Key things to watch after historic Thai election

[snoop1130]

 

After every big earthquake, major aftershocks ensue. A Pheu Thai landslide would have made headlines, but unpredictability would not have been as prevalent. Move Forward’s wham-bam victory means a lot more things are difficult to forecast now.

 

Here are some of the foremost:

 

Will Thaksin Shinawatra keep his homecoming pledge? This is the biggest question. The promised return to Thailand is virtually tied to how Pheu Thai performed in the election. A gracious arrival without him being immediately put in jail has to coincide with an epic Pheu Thai resurgence only, with public sentiment euphorically and unequivocally in favour of the party.

 

Full Story: https://www.thaipbsworld.com/key-things-to-watch-after-historic-thai-election/

 

-- © Copyright Thai PBS 2023-05-18

 

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[Thingamabob]

This doesn't make sense.

[hotchilli]

10 hours ago, Thingamabob said:

This doesn't make sense.

Does anything in Thailand?

[nobodysfriend]

14 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

Move Forward’s wham-bam victory means a lot more things are difficult to forecast now.

There are only a few predictable scenarios now , and the Return of Thaksin is a secondary one .

The always ruling elite , backed by their bought senators and the constitutional change they made a few years ago , will just go for the destruction of MFP , just as they did with future foreward ( Thanatorn ) . They will prepare for military intervention of any possible civil unrest in BKK by now already . It is only a pseudo democracy here in Thailand .

For the ruling elite , giving up just a little bit of their privileged position is , ( for them ) , unthinkable . There will be fighting in the streets on Bangkok again .

[mikebell]

I'd love to share in the optimism but 'nobodysfriend' above gives the most likely scenario.  Despite the Thai army having only ever achieved victory over its own people, they will not surrender easily.

[Burma Bill]

5 hours ago, nobodysfriend said:

They will prepare for military intervention of any possible civil unrest in BKK by now already . It is only a pseudo democracy here in Thailand .

For the ruling elite , giving up just a little bit of their privileged position is , ( for them ) , unthinkable . There will be fighting in the streets on Bangkok again .

Just a thought;-

How about civil unrest throughout Thailand and not just Bangkok? If there were properly organised covert guerilla actions at military bases throughout Thailand to disrupt their infrastructure, then the military would not have "soldier power" to concentrate on Bangkok.

Moderators please remove if considered inflammatory. Thanks. 

[anchadian]