CNN is Loving Trumps Poll Numbers

[candide]

12 minutes ago, Harrisfan said:

Chinese diver up next. Which scores do you combine?

You are still incoherent. I never discussed Chinese divers with you. Only your ridiculous imaginary 4% claim. 

[Harrisfan]

13 minutes ago, candide said:

You are still incoherent. I never discussed Chinese divers with you. Only your ridiculous imaginary 4% claim. 

So you don't understand the logic behind it. Did you not finish high school? 

[candide]

10 minutes ago, Harrisfan said:

So you don't understand the logic behind it. Did you not finish high school? 

Ridiculous deflection! You have no mathematical formula and made up your 4% number. 

[Harrisfan]

Just now, candide said:

Ridiculous deflection! You have no mathematical formula and made up your 4% number. 

What is the answer to the diving question? If you can't figure that out you will never understand polls. 

 

I seriously can't believe a grown man can't figure it out. A 12yo could.

[candide]

Just now, Harrisfan said:

What is the answer to the diving question? If you can't figure that out you will never understand polls. 

 

I seriously can't believe a grown man can't figure it out. A 12yo could.

Ridiculous diversion. I never made any claim about "diving".

 

You did make a claim about a 4% gap you supposedly calculated, but are unable to explain how you calculate it. 

[Harrisfan]

Just now, candide said:

Ridiculous diversion. I never made any claim about "diving".

 

You did make a claim about a 4% gap you supposedly calculated, but are unable to explain how you calculate it. 

The diving question is the same logic as a series of polls. If you can't figure it out that's telling. 

[candide]

2 minutes ago, Harrisfan said:

The diving question is the same logic as a series of polls. If you can't figure it out that's telling. 

Deflection blah blah...

[Harrisfan]

Just now, candide said:

Deflection blah blah...

It's funny you can't work through the logic. Judge 1 most US biased. Judge 12 most China biased. 3 are US biased. 9 are China biased.

 

Which judges should you look at? It's the same as opinion polls 

[TheAppletons]

On 3/27/2025 at 10:20 AM, placeholder said:

A rational person would ask what do the trends show.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx

 

 

 

[Harrisfan]

1 minute ago, TheAppletons said:

https://news.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx

 

 

 

Just 1 poll. You need 10 to 15 polling companies to wipe out bias.

[candide]

28 minutes ago, Harrisfan said:

It's funny you can't work through the logic. Judge 1 most US biased. Judge 12 most China biased. 3 are US biased. 9 are China biased.

 

Which judges should you look at? It's the same as opinion polls 

Lame diversion. I did not make any claim about it.

 

What about you ridiculous imaginary 4% gap number? You made that claim and are unable to explain how you calculated it. 

[Harrisfan]

Just now, candide said:

Lame diversion. I did not make any claim about it.

 

What about you ridiculous imaginary 4% gap number? You made that claim and are unable to explain how you calculated it. 

Answer the diving question.

[candide]

23 minutes ago, Harrisfan said:

Just 1 poll. You need 10 to 15 polling companies to wipe out bias.

An imaginary statistical rule made up by you. You also got this 15 number from your ass! 

[Harrisfan]

Just now, candide said:

An imaginary statistical rule made up by you. You also got this 15 number from your ass! 

You don't understand polling errors 

[candide]

1 minute ago, Harrisfan said:

Answer the diving question.

Why? I did not make any claim about it and have n interest in it.

But you did makeca claim about an imaginary 4% gap you are unable to explain because you made it up! 

[Harrisfan]

Just now, candide said:

Why? I did not make any claim about it and have n interest in it.

But you did makeca claim about an imaginary 4% gap you are unable to explain because you made it up! 

15 polls

3 right wing

12 left wing

 

Which polls do you average?

[candide]

Just now, Harrisfan said:

You don't understand polling errors 

You got this 15 number from your ass and are also unable to explain how to calculate it.

You are making yourself ridiculous again! 

[Harrisfan]

Just now, candide said:

You got this 15 number from your ass and are also unable to explain how to calculate it.

You are making yourself ridiculous again! 

You sound confused by basic logic. A 12yo can work it out. You can't 

[candide]

5 minutes ago, Harrisfan said:

15 polls

3 right wing

12 left wing

 

Which polls do you average?

Ask RCP

All polls present biases, what's relevant is the evolution, and the evolution is clearly negative for Trump.

[candide]

4 minutes ago, Harrisfan said:

You sound confused by basic logic. A 12yo can work it out. You can't 

It's you who can't explain anything you claim, because you made it up! 

[Harrisfan]

Just now, candide said:

It's you who can't explain anything you claim, because you made it up!

Who got the election right and who got it wrong? You got it wrong cause you don't understand the logic behind it.

[Harrisfan]

2 minutes ago, candide said:

Ask RCP@

All polls present biases, what's relevant is the evolution, and the evolution is clearly negative for Trump.

So which polls are less biased?

[TheAppletons]

On 3/27/2025 at 10:06 AM, Yagoda said:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2025/03/25/cnns_enten_trump_is_more_popular_than_ever_americans_who_think_were_on_the_right_track_through_the_roof.html

 

I guess CNN is coming around. Will it be too late for them.

 

Winning is fabulous.

 

34 minutes ago, Harrisfan said:

Just 1 poll. You need 10 to 15 polling companies to wipe out bias.

 

[Harrisfan]

11 minutes ago, candide said:

Ask RCP

All polls present biases, what's relevant is the evolution, and the evolution is clearly negative for Trump.

5 right wing polls a month old

5 left 3 weeks old

3 right 1 to 2 weeks

7 left 1 to 2 weeks

 

Where is the trend?

 

 

[candide]

9 minutes ago, Harrisfan said:

5 right wing polls a month old

5 left 3 weeks old

3 right 1 to 2 weeks

7 left 1 to 2 weeks

 

Where is the trend?

 

 

The trend started before March. 

 

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

 

BTW, how did you calculate your 4% positive gap in favour of Trump? 

[Harrisfan]

3 minutes ago, candide said:

The trend started before March. 

 

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

 

BTW, how did you calculate your 4% positive gap in favour of Trump? 

Too many early polls were right wing. I now have Trump at +3. So down 1 point but that's within the margin of error.

[candide]

26 minutes ago, Harrisfan said:

So which polls are less biased?

AtlasIntel published the most accurate predictions for both 2020 and 2024 election. Trump -5% spread! 

[jvs]

Well MAGA people,stock up on tissue!

Not looking too good for mr Trump and his band of unqualified mongers.

Any one how can not see the trend is either an idiot or a total fool.

You get to pick which one you are.

Free country and all that ,

[Harrisfan]

Just now, candide said:

AtlasIntel published the most accurate predictions for both 2020 and 2024 election. Trump -5% spread! 

That's 1 poll though. Could be a rogue. I found 15 polls is best sample. 

[candide]

1 minute ago, Harrisfan said:

Too many early polls were right wing. I now have Trump at +3. So down 1 point but that's within the margin of error.

What is the distribution of RW vs LW over time you have tabulated?