Labour appears poised for a historic victory with a predicted majority of 170 seats, according to an exit poll conducted for the BBC, ITV, and Sky. If accurate, this outcome will see Sir Keir Starmer become prime minister with 410 Labour MPs, narrowly missing Tony Blair's 1997 record. The Conservatives are forecasted to experience their worst defeat, securing only 131 MPs, their lowest number in history.

 

The Liberal Democrats are expected to come in third, with 61 MPs, while the Scottish National Party (SNP) is projected to see a significant reduction, retaining only 10 MPs. Reform UK is forecasted to gain 13 seats, and the Green Party of England and Wales is predicted to double its representation to two MPs. Plaid Cymru is expected to secure four seats, with other parties collectively obtaining 19 seats.

 

This exit poll, managed by Sir John Curtice and a team of statisticians, is based on voter data from approximately 130 polling stations across England, Scotland, and Wales, excluding Northern Ireland. Historically, exit polls have been accurate within a range of 1.5 to 7.5 seats.

 

A Labour landslide, as suggested by the exit poll, would mark a remarkable turnaround from the party's worst post-war election result in 2019, where the Conservatives, led by Boris Johnson, achieved an 80-seat majority. Although the Conservatives might avoid a complete wipeout predicted by some opinion polls, the projected loss of 241 MPs represents a devastating blow after 14 years in power. This result would usher in a Labour prime minister for the first time since 2010 and likely prompt a reevaluation of the Conservative Party's future direction, especially if Rishi Sunak steps down as leader.

 

Labour's potential victory is seen as a validation of Sir Keir Starmer's efforts to reposition the party towards the center of British politics. Shadow Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson, who won the Houghton and Sunderland South constituency, echoed this sentiment in her victory speech, stating, "Tonight the British people have spoken, and if the exit poll this evening is again a guide to results across our country as it so often is, then after 14 years the British people have chosen change. They have chosen Labour and they have chosen the leadership of Keir Starmer. Today our country with its proud history has chosen a brighter future."

 

In an early indication of the shifting political landscape, Reform UK candidates outperformed Conservative candidates in several North-East England constituencies, securing second place by a substantial margin. Reform UK leader Nigel Farage predicted a significant number of wins for his party, stating, "This, folks, is huge."

 

The Liberal Democrats are also expected to make substantial gains at the expense of the Conservatives in southern England, where high-profile Tory figures, including Chancellor Jeremy Hunt and Defence Secretary Grant Shapps, appear vulnerable. Liberal Democrat leader Sir Ed Davey remarked, "It looks like this will be our best result for a generation."

 

Despite maintaining a positive outlook throughout the campaign, Rishi Sunak faced numerous challenges, including a series of gaffes and a failure to significantly reduce Labour's lead in the polls. Conservative Work and Pensions Secretary Mel Stride described the situation as "a very difficult moment for the Conservative Party" and expressed sorrow over the projected losses of many colleagues' seats.

 

The SNP, facing a challenging night, is predicted to lose 38 seats. Former First Minister Nicola Sturgeon acknowledged the difficulties, stating, "It was 'not a good night' for the SNP," and believed the exit poll would be "broadly right."

 

Sunak's decision to call a summer election surprised many within his party. However, his campaign was marred by various missteps, including a rain-soaked announcement in Downing Street, an early departure from a D-Day celebration in Normandy to record a TV interview, and inconsistent messaging about a Labour "super majority."

 

As results start to roll in during the early hours, the accuracy of the exit poll will be confirmed. Regardless, the predicted Labour landslide indicates a dramatic shift in the UK’s political landscape, potentially ushering in a new era under Keir Starmer’s leadership.

 

 

Credit: BBC 2024-07-05

 

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I’m rather enjoying watching the results come in.

 

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2024/jul/04/uk-general-election-results-2024-live-in-full

It’s not my country nor place to make judgmental comments on the state of political affairs in someone else’s country,but I will say whatever the outcome I hope it’s good for England and helps solve her problems blessings to all our brothers and sisters across the pond good luck!👍 

1 hour ago, Tug said:

I hope it’s good for England and helps solve her problems blessings to all our brothers and sisters across the pond good luck!

 

Thanks for your best wishes, we'll certainly be needing it now that the lunatics are running the asylum 😃.

