "a lot will depend on the confidence and sanity of our Indian partners."

 

WIDER IMPACT

The effects of the U.S. sanctions law could be more sweeping than intended, said Cara Abercrombie, a visiting scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

 

Vietnam, whose air force flies Russian-made Su-30 fighters and uses the S-300 air defence system, wants to continue modernising its inventory.

 

Vietnamese military scholar Carl Thayer said he believed Moscow was still pushing Hanoi to invest in state-of-the-art S-400 missile defences as part of its long-term military plans.

 

"I think it is clear that Russia is still pressing Vietnam for big deals," Thayer said, noting that the two countries already have had reciprocal visits by defence ministers this year.

 

But with the United States working hard to promote sales of American military hardware, and sanctions against Russia's exporting agencies, Vietnam's plans could prove overly costly.

 

Indonesia, meanwhile, said the delivery of the first couple of Sukhoi Su-35 jets out of a total of 11 is on track for this year. Officials said that so far they did not anticipate any changes to the deal with the Russians.

 

Indonesian defence officials declined to describe what, if anything, they might do to tackle the fallout of the sanctions imposed on Russian arms sales.   

 

A THORNY PROBLEM

Indian Foreign Secretary Vijay Gokhale and Defence Secretary Sanjay Mitra held discussions with U.S. officials in Washington last month to try to find a solution, a second Indian official said.

 

The issue is crucial to the Indian military, because without Russian parts, supplies and maintenance help, "our ships won’t sail, our planes won’t fly," the official said. "We can hardly be the regional security provider that America wants us to be at this rate."

 

One way to avoid secondary sanctions would be if the U.S. determines that India is reducing its dependence on Russian arms, said Atman Trivedi, managing director of Hills & Company, a Washington-based firm that advises on international trade and investment.

 

Russian hardware represented 62 percent of the country's total weapons imports during the past five years, compared with 79 percent in 2008-2012, the Stockholm Peace Research Institute said in a report last month.

 

The U.S. administration could also declare that imposing sanctions on India, a major defence partner, would hurt U.S. national security interests. That would allow a waiver permitting India to do business with Russia.

 

The United States has emerged as India's No. 2 weapons supplier, closing $15 billion worth of deals over the last decade. Now Lockheed Martin and Boeing are leading the race to provide India with a fleet of new fighter-bombers, one of the world's largest open tenders.

 

"The intent of the legislation was never to disrupt U.S.-India defence relations, which Congress has repeatedly recognised in law as a strategic priority to the U.S.," said Benjamin Schwartz, aerospace and defence head at United States India Business Council.

 

Abercrombie of Carnegie added that if Congress grants waivers to India, it may also need to do so for other countries such as Vietnam and Indonesia.

 

"The bottom line: India warrants an exemption from these secondary sanctions, as does any country with which the U.S. is forging new and strategically important defence relations," she said.

 

(Additional reporting by Greg Torode in HONG KONG, Gleb Stolyarov in MOSCOW and Kanupriya Kapoor in JAKARTA; Editing by Gerry Doyle)

 

-- © Copyright Reuters 2018-04-24

[billd766]

How arrogant and ignorant of Trump as usual.

 

Does he not think, (silly question I know) things through before he tweets.

 

Sanctions work both ways.

 

He is making America into an isolationist state rather than maintaining its position as a world leader and forcing allies into choosing sides.

[DoctorG]

If I was India I would be saying, sorry, we are your friend, but no can do.

The US would never apply sanctions on India.

[bristolboy]

2 hours ago, billd766 said:

How arrogant and ignorant of Trump as usual.

 

Does he not think, (silly question I know) things through before he tweets.

 

Sanctions work both ways.

 

He is making America into an isolationist state rather than maintaining its position as a world leader and forcing allies into choosing sides.

This one is not Trump's responsibility.

 Trump Signs Russian Sanctions Into Law, With Caveats

President Trump signed legislation on Wednesday imposing sanctions on Russia and limiting his own authority to lift them, but asserted that the measure included “clearly unconstitutional provisions” and left open the possibility that he might choose not to enforce them as lawmakers intended.

The legislation, which also includes sanctions on Iran and North Korea, represented the first time that Congress had forced Mr. Trump to sign a bill over his objections by passing it with bipartisan, veto-proof majorities. Even before he signed it, the Russian government retaliated by seizing two American diplomatic properties and ordering the United States to reduce its embassy staff members in Russia by 755 people.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/02/world/europe/trump-russia-sanctions.html

[lionsincity]

at what point does the rational world form a coalition against this out of control USA?

[tonbridgebrit]

What is the problem ?  Sanctions against Russia will harm imports of Russian military hardware ?  So, some of America's allies will not be allowed to import lots of Russian military hardware.

The solution, surely, is blindingly obvious ? It's this. How about America's allies will all be banned from buying Russian military stuff, and they will buy American military hardware ??

This will mean more profits for America's defence contracters, and more jobs in America.
"India, what's so amazing about Russia's weapons ?  Surely, the American stuff is just as good ? Why have you got something against American weapons ?"

[billd766]

12 hours ago, tonbridgebrit said:

What is the problem ?  Sanctions against Russia will harm imports of Russian military hardware ?  So, some of America's allies will not be allowed to import lots of Russian military hardware.

The solution, surely, is blindingly obvious ? It's this. How about America's allies will all be banned from buying Russian military stuff, and they will buy American military hardware ??

This will mean more profits for America's defence contracters, and more jobs in America.
"India, what's so amazing about Russia's weapons ?  Surely, the American stuff is just as good ? Why have you got something against American weapons ?"

 

Why should any country be dictated to as to where they buy thier weapons? 

 

The only people who care about more profits for America's defence contracters, are the US defence contractors. 

 

The USA under Trump is isolating itself from the world without thinking the consequences through.

[mrwebb8825]

On 25/4/2561 at 11:49 AM, billd766 said:

 

Why should any country be dictated to as to where they buy thier weapons? 

 

The only people who care about more profits for America's defence contracters, are the US defence contractors. 

 

The USA under Trump is isolating itself from the world without thinking the consequences through.

1st you blindly blame President Trump and when you were shown the error of your thinking, you want to blame him anyway? 

The OP clearly states the main concern from India is that they already have over 60% Russian arms and that those arms need Russian parts and maintenance. You can't expect them to just say "Oh well, we've got an extra $100 billion. We'll just replace everything tomorrow."

President Trump knew but had little choice. This one's all on congress. If you check the vote, it was largely democrats and a few republicans like R. Paul who voted while chanting "Better dead than red!".