WHO reports record daily increase in global coronavirus cases, up over 230,000

[J Town]

7 minutes ago, Krataiboy said:

Thanks for that. Do you have a source?

PM sent.

[Bkk Brian]

31 minutes ago, Krataiboy said:

The operative word is "may". What, one wonders is the scale and and prevalence of these alleged side effects? Also, it is know that other viral infections, such as flu and mumps can lead to long-lasting nd serious complications.

 

 

You can satisfy your curiosity be googling "covid 19 long haulers" dozens of articles, studies and facts.

[J Town]

1 minute ago, Bkk Brian said:

You can satisfy your curiosity be googling "covid 19 long haulers" dozens of articles, studies and facts.

Is there a link explaining how it's a Democratic hoax? Asking for a friend.

[Paradise Pete]

12 hours ago, nobodysfriend said:

It is not only the mortality rate ... people who were cured of the virus and left hospital may suffer severe side effects such as permanent lung , liver and kidney damage , and even brain damage ...

You mean it's not like the movies, where if a character doesn't die from his wounds he will be perfectly fine in the next scene?

[Yme]

11 hours ago, Boomer6969 said:

You base your assertion on CFR (Case Fatality Rate) which is not representative of the actual risk we are exposed to. Of relevance is the IFR (Infection Fatality Rate = Number people who succumbed/ Number of people infected), which most researchers estimate at 0.6%/0.7%. I say estimate because we still don't have solid figures on the number of asymptomatic COVID carriers.

But I can forgive you since you are supposed to be Thai, hence less anal about numbers than us Farang. For instance Thais understand that the official zero domestic COVID cases means "not many, but still enough to wear masks." while we Farang understand zero as "dead centre between +infinity and -infinity". 

"The IFR (Infection Fatality Rate = Number people who succumbed/ Number of people infected), which most researchers estimate at 0.6%/0.7%".

Is only valid after the last case is complete given that the time from infection until time of death can be +20, +30 +40 days or more. It also varies greatly by region. 

A Spanish study of 60,000 cases earlier this year found an IFR of  1.1%

The Meyerowitz-Katz Merone study found 0.49–1.01% (0.75%)

and the Grewelle & De Leo study found 0.77–1.38% (1.04)

The only accurate measure while there are active cases is to base it on completed cases (number of discharged + number of dead). Up until midnight GMT July 12 it was 7.00%. Based on all infections - of which a certain percentage will die -- it was  4.38%. 

Among the 10 Asean member countries it was 4.80% and 2.81%

 

A much better measure is deaths per million population. 

The full Spanish study is here

https://www.ciencia.gob.es/stfls/MICINN/Ministerio/FICHEROS/ENECOVID_Informe_preliminar_cierre_primera_ronda_13Mayo2020.pdf