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Britons would now vote to stay in EU, want second referendum: poll


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5 hours ago, nontabury said:

How do you know, that a no deal exit would be terrible for the U.K.

The truth Is you Don’t know, unless your prepared to follow the wisdom of Cameron, George Osbourne, Nick Clegg, Mark Charney, Christine Lagarde, who all predicted that catastrophe would immediately follow if we were to foolishly Democratically vote to leave this so called union.

Much better to actually leave, and then if there are enough people unhappy, after say 20yrs, they could form their own party, with the intention of re-shackling our nation to the whims of the Bureaucrats in Brussels.

My argument is economic for the UK. I do have sympathy for the social arguments made by others in this thread. But, without economic prosperity, the rest doesn't count for much, and you don't have to worry about immigrants taking jobs if there are no jobs to take. My views are informed by a lifetime of involvement in global trade. I know how global supply chains are formed. I know how companies make decisions about where to buy and sell things long term based on costs, tariffs, FTAs (free trade agreements), common markets, and especially the massive clout of being part of the EU, as a negotiating trade bloc.

The EU is the world's largest and most powerful trading bloc. And, like it or not, this trend toward isolationism that we have seen in both the UK and US, as exhibited by Brexit, as well as the Trump administration pulling out of TPP trade bloc, ceding control to China with RCEP, starting trade war with China, etc., results in exiting large trade blocs and becoming less desirable and competitive on the world markets. The US and UK are not comparable in this regard however, because the US is the largest single country market for good and services worldwide, so carries tremendous clout on its own merits that the UK doesn't have. It is nonsense to think the UK can negotiate by itself with countries (and more importantly cause global MNCs to shift supply chains) to an extent that keeps the level of prosperity enjoyed under being in the EU.

 

So, the UK, by going forward with Brexit, is seriously making itself less attractive to global buyers and sellers, and relegating itself to a 2nd class position. None of the other economies the size of the UK rely on unilateral negotiations on trade. What makes you think the UK can get away with it in a globalised world?

 

A Hard Brexit would be a long hard fall on hard times for the UK, and May's deal is severely flawed. To me the answer is clear as others have advanced in this thread: a new referendum with two choices: take May's deal and get out, or remain. 

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14 hours ago, welovesundaysatspace said:

Come on, Brexiteers don’t even understand what WTO rules mean, so much that they even reply with completely irrelevant off-topic taken from dubious weblogs that look like my little nephew has created it in Microsoft Frontpage (see user evadgib).

 

If you're so bright and Brexiteers are so dense that they don't understand what the WTO rules mean why don't you enlighten them by spending a few minutes of your time writing a couple of paragraphs informing them what these rules do actually mean and how said rules will affect us in the future.

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12 hours ago, Spidey said:

May's deal is terrible. No deal is worse. That's why we need another vote.

 

If you don't think that the economy is going to suffer with no deal, just look what's happening now with the threat of no deal.

 

Thinking that "it'll be alright on the night" is, as I said, pure madness. Ask anyone who understands something about the economy. 40 baht/£ ? Say goodbye to the halcyon days of the exchange rate.

 

 

 

The UK's economy was not that clever long before June 2016.

 

Why are you so concerned about getting 40 baht for your GBP. The Brexit issue is a lot more far reaching and involved than how much visitors to and expats living in the LOS get to spend on booze and women.

 

Wait till you get 32 B for your quid like we did in 1984 under Maggie Thatcher's govt then worry.

 

But we'll still be leaving the EU if we can still expect to trust our leaders.

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10 hours ago, Loiner said:

Exactly why we must Leave now! Jobs are for the native population, not for imported zero hour wage slaves.

While Remain loving business owners have enjoyed the cheap labour of Eastern and Southern Europe, local workers have either not been able to get jobs or have been ground down to the same pay levels. The ones who can't get a job resort to benefits. Why should the UK taxpayer be supporting locals on the dole, while the EU nationals are leaving their own stricken countries economies to undercut ours? Even from a purely capitalist view point, that principle is not acceptable.

 They are not just resorting to benefits. I live in London where acid attacks, stabbings, robbery, smash and grabbing, muggings and crime in general is at an all time high. It's the crime capital of Europe.

 

Why are these young criminals not working like previous generations did. There are no jobs for young working class Londoners because they get snapped up by foreign immigrants that's why.

 

Anyone with an EU passport can go wherever he wants and work for whatever someone wants to pay him and if he can't get a job he gets the same hand outs as any one who is born in Britain and has paid into the pot since they left school.

 

Our youngsters no longer know what a work ethic is and is one of the reasons the UK is commonly referred to as Broken Britain. Our politicians have engineered this state of affairs so their businessmen pals can get bigger profits. More people = more workers = smaller wages = more profit.

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10 hours ago, Loiner said:

Dodgy Dave, Remainer MPs, Economists, Academics, Elitists, EU themselves, and every other rider on the EU gravy train threw all they had at it. Because the had invested so much effort in their ProEU campaign and Project Fear, they believed their own polls and thought they had it in the bag. That's why they are in the mire now, they didn't prepare for a Brexit, because they were confident Remain would win.

