The Cost of Not Coordinating: Could the Opposition have won 376 seats?

[webfact]

 

by Thai Data Points
By Joel Sawat Selway

 

Much of the talk in the post-elections period has been whether the Move Forward-Pheu Thai coalition can gain the 376 votes needed from a joint sitting of the House and Senate in order to form a government. Given the surprising performance of Move Forward, one cannot help but wonder if competition between the two main coalition partners split the votes of the electorate.

 

The current coalition of six parties combines to 309 seats. That leaves 67 seats shy of their target, which they could get, of course, with support in the senate or from other “neutral” parties, such as Bhumjaithai (70 seats) and Democrat (24 seats) parties. Both those parties sit in the outgoing coalition aligned with the military Palang Pracharat party (PPRP), however, while the Senate was appointed in its entirety by the military.

 

But what if the two parties had coordinated prior to the elections and agreed not to compete in the same constituencies? This is a hypothetical scenario, I know, but one that intrigued me. So, I ran the numbers!

 

Full story: https://www.thaienquirer.com/49691/the-cost-of-not-coordinating-could-the-opposition-have-won-376-seats/

 

-- © Copyright Thai Enquirer 2023-05-18

 

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[bignok]

11 minutes ago, webfact said:

Move Forward, one cannot help but wonder if competition between the two main coalition partners split the votes of the electorate.

MF is a few years old. Different policies before election.

[ikke1959]

Everybody knows that the junta will never give up their power and wealth in Thailand...If they will not win they can easily do a coup again to stay in power.. Conservative thinking is the base and the low education of people, who believe everything that is being told. But the times have changed with internet and young people, but still the old grey will never give up power hiding behind so called protections and values which are outdated  

[bamnutsak]

Look out the windscreen, don't bother with the rearview.

 

Shoulda, coulda, woulda.

 

 

[hotchilli]

Times are changing, no good thinking what if this or what if that.. 

Prayut & Prawit are out that's all that matters.

[PETERTHEEATER]

Did the twins in the OP photograph vote twice?