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candide

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Everything posted by candide

  1. From your link. 🤣 To be clear, the monthly job reports and the BED data do not measure exactly the same thing, and the BLS also publishes another dataset called the quarterly census of employment and wages. Each of these reports excludes certain categories of jobs or industries like railroads, government, self-employment, agriculture, etc.
  2. This will certainly incite Iran to drop his nuclear program! 🙂 Trump’s trip to Saudi Arabia raises the prospect of US nuclear cooperation with the kingdom https://apnews.com/article/civilian-nuclear-program-saudi-arabia-trump-iran-be8697a1890d0158cef57babb47e7583
  3. I knew you had nothing! 😆
  4. If Putin comes, Zelinski should be worried. Putin will not come to Istanbul if Trump doesn't come (and vice versa). Moreover, I would assume that both won't come just to face a failure. If they come, it is quite possible that they may agree before on an outcome (favouring Russia, of course), and then try to force it on Zelinski (as usual).
  5. The art of the retreat! 😆
  6. Thanks to decisions made last year by Saudi Arabia and OPEC to increase their production. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil production is lower than it was at the end of 2024! 🙂
  7. Make Bone Saws Great Again! 🤣
  8. What scientific studies have been showing for years is correct! 🙂 There's no reason to oppose his claims when they are supported by scientific evidence. The problem is when his claims are contradicted by scientific evidence.
  9. Ridiculous debunked claim again! FD-1023 anyone? 🤣
  10. Why is it that you cannot open any link? It's not my link, it's Mike Hunt's link. I just copied and pasted it. 🤣 I don't think there is a spell on me, but to make sure, try to open the link from his post.
  11. B.S. I did not cheery pick anything. That's the latest available list of polls about the economy by RCP, a RW leaning site. And I always put a link so that other people can check it. 🤣 Yes, approval ratings vary over time according to respondents' perceptions. The proof being that the same polls were showing a positive approval two months ago!
  12. I agree with the author. Economic issues related to China must be addressed, but Trump is doing it in the wrong way. I cannot read the article as it is under paywall, but the title suggests it may be interesting too! 🙂 Trump’s China Deal Makes Sense. How He Got Here Doesn’t. The president’s tactics undercut his own rationales, while in some ways treating China better than allies https://www.wsj.com/economy/trade/trumps-china-deal-makes-sense-how-he-got-here-doesnt-c42738a7?mod=hp_lead_pos4
  13. Please address your complaints to Murdoch and the editorial team of the WSJ. 🙂 And stop putting words in my mouth, as usual. I already posted in that thread that I support lowering prices of drugs (if it actually gets implemented).
  14. Interesting editorial from one of Murdoch's paper. The Great Trump Tariff Rollback The President started a trade war with Adam Smith. He lost. By The Editorial Board May 12, 2025 5:44 pm ET As with last week’s modest British agreement, the China deal is more surrender than Trump victory. Apart from the tariff rollback, neither side announced any broader concessions on the substantive trade issues that weigh on the U.S.-China relationship. Those include China’s barriers to American firms, especially in services such as digital and financial, and its chronic intellectual-property theft. https://www.wsj.com/opinion/u-s-china-trade-deal-tariffs-donald-trump-xi-jinping-a561d16b https://archive.ph/GzlI6
  15. Says the article specifically, and the literature on technological catching-up in general, since. Perez, C., Soete, L., 1988. Catching-up in technology: entry barriers and windows of opportunity. Of course, if China decides to invest in it, it's only a question of time before they catch-up. The added difficulty is that while a faulty car engine may generally just stop the car, an airplane may fall. So beta testing is a bit difficult to manage.
  16. Contrary to popular belief, it may be easier for latecomers to catch-up with new technologies than with established ones, because of the accumulated experience and know-how of incumbents. In particular about design and production processes. They can do some reverse engineering, but can hardly reproduce those processes because they are complex, based on experience, and not observable. It's easier when incumbents don't have much more experience, such as in the case of EV or 4G/5G technologies.
  17. It reminds me of a book! Don't Tell Mum I am MAGA! She Thinks I'm a Piano Player in a Whorehouse! 🤣
  18. Well, unlike in the country you usually claim not to be supporting, there is at least a chance of having such allegations investigated in NATO countries. For example (it's about another case): On 15 December 2022, the Government established an independent statutory inquiry to investigate matters arising from the deployment of British Special Forces to Afghanistan between mid-2010 and mid-2013. Lord Justice Sir Charles Haddon-Cave chairs the Inquiry. https://www.iia.independent-inquiry.uk/
  19. Suuure! In the MAGA alternate universe nobody pays any attention to Trump messing up the economy, and they are just laughing! 🤣 https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/issues/economy
  20. Markets go down - Trump blames Biden Markets go up - Trump congratulates himself! 🤣
  21. It's Trump who started the tariff war, not China. China has always been reacting. Trump puts tariffs, China puts tariffs, Trump decreases tariffs, China decreases tariffs. Trump was waiting for Xi's call, he did not call. I don't remember China saying they would not negotiate. Actually, the real negotiations will be starting now that tariffs have been lowered. As to "one-way" trade deals are you unaware that the U.S. also had special tariffs on specific goods, as well as several non-tariff barriers. Are you unaware that there was no Buy European Act, or Buy Australian Act? (China is a different case, they were not really playing by the rules). The current situation with China is that there are still tariffs, albeit lower. The U.S. seems to have an advantage with 30% tariffs against 10% applied by China. However, it's only on paper as the Chinese economy is controlled by the State and the CCP can decide about imports to a large extent. The main problem with China is the level of economies of scale it can achieve thanks to the size of its domestic market. We are already feeling their impact for goods such as solar panels, EV, Telecommunications equipment, etc... There is no way the U.S. alone can match this level of economies of scale alone on long-term (and possibly on middle-term too). The only way to reach a sufficient level of economies of scale is with allies, allies that Trump is attacking in the same way he's attacking China. The TIPP and TPP were moves in that direction, but Trump 1.0 trashed them.
  22. It's you the laptop denier. You always deny that nothing incriminating for Joe Biden has been found on the laptop, despite the GOP Committee trying every possible trick before failing miserably. 🤣
  23. Biden has been quite useful, first by beating Trump, and then by achieving the best post-Covid economic recovery among comparable advanced economies (G7). However, he should have let the Dems manage a succession rather than candidating for the 2024 election. Now it's time to let others rebuild the Dem party after the 2024 defeat. And also time to have younger politicians take more responsibilities. Well, that's what young Dems are saying! 🙂
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