 

3 hours ago, Chomper Higgot said:

I’m rather enjoying watching the results come in.

 

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2024/jul/04/uk-general-election-results-2024-live-in-full

Me too.

 

It's going to be interesting to see how the new government are going to find all the new doctors, nurses, teachers, care workers and child care workers. Even more so whilst reducing net migration.

 

It's also going to be interesting to see how they are going to create thousands more GP appointments, stop the ambulance queues at A and E, reduce treatment waiting times, create extra state school places, help the struggling with the cost of living and build hundreds of thousands of affordable new homes without raising taxes.

 

Not to mention finding the £30billion for Energy UK.

 

Good luck to them with that.

54 minutes ago, youreavinalaff said:

Me too.

 

It's going to be interesting to see how the new government are going to find all the new doctors, nurses, teachers, care workers and child care workers. Even more so whilst reducing net migration.

 

It's also going to be interesting to see how they are going to create thousands more GP appointments, stop the ambulance queues at A and E, reduce treatment waiting times, create extra state school places, help the struggling with the cost of living and build hundreds of thousands of affordable new homes without raising taxes.

 

Not to mention finding the £30billion for Energy UK.

 

Good luck to them with that.

We at least agree on the scale and breadth of the mess the Tories have created and which Labour now need to fix.

 

’Without raising taxes’?

 

Labour have pledged not to raise taxes on working people.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited July 5, 20242 yr by Chomper Higgot

6 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

We at least agree on the scale and breadth of the mess the Tories have created and which Labour now need to fix.

 

’Without raising taxes’?

 

Labour have pleaded not to raise taxes on working people.

 

 

 

 

 

 

You've misinterpreted, read twisted, my post. 

 

To be expected.

8 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Labour have pleaded not to raise taxes on working people.

 

Who did they plead with?

Brits are whiners. Bet the pages here are filled with Labour hating comments within 2 years.

3 minutes ago, JonnyF said:

 

Who did they plead with?

I occasionally make typos so you can pick them up and be right about something for a change.

 

Refer Labour Manifesto for their pledge on taxes.

1 minute ago, retarius said:

Brits are whiners. Bet the pages here are filled with Labour hating comments within 2 years.

I doubt it. 

 

In two years it will still be someone else's fault.

2 minutes ago, retarius said:

Brits are whiners. Bet the pages here are filled with Labour hating comments within 2 years.

 

Labour supporters will blame it all on the Tories.

 

That's what they always do. 

1 minute ago, Chomper Higgot said:

I occasionally make typos so you can pick them up and be right about something for a change.

 

Refer Labour Manifesto for their pledge on taxes.

 

No point reading about Labour's pledges. They never honour them. 

 

Expect a raid on the money of hard working successful people to pay for the workshy and the immigrants. Primarily through inheritance tax and capital gains tax. 

15 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

We at least agree on the scale and breadth of the mess the Tories have created and which Labour now need to fix.

 

’Without raising taxes’?

 

Labour have pledged not to raise taxes on working people.

 

 

Keir Starmer has a very unique definition of "working people" though and believes that only people who do not have savings are "working people".  

 

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/18/starmer-leaves-door-open-to-tax-rises-for-millions/

https://archive.ph/6h2Et non paywall.  

 

The volume of "voter regret" from those that voted Labour is going to be staggering.   

6 minutes ago, JonnyF said:

 

Labour supporters will blame it all on the Tories.

 

That's what they always do. 

I think it’s fair to say any problems handed to Labour by the Tories after nearly 15 years in office are the fault of the Tories.

 

Examples have been given above by someone who I doubt very much is a Labour supporter.

4 minutes ago, James105 said:

 

Keir Starmer has a very unique definition of "working people" though and believes that only people who do not have savings are "working people".  

 

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/06/18/starmer-leaves-door-open-to-tax-rises-for-millions/

https://archive.ph/6h2Et non paywall.  

 

The volume of "voter regret" from those that voted Labour is going to be staggering.   

Yet more crystal ball predictions.

1 minute ago, Chomper Higgot said:

I think it’s fair to say any problems handed to Labour by the Tories after nearly 15 years in office are the fault of the Tories.

 

Examples have been given above by someone who I doubt very much is a Labour supporter.

 

Getting your excuses in early I see. Before they event take office in fact. 

