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SURVEY: Omicron--Dangerous, Worrisome or Overblown?


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SURVEY: Omicron--Dangerous, Worrisome or Overblown?  

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3 hours ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Encouraging news of lower risk of  hospitalization in UK data, tempered with the impact of higher infection rates:

 

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/22/risk-of-hospital-stay-40-lower-with-omicron-than-delta-uk-data-suggests

 

 

The data from the hospitals in Denmark when we look at COVID admissions.

Can provide a link in danish if needed.

 

8 % has omicron.

92 % has delta.

 

It's currently the Delta that still cause most problems, but the authorities predict that more omicrons will be admitted to hospital in January.

 

Some of the more gloomy predictions here made by our authorities, mentions 500 hospital admissions a day in January, but for me that just sounds way way to pessimistic, when we now have less than 700 with covid in hospitals in total.

 

Time will tell.

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It looks like it's become a numbers game. Will the increased numbers of infections be so great as to increase the hospitalizations to the point where they can't cope. Some estimates (aka modelling) say yes. One thing is certain, waves peak, then trough, quickly or slowly. For our sake I hope the peak is quick. Huge numbers around the world, new global record etc

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21 minutes ago, Bluetongue said:

It looks like it's become a numbers game. Will the increased numbers of infections be so great as to increase the hospitalizations to the point where they can't cope. Some estimates (aka modelling) say yes. One thing is certain, waves peak, then trough, quickly or slowly. For our sake I hope the peak is quick. Huge numbers around the world, new global record etc

The Omicron wave is steep but seems to reside fairly quickly. At least thats whats happening so far in SA, Norway and Denmark. If this holds true for all countries then it should be over quicker than we think?

 

In the UK as of the 22nd Dec there were 300 Omicron hospital cases and 24 deaths. Israel reported first Omicron death as did Germany

 

Ourworldindata

image.png.58c70f6f4f39e945cc42467e03ca8243.png

Edited by Bkk Brian
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25 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

The Omicron wave is steep but seems to reside fairly quickly. At least thats whats happening so far in SA, Norway and Denmark. If this holds true for all countries then it should be over quicker than we think?

 

In the UK as of the 22nd Dec there were 300 Omicron hospital cases and 24 deaths. Israel reported first Omicron death as did Germany

 

Ourworldindata

image.png.58c70f6f4f39e945cc42467e03ca8243.png

Its been said that the SA experience is different due to demographics and pattern of previous infections. So it's early days, but good to see the same curve in more highly vaccinated countries with probably older populations. A previous poster alluded to Delta still being around in Denmark, is there clear evidence that Delta disappears after being displaced?

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42 minutes ago, Bluetongue said:

Its been said that the SA experience is different due to demographics and pattern of previous infections. So it's early days, but good to see the same curve in more highly vaccinated countries with probably older populations. A previous poster alluded to Delta still being around in Denmark, is there clear evidence that Delta disappears after being displaced?

No idea if a variant is completely eradicated after another variant becomes dominant, but if i look at this data from ireland it took 20 weeks from delta emerged in Ireland, until the alpha variant were not present in their tests anymore.

 

Not sure if that means the alpha are gone in Ireland or if it just means the number of cases are too small to see on the charts.

 

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.hpsc.ie/a-z/respiratory/coronavirus/novelcoronavirus/surveillance/summaryofcovid-19virusvariantsinireland/Virus%20Variant%20report.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwjPgPmR7Pv0AhWu3OAKHcjUBHUQFnoECAwQAQ&usg=AOvVaw3M-ZlsiCzx1So0d7wk6b7N 

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