Thailand Election 2011

[aikawa]

I have been trying to find out when is the election date for Thailand 2011. Unable to find it. Anyone know when? I will try to avoid visiting Thailand during that time.

[josephbloggs]

It hasn't been set yet.

[whybother]

If today's court case goes the way of the Democrats, the elections will be between April and December.

If today's court case goes the way of the Election Commission, the elections might be as early as January, but could still be as late as December, depending on other circumstances.

Wait a week or two and see what happens.

[Lakegeneve]

If today's court case goes the way of the Democrats, the elections will be between April and December.

If today's court case goes the way of the Election Commission, the elections might be as early as January, but could still be as late as December, depending on other circumstances.

Wait a week or two and see what happens.

Your reply is simplistic and potentially misleading. As we saw with the dissolution of the PPP, there was NOT a subsequent election but a democratic change of govt in the parliament. Many have made the mistake in trying to simply a diverse range of legal and political issues with Thai politics.

This is a highly complex case dealing with a number of matters. Prior to dealing with the substance of the allegations the Court has to deal with numerous procedural issues. The case is substantially differs from the previous electoral fraud cases in relation to TRT & PPP, CT etc. The date of the commission of the alleged offence is highly important (2005).

The are so many possible legal outcomes that I would hazard to guess what might be the political outcome. For example, the court could uphold the substance of the EC's allegation against the Dems but not dissolve the Democratic party. It does not automatically follow that a determination against the Dems will result in dissolution. They are two seperate matters.

Another possible scenario is that the Court does find against the Dem and does dissolve the party but only a small number of serving members of the govt are banned. The issue of who the Court determines were executives at the time is highly important (then there is another issue relating to the conduct of those members). It may be that some executives of the party are banned but not enough that are currently serving members of the coalition govt to cause a change in govt or new elections. Remember for those serving MPs who are banned, there will be by-elections in their seats should there be no subsequent general election.

On the post case political side much will depend on the disposition of the kingmakers, the BJT.

Then if some members are banned there is the seperate process of by-elections if there is no general election in the intervening period.

As for the OP's concern, as with anywhere in the world set a date, book tickets, leave payment until the last possible moment and read updates in the news. Many places in the world are calm and quiet for the most part, then there is some large political demonstration that becomes violent for a breif period of time. One can think of Athens, Paris and London from recent months.

[whybother]

Your reply is simplistic and potentially misleading. As we saw with the dissolution of the PPP, there was NOT a subsequent election but a democratic change of govt in the parliament. Many have made the mistake in trying to simply a diverse range of legal and political issues with Thai politics.

Agreed. When the PPP were banned, the PTP (ex-PPP MPs) could have called an election, but instead chose to elect a new PM, as they did with Somchai. What they didn't count on was losing the support of their coalition, hence Abhisit was elected PM.

This is a highly complex case dealing with a number of matters. Prior to dealing with the substance of the allegations the Court has to deal with numerous procedural issues. The case is substantially differs from the previous electoral fraud cases in relation to TRT & PPP, CT etc. The date of the commission of the alleged offence is highly important (2005).

The are so many possible legal outcomes that I would hazard to guess what might be the political outcome. For example, the court could uphold the substance of the EC's allegation against the Dems but not dissolve the Democratic party. It does not automatically follow that a determination against the Dems will result in dissolution. They are two seperate matters.

Another possible scenario is that the Court does find against the Dem and does dissolve the party but only a small number of serving members of the govt are banned. The issue of who the Court determines were executives at the time is highly important (then there is another issue relating to the conduct of those members). It may be that some executives of the party are banned but not enough that are currently serving members of the coalition govt to cause a change in govt or new elections. Remember for those serving MPs who are banned, there will be by-elections in their seats should there be no subsequent general election.

On the post case political side much will depend on the disposition of the kingmakers, the BJT.

Then if some members are banned there is the seperate process of by-elections if there is no general election in the intervening period.

Agreed ... as I said, "depending on other circumstances". Depending on the result, the Democrats would stay as is (which we now know), the new-democrats could continue the coalition (witch the PTP tried to do), or the new-democrats could have called an election. If they had called an election, it most likely would have been in January. Given that they have now survived, an election will be held from April onwards.

It was a very simplistic reply because we are not allowed to discuss politics in General thread.

As for the OP's concern, as with anywhere in the world set a date, book tickets, leave payment until the last possible moment and read updates in the news. Many places in the world are calm and quiet for the most part, then there is some large political demonstration that becomes violent for a breif period of time. One can think of Athens, Paris and London from recent months.

Once again, agreed. My 73 yo mum was in Thailand in March/April, arriving back to Bangkok from a trip Chiang Mai by train on March 13 when the protests started. She was still able to spend another week and a half seeing things in Bangkok. My sister and her family are currently booked to come here next April. If there are problems, they will be isolated and can easily be avoided.

[bratski]

I know this post is quite old but for information only.

The official date for the thailand election is set for 03/7/2011

Edited May 25, 2011 by bratski

[mufcsamui]

I know this post is quite old but for information only.

The official date for the thailand election is set for 03/7/2011

Yes the official date for the election if all goes to plan is the 3rd of July and the pre election is 26th June, in essence in Koh Samui at least, the bars will be closed from 6pm on Fri 24th June until Midnight 26th June and Saturday 2nd July until midnight on 3rd July