Chart Thai Pattana Party Leader: House Dissolution Likely To Be In Latter-Half Of The Year

[webfact]

Chart Thai Pattana Party Leader: House Dissolution Likely to be in Latter-Half of the Year

The leader of the Chart Thai Pattana Party is suggesting that October or November is the most appropriate time for the House to be dissolved.

Chart Thai Pattana Party leader Chumphon Silapa-archa said he personally believes that the House is likely to be dissolved in the latter half of the year.

He added although the passage of the mid-year budget and amendments to the Constitution are major factors, there are other factors that could affect the PM's decision on dissolution of the House, such as the territorial disputes with Cambodia and the readiness of the Election Commission to organize a fresh election.

Chumphon suggested that the prime minister listen to all sides, including his own party, before making a decision.

Meanwhile, when asked whether the censure debate will have any effect on the government's stability, Chumphon is confident that cabinet ministers who face impeachment will be able to clarify allegations to be brought against them.

The coalition party leader added the political situation has been relatively stable lately, with all protest movements, both yellow and red-shirt groups, organizing their activities in a relatively peaceful manner.

Regarding his party's goal for the next election, Chumphon noted his party is less concerned about the number of seats it will win; it is more concerned about what it can do for the nation.

However, he said to get between 40 and 50 seats would be considered a success, since his party is a small party.

Chumphon also disapproved of the idea of a Democrat Party member that a party leader who obtains the most votes should assume premiership.

Meanwhile, he said his party will not postpone its fund-raising event to be held on March 12, though it may coincide with the upcoming censure debate which has been tentatively scheduled for March 15 to 18.

-- Tan Network 2011-03-04

[whybother]

such as the territorial disputes with Cambodia

So, that puts the election sometime in 2015 then.

and the readiness of the Election Commission to organize a fresh election.

The Election Commission have already stated they are ready.

Next.

[hammered]

Its all about food prices I guess, and government have little control over them. It looked like they had a good strategy sorted out to have themselves reinstalled after an election but now what with food prices and revolutionary action all over the arab world forcing oil prices up everything becomes more interesting and up in the air.

With street movements becoming the darling of the more liberal media, it may also encourage Thaksin to give that route one more push especially if the election is later in the year.

My guess is that Abhisit wants to go very soon to avoid another potential round of street action and because he thinks things wont get better. The others coalition allies likely want another budget alocation so they can makew sure the rural voters are taken care of before the election. The PTP likely also wants delay as they need to cobble together leadership and alliances. The shadowy onesand military also probably favour not taking an early risk unless the military opinion poll, which was the most accurate before the last election, shows PTP winning and maybe more inbterestingly Abhisit not doing too well. So can Abhisit actually pull the early vote he wants and risk possible accidents or will he have to go with everyone elese?

[jayjay0]

Actually Fall would be a better time for the PT. By that time they might have figured out that the people are not going to vote for them just because they don't like Abhist. they will need some thing to offer the people. A novel idea for them

They think with there military arm (red shirts) they need do nothing else. And that about sums up there policies if elected.

[truethailand]

Its all about food prices I guess, and government have little control over them. It looked like they had a good strategy sorted out to have themselves reinstalled after an election but now what with food prices and revolutionary action all over the arab world forcing oil prices up everything becomes more interesting and up in the air.

With street movements becoming the darling of the more liberal media, it may also encourage Thaksin to give that route one more push especially if the election is later in the year.

My guess is that Abhisit wants to go very soon to avoid another potential round of street action and because he thinks things wont get better. The others coalition allies likely want another budget alocation so they can makew sure the rural voters are taken care of before the election. The PTP likely also wants delay as they need to cobble together leadership and alliances. The shadowy onesand military also probably favour not taking an early risk unless the military opinion poll, which was the most accurate before the last election, shows PTP winning and maybe more inbterestingly Abhisit not doing too well. So can Abhisit actually pull the early vote he wants and risk possible accidents or will he have to go with everyone elese?

Put very well..Good post

[truethailand]

Actually Fall would be a better time for the PT. By that time they might have figured out that the people are not going to vote for them just because they don't like Abhist. they will need some thing to offer the people. A novel idea for them

They think with there military arm (red shirts) they need do nothing else. And that about sums up there policies if elected.

The incumbent government by nature has to do while in office. No opposition announces its manifesto until the election is called, for obvious reasons of the sitting government stealing all the good ideas. When the manifesto is published then we can all comment, until then posts like this ....I dont know what to say

[truethailand]

such as the territorial disputes with Cambodia

So, that puts the election sometime in 2015 then.

and the readiness of the Election Commission to organize a fresh election.

The Election Commission have already stated they are ready.

Next.

I dont often agree with you whybother but you may have, maybe unwittingly explained why the border dispute is happening now. If the polls show PTP likely to form the next government expect to see tracers and shells flying over the temple. At war no election...Good idea

[whybother]

I dont often agree with you whybother but you may have, maybe unwittingly explained why the border dispute is happening now. If the polls show PTP likely to form the next government expect to see tracers and shells flying over the temple. At war no election...Good idea

Ahh ... but ... the polls are not showing that the PTP is likely to form the next government. Whether the polls are right or not is a different question.

I don't think that the current situation with the Cambodians will stop elections. The territorial disputes have been going on for many years, and I don't expect them to stop any time soon.

[asiawatcher]

I am banking on August - few reasons but all to do with leaders presently in jail that will be released only after the election and will have no chance to run. Bit like the Burmese run against Suu Kyi to minimise competition.

[jdinasia]

Its all about food prices I guess, and government have little control over them. It looked like they had a good strategy sorted out to have themselves reinstalled after an election but now what with food prices and revolutionary action all over the arab world forcing oil prices up everything becomes more interesting and up in the air.

With street movements becoming the darling of the more liberal media, it may also encourage Thaksin to give that route one more push especially if the election is later in the year.

My guess is that Abhisit wants to go very soon to avoid another potential round of street action and because he thinks things wont get better. The others coalition allies likely want another budget alocation so they can makew sure the rural voters are taken care of before the election. The PTP likely also wants delay as they need to cobble together leadership and alliances. The shadowy onesand military also probably favour not taking an early risk unless the military opinion poll, which was the most accurate before the last election, shows PTP winning and maybe more inbterestingly Abhisit not doing too well. So can Abhisit actually pull the early vote he wants and risk possible accidents or will he have to go with everyone elese?

Sound reasoning.

I do think that today's Al Jazeera report on the food crisis globally can be played to make the situation look fairly decent in Thailand.

I honestly am expecting house dissolution just before Songkran if only to take the steam out of PTP/Reds/Thaksin.