Thailand braces for heaviest rainfall in 30 years

[billd766]

5 hours ago, SiamRead said:

If they predict the highest rainfall in more than 30 years, it's good ! But why must there be a warning  ?

How about a warning for flash flooding, landslides, roads and bridges being washed away for starters. Damage to houses and crops is possible as well.

 

It gives farmers and householders a heads up on what may happen so that they can prepare the best they can. It also alerts village chiefs to keep an eye on th elderly people living alone who may need help.

1 hour ago, owl sees all said:

Any amount wold be welcome up here.

 

Just looked on the world map and they say Nth Isaan 'could' have some rain during the next 10 days.

 

If you use this link and change the area to the one nearest to you you may get a better understanding.

 

https://www.tmd.go.th/en/province.php?id=8

 

For the next week KPP is forecasted to get 10% to 40% chance of heavy rain. I heard a lot of thunder to the north west of us this afternoon but nothing came our way.

 

 

From the 1st January 2021, Kamphaeng Phet province has only had 49mm of rain and 46mm fell in one day.

 

We have been living in  rural KPP for nearly 17 years and 2020 was the driest of all since the big rains of 2011.

[Artisi]

4 hours ago, Yorkshire Tea said:

Last big floods were in 2011.  So, biggest rainfall in 30 years must be biblical.

If the floods 30 years ago were bigger than 2011, they must have really been something to write home about. 

[ParkerN]

Just now, kickstart said:

It was Yingluck as PM ,she had not been in the job long ,all I heard around here was Mi- Mee- Brasop- Gun.no experience of the job ,the media found an 85 plus year old woman who could remember the last big floods in Bangkok ,she was only a kid then .

Considering the situation she did ok ,the problem was all the local big shots wanting they own  publicity by give out food parcels ,and rubber boats' etc.  

 

Yup. Your recollection coincides with mine on this... Not that it did YS any good, but she was as good a PM as any and better than most in TL, yet fell victim to the same forces as her brother. The Thai people didn't fare very well from the shenanigans... Someone did but she didn't. Still, the last chapter has yet to be written I suspect

[MasterBaker]

14 hours ago, keith101 said:

The Meteorological Department has warned that from early May, the average rainfall would be the highest in more than 30 years. Where is TAT mentioned ?

you didn't get it, did you?

[Wiggy]

14 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

have a total water volume of approximately 9,417 million cubic metres, or 38 per cent of the reservoir capacity, with approximately 2,748 million cubic metres of usable water.

Only 29% of the water in the dams is useable? That doesn’t seem very efficient. And why is the other 71% unusable. What’s wrong with it? 

[mrfill]

13 hours ago, Yorkshire Tea said:

Last big floods were in 2011.  So, biggest rainfall in 30 years must be biblical.

Indeed and an academic report described them as the worst in 50 years .....

 

http://ccouc.org/_asset/file/2thailandfloods.pdf

[PGSan]

14 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:

they have a 50/50 chance of being correct

Is it known to be exactly 50%?  On all predictions? 

[PGSan]

51 minutes ago, Wiggy said:

Only 29% of the water in the dams is useable? That doesn’t seem very efficient. And why is the other 71% unusable. What’s wrong with it? 

What does ‘efficiency’ mean in this context?  The 71% is the same water, so there is nothing wrong with it.  It is simply not accessible as it is impossible to get the water level in the reservoir down below some minimum.

[tonray]

12 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:

Fair enough.  That happens where I am in Bangkok.  The street in front of our condo will get rain and my side of the building will not, go figure.

Does that mean you have to go to the far side of the building to get ice cream ?

[BoganInParasite]

Be nice if they can fix the Nan weather radar before that. Seems to have three modes atm...not working, working but seemingly unable to detect rain in many directions and displaying out of date images.

[tonray]

Just now, BoganInParasite said:

Be nice if they can fix the Nan weather radar before that. Seems to have three modes atm...not working, working but seemingly unable to detect rain in many directions and displaying out of date images.

Perhaps they've integrated it with the Online 90 day report system....ha ha ha ha

[Venom]

The good news is that rainy season generally marks the end of feild burning / extreme PM2.5 air pollution season. Hopefully by this time next month it'll be safe breath the air as Thailand drops from it's position at the top in being listed as having the most polluted city in the world. ????