 

What a surprise. 

7 minutes ago, JonnyF said:

 

No point reading about Labour's pledges. They never honour them. 

 

Expect a raid on the money of hard working successful people to pay for the workshy and the immigrants. Primarily through inheritance tax and capital gains tax. 

1% of the population pay capital gains tax.

 

I doubt many are ‘hard working’.

 

Certainly not working hard enough at tax avoidance.

2 minutes ago, JonnyF said:

 

Getting your excuses in early I see. Before they event take office in fact. 

 

What a surprise. 

It wasn’t me who posted the list of just some of the mess the Tories are handing Labour.

 

 

21 minutes ago, youreavinalaff said:

You've misinterpreted, read twisted, my post. 

 

To be expected.

Which bit have I misinterpreted and/ir twisted?

Oh well. Rishi wanted to be the captain of his ship so bad that he forgot to look out of the window and see it was heading full speed onto the rocks. This left him in the ignominious position of being Captain when the crunch came. Fools rush in where angels fear to tread.

 

Oh well. At least his exit comes just before the school hols so he can get away with the family after all.

9 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

Which bit have I misinterpreted and/ir twisted?

All of it, as expected.

Good riddance to 14 years of chaotic Tory government that brought austerity, Brexit, Partygate and an economic crash.

 

Don’t forget :

“Cutting the ‘green crap’ has added £22bn to UK energy bills since 2015”

https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-cutting-the-green-crap-has-added-22bn-to-uk-energy-bills-since-2015/

 

“We don’t need energy independence, because our mate Vlad will always be around to sell us cheap oil and gas”

36 minutes ago, retarius said:

Brits are whiners. Bet the pages here are filled with Labour hating comments within 2 years.

unlike the US that accepted Trumps as President, they didn't whine at all...and definitely not for the last 7.5 years!

19 minutes ago, Denim said:

Oh well. At least his exit comes just before the school hols so he can get away with the family after all.

 

Looks like he's on his way...

 

Ehhhhhhhhh...

 

36 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said:

I think it’s fair to say any problems handed to Labour by the Tories after nearly 15 years in office are the fault of the Tories.

 

Examples have been given above by someone who I doubt very much is a Labour supporter.

I was a member of the Labour Party for many years and a member of a local management committee. I loathe the Tories, but it was not all their fault. Corbyn sat on the fence about Brexit for years - a foolish error.

Things go round and round, and I hope Reform kicks up a stink about PR—they get 14.5% of the votes and 4 seats, while the Liberal Democrats get 12% and 61 seats.

3 minutes ago, BobBKK said:

I was a member of the Labour Party for many years and a member of a local management committee. I loathe the Tories, but it was not all their fault. Corbyn sat on the fence about Brexit for years - a foolish error.

Things go round and round, and I hope Reform kicks up a stink about PR—they get 14.5% of the votes and 4 seats, while the Liberal Democrats get 12% and 61 seats.

 

Yeah it's ridiculous

 

3.9 million votes = 4 seats.

 

3.2 million votes = 66 seats.  😄

 

5 hours ago, Social Media said:

Labour's potential victory is seen as a validation of Sir Keir Starmer's efforts to reposition the party towards the center of British politics. Shadow Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson, who won the Houghton and Sunderland South constituency, echoed this sentiment in her victory speech, stating, "Tonight the British people have spoken, and if the exit poll this evening is again a guide to results across our country as it so often is, then after 14 years the British people have chosen change. They have chosen Labour and they have chosen the leadership of Keir Starmer. Today our country with its proud history has chosen a brighter future."

By whom?

As far as I can see Keir Starmer reduced the number of potential seats won and any other Labour leader would have done better.

This was never a Labour victory but a Conservative defeat, and the British voter would have voted for anyone that wasn't Conservative.

I hope Labour has planned what to do if they are elected. The last time they went after rich people's money, Elton John and others moved to another country.

 

They will have to allow foreign doctors and nurses in again. There aren't enough Brits qualified to do the work.

1 minute ago, BritManToo said:

By whom?

As far as I can see Keir Starmer reduced the number of potential seats won and any other Labour leader would have done better.

This was never a Labour victory but a Conservative defeat, and the British voter would have voted for anyone that wasn't Conservative.

 
Actually, it was a repudiation of the SNP and their stupid woke policies.