Scott Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Hong Kong CNN — China’s population shrank in 2022 for the first time in more than 60 years, a new milestone in the country’s deepening demographic crisis with significant implications for its slowing economy. The population fell in 2022 to 1.411 billion, down some 850,000 people from the previous year, China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) announced during a Tuesday briefing on annual data. Analysts said the decline was the first since 1961 during the great famine triggered by former leader Mao Zedong’s Great Leap Forward. https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/16/economy/china-population-decline-sixty-years-intl-hnk/index.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monkeyrobot Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 How many died from Covid . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott Posted January 18, 2023 Author Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 hours ago, Monkeyrobot said: How many died from Covid . That is a number that is subject to more speculation than accuracy. China has been less than transparent in releasing data. According to the WHO numbers, it was 5,200++. Since Dec., China has reported that around 60,000 people have died from Covid. It's pretty clear that whatever numbers are reported, they are probably pretty far from the actual numbers. As far as the population decline, I doubt it has much to do with Covid deaths, but Covid no doubt has played a role in the decline. It's difficult to know how many families decided against having children with Covid circulating. It's hard to predict how many people never married or even met to start a family because of the lock downs that kept people separated. https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/14/china/china-covid-deaths-intl/index.html https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/china/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, Scott said: That is a number that is subject to more speculation than accuracy. China has been less than transparent in releasing data. According to the WHO numbers, it was 5,200++. Since Dec., China has reported that around 60,000 people have died from Covid. It's pretty clear that whatever numbers are reported, they are probably pretty far from the actual numbers. As far as the population decline, I doubt it has much to do with Covid deaths, but Covid no doubt has played a role in the decline. It's difficult to know how many families decided against having children with Covid circulating. It's hard to predict how many people never married or even met to start a family because of the lock downs that kept people separated. https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/14/china/china-covid-deaths-intl/index.html https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/china/ Actually, it's probably the case that China's population has already been shrinking: Leaked Data Show China’s Population Is Shrinking Fast Because China has always massaged its demographic figures and cracked down on anyone who challenges the official line, there are endless debates about the true size and growth trajectory of the country's population. But a recent, large-scale data breach offers some sorely needed clarity. https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/chinese-population-smaller-than-stated-and-shrinking-fast-by-yi-fuxian-2022-07 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vandeventer Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 How much trouble is China in? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=epSbK11agBs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thaibeachlovers Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I get the impression that China is educating women better than before. Whenever women get educated the birth rate tends to fall. One only needs to look at Japan where they have a falling birth rate, declining marriage rate etc. file:///C:/Users/Owner/Downloads/leader0002.pdf Japanese women are strongly inclined to reject prospective marriage partners without equal or higher levels of education, and as they acquire advanced educations, it becomes harder for them to find a suitable partner. Happened long ago in Singapore where the government was running campaigns to try and get educated women to have babies. https://www.aware.org.sg/2010/11/the-birth-of-awarepart-one/ An accompanying trend of reduced birth rate was that women with higher education were having a smaller number of children than women with lower education levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bangon04 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 now if India and Africa could just learn a lesson from this, there might be a very slim chance of saving this planet. (but not holdng my breath) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 hours ago, bangon04 said: now if India and Africa could just learn a lesson from this, there might be a very slim chance of saving this planet. (but not holdng my breath) It's really not that simple. You have to take into account how much the average consumption of those people are vs. the average consumption in developed economies. And then there's the question of how much the wealthy contribute to environmental degradation: Carbon emissions of richest 1 percent more than double the emissions of the poorest half of humanity https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/carbon-emissions-richest-1-percent-more-double-emissions-poorest-half-humanity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thaibeachlovers Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 14 hours ago, bangon04 said: now if India and Africa could just learn a lesson from this, there might be a very slim chance of saving this planet. (but not holdng my breath) Both of those regions have large numbers of people living in rural areas where tradition rules, and women are not well educated. I see no improvement in decreasing birth rates in my lifetime happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StayinThailand2much Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 (edited) On 1/18/2023 at 9:57 PM, Monkeyrobot said: How many died from Covid . China - Historical Population Growth Rate Data Year Population Growth Rate Growth Rate 2023 1,425,671,352 -0.02% 2022 1,425,887,337 0.00% 2021 1,425,893,465 0.07% 2020 1,424,929,781 0.22% 2019 1,421,864,031 0.34% 2018 1,417,069,468 0.48% Source: https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/CHN/china/population-growth-rate I would speculate 0.25% (or more) of the population, so, at least, 3.5 million. (I base my assumptions on the still positive growth rates in 2019 and 2020. Edited January 19, 2023 by StayinThailand2much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExpatOilWorker Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 China is in for the mother of a housing collapse when population really start to decline in 10-20 years time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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