Bkk Brian

However the probability of passing it on when vaccinated is not as high as the unvaccinated.

With Omicron being so infectious I'd hate to see how infectious another strain would be for it to become dominant. I see in the UK they have found a few cases of a new Deltacron, no this is not the one detected some time ago, this is a unique one to the UK, however there seems to be no concerns or anything to worry about yet. 'Deltacron' Covid variant merging Omicron and Delta now being monitored by health chiefs The new variant - labelled Deltacron - has been identified in a UK patient and was named by the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) in its weekly "variants in monitoring" list. The new variant is believed to have evolved in a patient who caught both the Omicron and Delta variants at the same time. The exact number of Deltacron cases is unknown, although scientists at this stage reportedly believe case numbers are 'low'. https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/deltacron-covid-variant-merging-omicron-26212049

Thailand classifies testing positive on arrival up to day 10. Omicron has a much shorter incubation period than other variants, typically just 3 days and the majority of arrivals coming through the test and go entry test positive on the 5th day. Take Hau Hin for example. 7 tested positive on the first day but 96 tested positive on the 5th day. https://www.huahintoday.com/hua-hin-news/feb-10-prachuap-reports-208-new-covid-19-cases-29-cases-in-hua-hin/

PCR test positive cases, total of 15,882 official new infections. 24 official covid deaths recorded. Rapid tests positive cases, 8,311 bringing the total of PCR and ATK results to 24,193 https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/ Rolling 7 day average chart from 11th Feb https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand

Goldie (with gold teeth) lives in Phuket, has done for a few years if he counts, UK DJ been in a few movies including a James Bond one and Snatch. Met him a few times here. This was taken 2 years ago at a waterboarding park with my daughter.

Probably about right, here are the estimates from the IHME model for Thailand's true case numbers. The mean estimate being 176k daily https://ourworldindata.org/covid-models#institute-for-health-metrics-and-evaluation-ihme

I recommend watching the weekly video update a couple of days ago from Tim Spector ... Professor of Genetic Epidemiology, King's College London, who runs the Zoe app in the UK with nearly a million contributions weekly from the UK population. He touches on Denmark and other countries in Europe. I believe it gives some good insight into how this may also play out in Thailand. The notion that Omicron will just dive bomb down after peaking is looking to be more a myth than fact, yes the highest peak quickly decreases but currently levels remain very high with the UK seeing waves. My take on this is that as with Denmark, the UK and other European countries that are living with this with minimal or no restrictions Thailand needs to get into gear and realize that its never going away entirely and likely the numbers will remain high for some time yet. The Test and Go, outside mask mandates, bars, schools and entertainment closed has to come to an end.

The vast majority of those will also stay as "possible" cases as we know they do not confirm with PCR unless they enter hospital for treatment. Interesting to see that WHO Thailand in its weekly updates also now includes the ATK positive cases, this last one from the 9th Feb. https://www.who.int/thailand/emergencies/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports

A shameful statistic....................47.34% schools still no onsite learning, yet 95.11 per cent of students received their first jab, and 71.41 their second jab. More than 50% of schools conducting onsite classes The Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) reported on Friday that as of February 8, 18,582 or 52.26 per cent of 35,554 schools nationwide had opened and were conducting onsite classes. https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40012255

Well considering that Thailand advice's a booster shot after just 4 weeks after taking your second shot of Sinovac probably says it all.

To be fair this poll was carried out end of August last year when delta cases and deaths were at their peak, Omicron is en entirely different beast being less virulent and the higher vaccination rates. It would be interesting to rerun that poll now and see what the results would be.

16,330 PCR positive cases 8,354 ATK positive cases The official dashboard gives a positivity rate for PCR testing at 15.80% https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/ which is still very high but the true positivity rate is probably closer to the chart number below at 23.8% even higher and showing a desperate need for more testing https://djay.github.io/covidthailand/#testing

I'd like to see the results on the Chinese "Triple S" Not seen either study anywhere on the web............

610 patients in ICU, that's the highest number since 30th Dec last year.

PCR test positive cases, total of 16,330 official new infections. 25 official covid deaths recorded. Rapid tests positive cases, 8,354 bringing the total of PCR and ATK results to 24,684 https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/ Rolling 7 day average chart from 10th Feb https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand

Your claim in your quote below................ Debunked by the evidence........ BA.2 is more transmissible than BA.1 but vaccinated persons are less likely to be infected and to pass on infection https://en.ssi.dk/news/news/2022/ba2-more-transmissible-than-ba1-vaccinated-less-likely-to-infected-pass-on-infection

Just for you, seeing as you've obviously not gone through this thread and seen the links to the evidence previously posted, plenty more where that came from. BA.2 is more transmissible than BA.1 but vaccinated persons are less likely to be infected and to pass on infection https://en.ssi.dk/news/news/2022/ba2-more-transmissible-than-ba1-vaccinated-less-likely-to-infected-pass-on-infection

Yet those other countries still had their businesses open throughout because they already know Omicron is not as lethal, Denmark's peak may not even be there yet either. Like I said, hardly one step ahead of WHO and other countries as they claimed to be.

Its the only way forward its as simple as that. Denmark, UK and other European countries know this. Thailand claims to be one step ahead. How wrong they are

Testing its 146th in the world with 246,437 tests per million people. As a comparison Denmark is 8th in the world with 21,030,737 tests per million people. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ Excess deaths you can add remove countries in the charts here to get comparisons https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid

Not so sure about that, its case count is the result of its abysmal testing. Its official death count has has no relation to its excess deaths

Here's a more up to date report from the UKHSA on the 27th Jan from their separate reports on: COVID-19 vaccine surveillance report Week 4 27 January 2022 (pdf download link) Two doses of either AstraZeneca (ChAdOx1-S) or Pfizer (BNT162b2) vaccines was associated with a vaccine effectiveness of approximately 25 to 35% against hospitalisation following infection with the Omicron variant, after 25+ weeks. After a Pfizer booster (after either primary vaccination course), vaccine effectiveness against hospitalisation started at around 90% dropping to around 75% after 10 to 14 weeks. After a Moderna booster (mRNA-1273) (after either primary vaccination course), vaccine effectiveness against hospitalisation was 90 to 95% up to 9 weeks after vaccination. EDIT This table from their most recent update 10th Feb (table a is Omicron) https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-vaccine-weekly-surveillance-reports

Good question, why did it take so long for the SA deaths to start rising and why have they continued that way for so long? Its not the case with other countries (except maybe the US) that have already seen the peak of Omicron. Maybe down to reporting issues, vaccine coverage, testing? However as you say the percentage of deaths is well below that of delta and Beta although the percentage of deaths compared to the first wave they had with the original strain of covid-19 is around 35% - 40%. Its reasonable to assume that deaths here in Thailand will continue to rise but again nowhere near previous levels. Together with a less virulent variant the vaccine coverage here is far better. Although only 62.2% of over 60's have had two doses and just 19.9% have had a booster so we may get more hospital admissions in this age group. It is a waiting game to see how it plays out here. https://media.thaigov.go.th/uploads/public_img/source/100265.pdf

3 charts on hospital admissions and deaths since 1st Jan. 1. Hospital admissions, this is for those getting treatment at a real hospital and does not include hospitels, community care centers etc. 2. ICU and ventilated cases 3. Covid deaths. (long lag for this one, take South Africa for example, first country in the world to experience Omicron, their deaths are still rising or perhaps just coming to a peak) All chart data taken from official https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/

PCR test positive cases, total of 15,242 official new infections. 23 official covid deaths recorded. Rapid tests positive cases, 8,268 bringing the total of PCR and ATK results to 23,510 https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/