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Thai Consumer Mood at 5-Month High in July


webfact

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by Natthaphon Sangpolsit
    
BANGKOK (NNT) - Thai consumer confidence rose for a second straight month in July, reaching a five-month high, boosted by improved economic activity following an easing of pandemic-era curbs, but high cost of living remained a concern.

 

The consumer index of the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC) increased to 42.4 in July from 41.6 in the previous month.

 

University President Thanavath Phonvichai told a briefing that consumer spending is likely to gradually improve later this year as the economy gains more steam, helped by increased exports and a recovery in the vital tourism sector.

 

He also said the economy is expected to grow 3.0% to 3.5% this year, with exports seen up 6% to 8% and foreign tourist arrivals expected at 8-10 million.

 

There were nearly 40 million foreign tourists in 2019 before the pandemic.

 

Thanavath said the central bank’s first interest rate hike in nearly four years on Wednesday should not have a big impact on the economy, as commercial banks will not rush to raise their interest rates.

 

He added the Bank of Thailand (BOT) is expected to raise the key rate by a quarter point at each of the two remaining meetings this year, taking the rate to 1.25%.

 

 

Source: https://thainews.prd.go.th/en/news/detail/TCATG220813170255890

 

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7 hours ago, webfact said:

He added the Bank of Thailand (BOT) is expected to raise the key rate by a quarter point at each of the two remaining meetings this year, taking the rate to 1.25%.

They have to have those consumers Happy-Happy before stinging them with the rate rises later.

Rate rises that will send many of those Happy-Happy consumers into debt due to the massive amount of Household Debt that has been taken out over the last 12 Months, sending the total owed to very close to 100 % of GDP from 87 % a Year ago.

A very high percentage of the Debt that will go into NPL is on poor asset things such as Vehicles, something the Banks want to avoid at all costs.

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7 hours ago, webfact said:

University President Thanavath Phonvichai told a briefing that consumer spending is likely to gradually improve later this year as the economy gains more steam, helped by increased exports and a recovery in the vital tourism sector.

How's inflation going by the way?

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