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Everything posted by tgw
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Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
MAD is the next step after the conventional counterstrike. Putler is more intelligent than you and won't make the same mistake in his calculations. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
this is simply not true, at no moment was Putler ready to negotiate realistic terms, always making ridiculous demands. It's all well explained for anyone who want to read and know the truth: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/06/15/world/europe/ukraine-russia-peace-negotiations.html Once Ruzzia has launched a nuke, the US will already be in a nuclear conflict with Ruzzia. Because what would it mean ? NATO and US back down in the face of a serious nuclear threat, and Ruzzia can go ahead invading other countries. And hey, India, Iran, North Korea, China can do the same. nope. the principle of mutually assured destruction is still valid. allowing Ruzzia to win by using a nuke is way more dangerous than any other scenario. even allowing people and Putler to think they could get away with it is very dangerous. so no, you can be assured that Ruzzia will suffer a conventional strike crippling its offensive capabilities. and there will be more. no-fly zones, NATO planes over Ukraine, probably destruction of one of Ruzzia's naval fleets. tit for tat. and NATO not directly responding with a nuke would be even the "nice tit for tat" strategy. so you can forget your dreams about Putler nuking Ukraine and getting away with it. Strategy 101. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
the situation was played in strategic simulations, the conventional strike was the scenario that won everyone's favour as being the best response. of course Ruzzia has the means to retake the Kursk territories - but it might be more difficult with its forces engaged in the Donbass. the incursion is in no way a threat to Ruzzian statehood. It's time for Putler to quit his Hitler-reenactment cosplay and stop the stupid games. Ruzzia leave Ukraine be, go home. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
there are huge mistakes in your calculations. firstly, a nuclear missile will not defeat Ukraine. big nuke or small nuke, Putin will lose on both fronts. a small nuke will in the best case (best for NAZI Ruzzia) cause 5000 to 10.000 military casualties, which can be replaced. But even a small nuke will cause Putin's accomplices to turn away from him, India and China, gone, no more supplies from there, that will cripple Ruzzia. Also, the US and NATO will probably respond with a crippling conventional strike against Ruzzia's offensive capabilities. I also believe such a strike, far from motivating Ukraine to give up will on the contrary enrage Ukraine and also all neighboring countries and more. If Putin does this, Ruzzia goes straight to hell. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
depends when. maybe the video predates the attack. the other possibility is two infiltrated Ruzzian agents. there are loads of infiltrated Ruzzian agents in the Ukrainian military. anyway, due to Ruzzia's history of lying in addition to the lack of identification on the soldiers, very little credit can be given to this video. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
answering my own question and applying Occam's Razor I'll go with the infiltrated Ruzzian agents theory, because of three reasons: - this video compromises OPSEC - I would think the Ukrainian army knows about Ruzzian efforts to paint them as Nazis and thus I would expect that the display of Nazi symbols to be strongly discouraged - there are many efforts by Ruzzia in the past to plant such false narratives: https://www.dw.com/en/fact-check-is-there-any-truth-to-russias-ukrainian-nazis-propaganda/a-63970461 -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
quite an interesting video. shot just at the West entrance to Sudzha on the road from Sumy. it's very interesting how the soldiers wear no recognizable insignia or colors and how the camera spends time on the Ukrainian armed forces flag on the car. can't really say if these are two infiltrated Ruzzian agents or two idiots. -
Donald Trump’s speech during Musk interview sparks health concerns
tgw replied to placeholder's topic in Political Soapbox
so what examples do you have of that ? -
Donald Trump’s speech during Musk interview sparks health concerns
tgw replied to placeholder's topic in Political Soapbox
I'm still waiting on your examples of how the top fact checking websites are misleading -
Donald Trump’s speech during Musk interview sparks health concerns
tgw replied to placeholder's topic in Political Soapbox
can you fact check yourself and provide some examples of how leading 5 fact checking sites were misleading about some fact checks they did ? -
What's One Thing You Wish You Knew Before Moving to Thailand?
tgw replied to Conan The Barbarian's topic in General Topics
one thing, huh .... "the future" -
Bangok condo owner’s 120,000 baht bill for trashed rental - video
tgw replied to snoop1130's topic in Bangkok News
you need to visit TOP CHAROEN OPTICAL you missed the ondulating laminate (because of water damage) - most furniture looks like a writeoff too. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
You will find he's not the only poster here seemingly very skilled at following the propaganda instruction manual. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
or a KA-52 heli crew defecting ... -
Police Officer and Her Two Daughters Found Dead in Bathroom
tgw replied to Georgealbert's topic in Central Thailand News
the story is quite unbelievable. this must have been some strong chemical to act this fast while the doors were open (I assume they all were open, that's what Thai police usually does). I would think that if smelling such an odor and trying to rescue a downed person in the bathroom, I would hold my breath for the time it takes me to drag that person out. ... one thing the police should look for is if the bathroom door can be locked and unlocked from the outside. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
repeating enemy propaganda is criminal. -
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Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
no no ... there is only one side TARGETING civilians, and it's your darlings the Ruzzians. indeed, your buddies the war criminals did far worse, but that isn't the point. the point is that your idols are targeting civilians, which amounts to mass murder and make it a war crime. I don't believe you are stupid, so that makes you an enemy agent and a criminal under section 14 of Thailand's Computer Crime Act, deliberately posting lies and disinformation. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
Read up on what Ruzzia's #2 after Putler, Dimitri Medvedev, has been saying. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
resources and people. because Russia is demographically <deleted> -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
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Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
yes - although the reconstruction will be profitable for many more than just investors and company owners, whole sectors of industry will benefit as well as their workers. We are talking big industries here, construction, energy, civil engineering, etc. Heavy stuff. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
and that's exactly why Ukraine's debt will be a non-issue after the war. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
doesn't even need a link as it's non-news. combats happening, there are wounded, blood is needed. nothing unexpected. -
Latest developments and discussion of recent events in the Ukraine War
tgw replied to Rimmer's topic in The War in Ukraine
as expected, sadly. Ruzzia's army : - before 2022, second best army in the word - end of 2022, second best army in Ukraine - now: second best army in Russia