Intel report warns large-scale war ‘unlikely’ to oust Iran’s regime

A classified U.S. report doubts that Iran’s opposition would take power following either a short or extended U.S. military campaign.

A classified report by the National Intelligence Council found that even a large-scale assault on Iran launched by the United States would be unlikely to oust the Islamic republic’s entrenched military and clerical establishment, a sobering assessment as the Trump administration raises the specter of an extended military campaign that officials say has “only just begun.”

The report, completed about a week before the United States and Israel initiated the war on Feb. 28, outlined succession scenarios stemming from either a narrowly tailored campaign against Iran’s leaders or a broader assault against its leadership and government institutions, the people familiar with its findings said. In both cases, the intelligence concluded that Iran’s clerical and military establishment would respond to the killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei by following protocols designed to preserve continuity of power, these people said.

https://archive.ph/0esug#selection-383.0-425.20

Should the Trump war effort fail to dislodge the mullahs from power, I suspect that we'll see the same reaction from supporter of this war that we saw when Trump decided that rescuing the Venezuelan people from oppression, from a corrupt government characterized as a narcoterrorist cartel, really wasn't an issue after all. Down the memory hole for the people of Iran.