 

[todlad]

15 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:

So already predicting and forecasting for the next month.  Just like predicting on the number of tourists that will arrive and then predicting on when Covid will go away.  Can't wrap my head around a future prediction on the weather.  A meteorologist is just like a politician, they can keep their jobs because they have a 50/50 chance of being correct and are never penalized when the forecast is different then what they said.

Can you clarify the point of your comment?

 

Firstly, a future prediction of the weather... well, yes ... prediction ... future ... of course, due to lack of data, we can look backwards.

Secondly, 50/50 chance of being correct ... nonsense. As someone else rightly pointed out, meteorologists have a much better than 50% accuracy track record.

Thirdly, can you really not understand why we are interested to learn of weather warnings, weather status quo... ?

 

[todlad]

15 hours ago, SiamRead said:

If they predict the highest rainfall in more than 30 years, it's good ! But why must there be a warning  ?

You're not being serious are you?

[todlad]

15 hours ago, ikke1959 said:

there is every year a lot of time to maintain rivers and dams, but as usual they only will do it when the country is flooded.. after the flooding the problems are solved again..

 

That's not true. There is always a lot of interest in the availabilty of water around here. Reservoirs are constantly monitored and movement of water to where it's needed is not at all unusual.

[vandeventer]

The Meteorological Department gets it wrong most of the time. Even when it is raining they are showing sunshine on their charts. I got my ass wet too many times on my motorcycle and that's from 1 day forecast. So now they are guessing something big is going to happen in may. Well they could right or they could be wrong who knows, but I wouldn't go out and buy a boat just yet!

[PGSan]

11 hours ago, kickstart said:

Um, someone does not know their  geography

Well, no.  They just use language a bit loosely (which of us does not!?).

None of these dam the main Chaopraya river, all are on tributaries.  So strictly it should say: in the Chaopraya basin.

Edited April 3, 2021 by PGSan

[todlad]

14 hours ago, grantbkk said:

I believe he is talking about pulling numbers and stats out of a minister's ass with no data to support them.

It would be instructive for you to take a look at the Thailand Meteorological Department website where you can see and appreciate the wealth of data they generate, have generated and generate in collaboration with world wide meteorological departments.

That could stop you from sticking your foot in your orifice from which the sun cannot shine.

[SwampyThai]

15 hours ago, keith101 said:

The Meteorological Department has warned that from early May, the average rainfall would be the highest in more than 30 years. Where is TAT mentioned ?

I think it is a thing called a JOKE ????????

[PGSan]

12 hours ago, KhunBENQ said:

2011 was a terrible flood, biggest insurance claims in world history.

In the world history of all insurance claims ever?  

Where is this Top Ten chart, please?

[Millcx]

15 hours ago, fangless said:

Are the TAT now issuing figures for other departments?

They are gonna target rich Indians and chinese to come and watch the dams filling .. All over the world people are booking and just waiting for the go ahead from TAT

[johnarth]

well we in Trat are going to get very heavy rain and wind today Trat can handle the heavy rain the water runs away very well, but it the big winds that does damage here hope the forecast is wrong

[Excel]

2 hours ago, Wiggy said:

Only 29% of the water in the dams is useable? That doesn’t seem very efficient. And why is the other 71% unusable. What’s wrong with it? 

That's the stuff that's downhill ????

[crazykopite]

Can they predict next weeks winning ticket in the lottery I do hope so !

[dogfish180]

A chance to show off their new drains in Jomtien! ????????

[nauseus]

1 hour ago, PGSan said:

Well, no.  They just use language a bit loosely (which of us does not!?).

None of these dam the main Chaopraya river, all are on tributaries.  So strictly it should say: in the Chaopraya basin.

 

Well done.

[SymS]

Together with a record amount of discarded plastic bags/packages and face masks, this promises a biblical flooding season.

[Road Warrior]

be interesting to see how Pattaya copes with extra rain fall regards flooding  !!!!

[dogfish180]

15 hours ago, internationalism said:

 

 

Edited April 3, 2021 by dogfish180

[nauseus]

4 minutes ago, dogfish180 said:

la Nina??? Do you mean El Nino? ????????????

 

Right now still La Nina:

 

South East Asia

Large parts of South East Asia have shown a typical La Niña response with significantly above normal rainfall totals over the last few months. This trend is likely to continue, particularly to the east of the region.

 

https://reliefweb.int/report/world/wmo-el-ni-ola-ni-update-january-2021