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Trapped boys could be rescued THIS WEEK, says Chiang Rai governor


webfact

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However, the governor denied reports in Thai media that the boys will be evacuated today.

 

I am pretty sure it was him who started that rumour yesterday. He may be the governor, but if he hasn't anything concrete based on expert advice to say, I think he is better leaving comments like this well alone. 

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1 hour ago, AlexRich said:

The sooner they get them out of there the better. This drama is far from over. Good luck to the rescue team.

I'm sure the different rescue teams have different ideas about safety and the risks they are willing to take. I hope the Thais in charge don't push for a quick evacuation rather than wait it out if that's the only 100% safe option. Keeping them in the cave for up to 4 months will be extremely expensive, so hopefully, they are not weighing costs against acceptable loss. I've seen a number of hints by the Thai media that they are in a hurry to attempt immediate evacuation. There was even talk about a possible extraction last night.

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As a diver, very limited cave expettise though: they'd be going with the current, so I would not worry too much about that. Lines are there, as are expert divers, and there are areas in between where they can surface.
 
So I'd say, get them out sometime this week after the kids have gained some strength, maybe Friday or Saturday.
I haven't read into this in technical detail but decompression issues are likely to be different to open water diving, also maybe not compressed air
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I'm sure the different rescue teams have different ideas about safety and the risks they are willing to take. I hope the Thais in charge don't push for a quick evacuation rather than wait it out if that's the only 100% safe option. Keeping them in the cave for up to 4 months will be extremely expensive, so hopefully, they are not weighing costs against acceptable loss. I've seen a number of hints by the Thai media that they are in a hurry to attempt immediate evacuation. There was even talk about a possible extraction last night.
The kids with no experience trying to dive under extreme conditions are likely to panic and cause a death. Perhaps better to individually parcel them up so they can't flap about and pull them out 1 by 1
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11 minutes ago, scubascuba3 said:
21 minutes ago, stevenl said:
As a diver, very limited cave expettise though: they'd be going with the current, so I would not worry too much about that. Lines are there, as are expert divers, and there are areas in between where they can surface.
 
So I'd say, get them out sometime this week after the kids have gained some strength, maybe Friday or Saturday.

I haven't read into this in technical detail but decompression issues are likely to be different to open water diving, also maybe not compressed air

No issue since the depth will be really shallow. Nitrox or air should both be fine.

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9 minutes ago, jerry921 said:

Oh for sure they'll bring them through one at a time rather than all at once.

 

And in response to tropo's post, waiting isn't 100% safe either. The water could rise, there could be a cave-in, and beyond that there is the psychological risk & damage of extending the whole thing.

 

It's all risky, and there has to be one person with responsibility to make the call, advised by all experts. You can't run these things by committee and try to gain consensus on the best path forward, when it's all life or death decisions and risks in every direction.

I did use the word "if" in relation to the option of waiting. I don't know what's the safest option. Only the experts can advise on that.

 

Allow me to adjust the "100% safe" to "the SAFEST option". Of course with a 4-month wait, there's more chance that a rescuer or member of a support team will perish.

 

If my wife was one of the 13 trapped in there, there is no way that she could be extracted by diving. She is absolutely terrified of water and being submerged. Perhaps some of the kids are the same. Apparently, none of them can swim.

 

 

Edited by tropo
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There is no perfect risk free tactic here. Letting them stay there means risk of water rising, permanent psychological damage, and even life threatening infections. We all understand the risks of diving them out.

Just saw some big Thai authority on the news saying nothing will be done that isn't 100 percent safe. Wow. Really? Crossing the road isn't that safe.

I think the safest option by far is if they can drain the water to the point where they can mostly wade out but they might never get to that point.

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There is no perfect risk free tactic here. Letting them stay there means risk of water rising, permanent psychological damage, and even life threatening infections. We all understand the risks of diving them out.

Just saw some big Thai authority on the news saying nothing will be done that isn't 100 percent safe. Wow. Really? Crossing the road isn't that safe.

I think the safest option by far is if they can drain the water to the point where they can mostly wade out but they might never get to that point.

Sent from my Lenovo A7020a48 using Thailand Forum - Thaivisa mobile app



Agree, as it’s been reported that non of them can even swim (including the Coach)


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One of the two Brit divers that found them said that when it rained the current was so strong you could hardly make progress against it. During the extraction they'll be going with the current, but if it's too strong it will be like being battered along in rapids. They should fit them with full-head crash helmets and other protective/padding gear in case they lose hold of the line and get swept along.

 

Of course I suspect the rescuers will not be taking them out when the current is at its strongest, but will wait until it is close to its weakest.

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