1.8M People infected in New York?

[timendres]

Cuomo has reported that testing in New York suggests that as many as 1.8 Million people have been infected with COVID-19.

 

 

[impulse]

Probably not. 

 

I suspect there's some bias in who took the time and effort to get tested.

 

[Wars]

7 hours ago, impulse said:

Probably not. 

 

I suspect there's some bias in who took the time and effort to get tested.

Agreed been stuck in New York City. I highly doubt those numbers are correct. Some boroughs of the city have more than others. Like Queens is heavily testing positive in certain areas. It's not as bad as it seems as the news makes it out to be. 

 

[timendres]

Responses to the tweet raise the questions of methodology and bias. But I do believe that the infection rate in the US is much higher than people think it is.

 

This article suggests significant transmissions in February in California:

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-04-11/bay-area-coronavirus-deaths-signs-of-earlier-spread-california

which makes sense, since Chinese travelers were pouring into the US, just like here (in lower numbers of course).

 

Considering that doctors believe the infections can double in as few as 4 days, and you have some serious numbers. And if you look at the cases across the US, which essentially blankets the country, and think about the travel required to create that coverage, I suspect the virus was traveling the country long before it was considered an issue. It suggests that the US is possibly well past 5M.

[DrTuner]

Any idea how many of the positives were asymptomatic? There seems to be more and more evidence from these early antibody tests that there were a lot of them already in January.

Edited April 24, 2020 by DrTuner