Fortunately more of the UK public can see through the bull than those who couldn't. Hence Brexit - no deal, no more delay.

Good post. Bang on the nail.

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13 hours ago, Spidey said:

May's deal is terrible. No deal is worse. That's why we need another vote.

 

If you don't think that the economy is going to suffer with no deal, just look what's happening now with the threat of no deal.

 

Thinking that "it'll be alright on the night" is, as I said, pure madness. Ask anyone who understands something about the economy. 40 baht/£ ? Say goodbye to the halcyon days of the exchange rate.

 

 

Seems you're upset about the exchange rate. A weak pound has benefits as well as drawbacks. For example, you may bring money into Thailand so it's bad for you. I send money out of Thailand so it's good for me. The same applies to imports and exports. The UK is a very attractive place for foreigners to invest with the pound so weak, you get a lot for your dollars, Yuen etc.

 

What exactly is happening now that's so bad? Everything seems fine "Despite" Brexit. Remember all the doom merchants saying we'd lose 500,000 jobs just on a vote to leave? Not leaving, just a vote to leave. Emergency budget? GDP 3.6% lower etc. Never happened, the UK is doing well and will do even better once the uncertainty is over and we leave on WTO terms.

 

Project Fear failed before the vote and hopefully will fail again before we leave.

 

 

 

 

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9 hours ago, AlexRich said:

It’s a fact that those who voted Brexit were generally lower on educational attainment. 

They may not have attended 'uni' but had much more experience of real life and having to earn a living.

 

It's common knowledge and a well known fact that those with higher levels of education have attained those levels at the price of common sense.

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8 hours ago, sjaak327 said:

The one with a margin so tiny one still has to ask the question how democratic it really was. Such a profound decision IMHO should have a much greater margin than the one held two years ago. 

 

Why are you afraid of another referendum ? 

 

 

It was an overwhelming majority of over half a million people. If there's another RFDM we'll increase that leave majority to over one million.

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48 minutes ago, yogi100 said:

It's common knowledge and a well known fact that those with higher levels of education have attained those levels at the price of common sense.

Then you will have no problem with proving this???

 

I do not believe a word of it. Absolute nonsense (but it does explain why some Brexiteers think they have had enough and no need of experts....)

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7 minutes ago, whatsupdoc said:

Then you will have no problem with proving this???

 

I do not believe a word of it. Absolute nonsense (but it does explain why some Brexiteers think they have had enough and no need of experts....)

Unfortunately, this is the same demographic type profile that got Trump elected, and allows his unsubstantiated, lack of intellectual rigour approach to gain widespread appeal. It provides easy solutions to complex problems that appeal to emotional arguments, ethnocentrism, and isolationism.

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1 hour ago, JonnyF said:

Seems you're upset about the exchange rate. A weak pound has benefits as well as drawbacks. For example, you may bring money into Thailand so it's bad for you. I send money out of Thailand so it's good for me. The same applies to imports and exports. The UK is a very attractive place for foreigners to invest with the pound so weak, you get a lot for your dollars, Yuen etc.

 

What exactly is happening now that's so bad? Everything seems fine "Despite" Brexit. Remember all the doom merchants saying we'd lose 500,000 jobs just on a vote to leave? Not leaving, just a vote to leave. Emergency budget? GDP 3.6% lower etc. Never happened, the UK is doing well and will do even better once the uncertainty is over and we leave on WTO terms.

 

Project Fear failed before the vote and hopefully will fail again before we leave.

 

 

 

 

The unemployment figures can be deceptive with many on minimum hours employment schemes and many in their late teens and twenties registered as 'students'.

 

Look at the economically inactive figures for those of working age as well. There are over 8.5 million of them.

 

Our manufacturing base has been drastically reduced in the few decades we've been in the various versions of the EU. More people are now employed in the public sector of the UK than in our manufacturing industries.

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39 minutes ago, yogi100 said:

 

Just take a look around British towns and cities and you'll see our young unemployed youth loitering about while foreign scabs are doing the jobs our people have traditionally worked at for donkeys' years.

 

And as we all know young men with time on their hands invariably get up to no good. This free movement of labour is turning the UK into a social disaster zone particularly in our urban areas. Just so employers can access cheap labour.

Unemployed told to leave Ireland in desperate move to slash welfare costs

Ireland is asking its citizens to leave the country if they can't find a job in a desperate bid to slash welfare costs.

The Irish government has sent letters to approximately 6,000 unemployed people suggesting they should take jobs in other European countries in an effort to reduce unemployment benefits, the Financial Times has reported.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/unemployed-told-to-leave-ireland-in-desperate-move-to-slash-welfare-costs-9002720.html

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10 minutes ago, yogi100 said:

You disprove it.

 

Take a university wallah and see how he gets on working on a building site or a job that requires practicality and see for yourself.

 

You'll give him a shovel or a wheel barrow and he'll spend the next twenty minutes looking for the starter button!

Why? We pay others to do those jobs. The people who do such work compete on price, subject to a minimum wage. You want more? Learn a skill? Join a Union.

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