Can The Thai Election Really End The Political Impasse?

[webfact]

EDITORIAL

Can the election really end the political impasse?

By The Nation

The Thai people will have to live with the consequences of the choices they make at the upcoming poll; let's hope they will choose well

After they parted some years ago when his trusted sidekick left his Chart Thai Party for the much more attractive Thai Rak Thai Party, Banharn Silpa-acha said his ties with Newin Chidchob were over and done with.

That was just over a decade ago. But over a recent dinner between the Bhumjai Thai and Chart Thai Pattana parties, the two political veterans basically kissed and made up as their henchmen shook hands. So much for Thai gutter politics, where there is no such thing as a true enemy or true friend.

They say nothing lasts forever, and this is so true in Thai politics. This is because none of our politicians or political parties operate on principles. Vested interests are the only mode of operation for most, if not all.

But this doesn't mean the public should give up completely on national politics and not turn up at the polling stations when the next general election comes around in June or July.

The incumbent Democrat Party, the leader of the coalition, will go up against the opposition Pheu Thai Party in what is expected to be a fierce fight in which both sides play for keeps. Afraid of being sidelined when the dust finally settles, Banharn and Newin have apparently decided to bury the hatchet and form an alliance. The partnership is said to go under the slogan, "United We Go." But how far the two sides are actually willing to "go" remains to be seen.

But the upcoming poll is about much more than politics as usual. So much hope is pinned on this next election - the hope that it will put to rest the bloodless 2006 coup and the political bloodshed that ensued last year.

So many lives have been lost and so much property destroyed because of the political standoff between various political factions and cliques. It has spilled over into the public realm and triggered social movements that have risen up to demand an end to business as usual.

The two leading forces - the People's Alliance for Democracy (PAD) yellow shirts, and the red shirts - both behave as if they are on a mission from God.

The tactical alliance between the Democrats and the nationalist elements in the yellow movement didn't last, as the latter faction has turned against them over the government's handling of the Cambodian border dispute.

The red shirts, on the other hand, rally behind Thaksin Shinawatra, possibly Thailand's most controversial politician ever. The telecommunications tycoon has become Thailand's most notorious fugitive, but he still continues to tap into the red shirts' grievances.

The grassroots red shirts are referred to as "prai", or peasants, but all their so-called leaders are all wealthy politicians doubling as Thaksin's cronies. These men and women take orders from the fugitive billionaire, who has been permitted to bring Thailand to its knees in his relentless attempt to clear his name of corruption charges and get back his confiscated money.

It is not that the red shirts are unable to see through this hypocritical arrangement. It is just a matter of political convenience that such a union has to take place. And like the yellow-shirt-Democrat Party alliance, the Pheu Thai-red shirt pact will eventually crumble after the alliance has outlived its usefulness.

It is hoped that the red shirts will be able to make a positive impact on the necessary political and social changes this country must go through, without causing any more bloodshed. Thailand is an extremely unequal society in many respects and the red-shirt movement is a consequence of that. But change doesn't come easy, and jumping into bed with Thaksin's cronies will not help the red shirts. If anything, it undermines their cause.

In addition, it is hoped that the military will not use questionable force to crush any further outbreaks of disorder, and learn that their place is in the barracks, not in the political realm. Finally, it is hoped that, difficult as it may be, justice will prevail for all sides.

-- The Nation 2011-03-24

[Thaddeus]

They say nothing lasts forever, and this is so true in Thai politics. This is because none of our politicians or political parties operate on principles. Vested interests are the only mode of operation for most, if not all.

So when posed the question......

Can the election really end the political impasse?

The simple, one word answer is "No"

All the repercussions of the result are a little more difficult to predict, apart from the blatantly obvious one.

[virtualtraveller]

It is not that the red shirts are unable to see through this hypocritical arrangement. It is just a matter of political convenience that such a union has to take place. And like the yellow-shirt-Democrat Party alliance, the Pheu Thai-red shirt pact will eventually crumble after the alliance has outlived its usefulness.

Well said!

What it will come down to is Newin and Barnharn sitting in a backroom with two blank cheques on the table fielding frantic calls from men in uniform, ladies in waiting, the guy in Dubai, all sorts of banned politicians and go-betweens, all offering the earth. The stakes will be high. What happens in the campaigning and polls and the people's selection between the Dems and PT will ultimately be irrelevant in this election.

[Bagwan]

Quote from OP - In addition, it is hoped that the military will not use questionable force to crush any further outbreaks of disorder, and learn that their place is in the barracks, not in the political realm. Finally, it is hoped that, difficult as it may be, justice will prevail for all sides.

If mayhem occurs will the RTP put it down? 5555555 Better the Army restores order than Thailand goes up in flames. Civil war is not an option.