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tgw

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Everything posted by tgw

  1. MAD is the next step after the conventional counterstrike. Putler is more intelligent than you and won't make the same mistake in his calculations.
  2. this is simply not true, at no moment was Putler ready to negotiate realistic terms, always making ridiculous demands. It's all well explained for anyone who want to read and know the truth: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/06/15/world/europe/ukraine-russia-peace-negotiations.html Once Ruzzia has launched a nuke, the US will already be in a nuclear conflict with Ruzzia. Because what would it mean ? NATO and US back down in the face of a serious nuclear threat, and Ruzzia can go ahead invading other countries. And hey, India, Iran, North Korea, China can do the same. nope. the principle of mutually assured destruction is still valid. allowing Ruzzia to win by using a nuke is way more dangerous than any other scenario. even allowing people and Putler to think they could get away with it is very dangerous. so no, you can be assured that Ruzzia will suffer a conventional strike crippling its offensive capabilities. and there will be more. no-fly zones, NATO planes over Ukraine, probably destruction of one of Ruzzia's naval fleets. tit for tat. and NATO not directly responding with a nuke would be even the "nice tit for tat" strategy. so you can forget your dreams about Putler nuking Ukraine and getting away with it. Strategy 101.
  3. the situation was played in strategic simulations, the conventional strike was the scenario that won everyone's favour as being the best response. of course Ruzzia has the means to retake the Kursk territories - but it might be more difficult with its forces engaged in the Donbass. the incursion is in no way a threat to Ruzzian statehood. It's time for Putler to quit his Hitler-reenactment cosplay and stop the stupid games. Ruzzia leave Ukraine be, go home.
  4. there are huge mistakes in your calculations. firstly, a nuclear missile will not defeat Ukraine. big nuke or small nuke, Putin will lose on both fronts. a small nuke will in the best case (best for NAZI Ruzzia) cause 5000 to 10.000 military casualties, which can be replaced. But even a small nuke will cause Putin's accomplices to turn away from him, India and China, gone, no more supplies from there, that will cripple Ruzzia. Also, the US and NATO will probably respond with a crippling conventional strike against Ruzzia's offensive capabilities. I also believe such a strike, far from motivating Ukraine to give up will on the contrary enrage Ukraine and also all neighboring countries and more. If Putin does this, Ruzzia goes straight to hell.
  5. depends when. maybe the video predates the attack. the other possibility is two infiltrated Ruzzian agents. there are loads of infiltrated Ruzzian agents in the Ukrainian military. anyway, due to Ruzzia's history of lying in addition to the lack of identification on the soldiers, very little credit can be given to this video.
  6. answering my own question and applying Occam's Razor I'll go with the infiltrated Ruzzian agents theory, because of three reasons: - this video compromises OPSEC - I would think the Ukrainian army knows about Ruzzian efforts to paint them as Nazis and thus I would expect that the display of Nazi symbols to be strongly discouraged - there are many efforts by Ruzzia in the past to plant such false narratives: https://www.dw.com/en/fact-check-is-there-any-truth-to-russias-ukrainian-nazis-propaganda/a-63970461
  7. quite an interesting video. shot just at the West entrance to Sudzha on the road from Sumy. it's very interesting how the soldiers wear no recognizable insignia or colors and how the camera spends time on the Ukrainian armed forces flag on the car. can't really say if these are two infiltrated Ruzzian agents or two idiots.
  8. so what examples do you have of that ?
  9. I'm still waiting on your examples of how the top fact checking websites are misleading
  10. can you fact check yourself and provide some examples of how leading 5 fact checking sites were misleading about some fact checks they did ?
  11. you need to visit TOP CHAROEN OPTICAL you missed the ondulating laminate (because of water damage) - most furniture looks like a writeoff too.
  12. You will find he's not the only poster here seemingly very skilled at following the propaganda instruction manual.
  13. or a KA-52 heli crew defecting ...
  14. the story is quite unbelievable. this must have been some strong chemical to act this fast while the doors were open (I assume they all were open, that's what Thai police usually does). I would think that if smelling such an odor and trying to rescue a downed person in the bathroom, I would hold my breath for the time it takes me to drag that person out. ... one thing the police should look for is if the bathroom door can be locked and unlocked from the outside.
  15. repeating enemy propaganda is criminal.
  16. A propos X, for all monty python fans :
  17. no no ... there is only one side TARGETING civilians, and it's your darlings the Ruzzians. indeed, your buddies the war criminals did far worse, but that isn't the point. the point is that your idols are targeting civilians, which amounts to mass murder and make it a war crime. I don't believe you are stupid, so that makes you an enemy agent and a criminal under section 14 of Thailand's Computer Crime Act, deliberately posting lies and disinformation.
  18. Read up on what Ruzzia's #2 after Putler, Dimitri Medvedev, has been saying.
  19. resources and people. because Russia is demographically <deleted>
  20. a more recent map https://x.com/JayinKyiv/status/1821852269660316127
  21. yes - although the reconstruction will be profitable for many more than just investors and company owners, whole sectors of industry will benefit as well as their workers. We are talking big industries here, construction, energy, civil engineering, etc. Heavy stuff.
  22. and that's exactly why Ukraine's debt will be a non-issue after the war.
  23. doesn't even need a link as it's non-news. combats happening, there are wounded, blood is needed. nothing unexpected.
  24. as expected, sadly. Ruzzia's army : - before 2022, second best army in the word - end of 2022, second best army in Ukraine - now: second best army in Russia
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