Thailand reports 194 new COVID-19 cases 

 

REUTERS file photo for reference only

 

Thailand confirmed 194 new coronavirus cases on Thursday, down slightly from the 250 reported on Wednesday. 

 

Of the new cases, 181 were local transmissions and 13 were imported cases from people on repatriation flights and in state quarantine centers.

 

There are now reported cases in 49 provinces in Thailand.

 

There were no new deaths reported, while a further 2 people have been discharged from hospital.

 

2,583 people remain in hospital or held in a migrant worker quarantine centre.

 

Thursday’s cases bring the total number of COVID-19 cases in Thailand to 6,884.

 

The number of new infections and total cases in Thailand since 14 Dec is as follows:

 

14 Dec: +28 (4,237)

15 Dec: +9 (4,246)

16 Dec: +15 (4,261)

17 Dec: +20 (4,281)

18 Dec: +16 (4,297)

19 Dec: +34 (4,331)

20 Dec: +576 (4,907)

21 Dec: +382 (5,289)

22 Dec: +427 (5,716)

23 Dec: +46 (5,762)

24 Dec: +67 (5,829)

25 Dec: +81 (5,910)

26 Dec: +110 (6,020)

27 Dec: +121 (6,141)

28 Dec: +144 (6,285)

29 Dec: +155 (6,440)

30 Dec: +250 (6,690)

31 Dec: +194 (6,884)

 

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1st  +180

2nd + 167

3rd + 155

4th + 146

5th + 128

Not making sense with the numbers, you would expect an exponential growth.  This appears just like the first mini wave we had.  The numbers can not be right, or are they not including all again.

1 minute ago, ThailandRyan said:

Not making sense with the numbers, you would expect an exponential growth.  This appears just like the first mini wave we had.  The numbers can not be right, or are they not including all again.

Or they stopped testing over the Christmas period ! The growth will probably start exponentially about 3rd or 4th

I don't care how many times the PM heard this.  You could have had a vaccine by now and nothing has been done.  To me this is dereliction of duty.   A vaccine now would have the country fully open in less then a year.  But to keep hoping cases go down on their own is not going to work.  I think Thailand needs new leadership.

Edited December 31, 20205 yr by Mango Bob

3 minutes ago, Mango Bob said:

I don't care how many times the PM heard this.  You could have had a vaccine by now and nothing has been done.  To me this is dereliction of duty.   A vaccine now would have the country fully open in less then a year.  But to keep hoping cases go down on their own is not going to work.  I think Thailand needs need leadership.

Ya Think, really.  Of course many do as well think he needs to go.....

We all know that 

- one part of the government has no clue what the other is doing

- they make stuff up

- they lie

- they have to save face and never admit having lied

 

It's just numbers, none of which I believe.

7 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Not making sense with the numbers, you would expect an exponential growth.  This appears just like the first mini wave we had.  The numbers can not be right, or are they not including all again.

You would only get exponential growth if the R number is above one. The aim of mitigation measures such as mask wearing, personal hygiene, social distancing, the restriction of gatherings etc is to keep it below 1. If those measures have the effect that we all hope they would (and which the evidence suggests they can have) then you would not see exponential growth.

Young bloke in the yellow shirt is in a good paddock!

18 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Not making sense with the numbers, you would expect an exponential growth.  This appears just like the first mini wave we had.  The numbers can not be right, or are they not including all again.

Of course you can substantiate the claim ".... not including all again" 

23 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Not making sense with the numbers, you would expect an exponential growth.  This appears just like the first mini wave we had.  The numbers can not be right, or are they not including all again.

Unevenness is caused by data noise (nonuniformity) and reporting times. A good sign the data is real. If it goes up smooth, it's more suspicious.

 

Noise is a problem with the highly infectious strain because of large clusters and super spreaders. The Nonthbuti cluster is now almost 50.

 

Edited December 31, 20205 yr by rabas

32 minutes ago, cyril sneer said:

1st  +180

2nd + 167

3rd + 155

4th + 146

5th + 128

?????? 

20 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Not making sense with the numbers, you would expect an exponential growth.  This appears just like the first mini wave we had.  The numbers can not be right, or are they not including all again.

Few countries increase exponentially, as that only occurs when no controls are in place and it assumes everyone has an equal chance of exposure and infection. I would expect some increases over time, but i doubt outright exponential growth will occur for any appreciable amount of time. 

20 minutes ago, RichardColeman said:

Or they stopped testing over the Christmas period ! The growth will probably start exponentially about 3rd or 4th

Thais don't celebrate Christmas. Just look at the dip in the US numbers on Xmas day. There were considerably lower. 

Thai numbers may be low for the next few days but may increase in the new year as people return back to work. 

36 minutes ago, cyril sneer said:

1st  +180

2nd + 167

3rd + 155

4th + 146

5th + 128

7th 1000+  (cause incubation times)

 

Edited December 31, 20205 yr by rabas

Is there a breakdown by province yet?

It potentially makes a big difference to us in Pattaya if 100+ of the new local cases are in Banglamung, or <50.

6 minutes ago, Guderian said:

Is there a breakdown by province yet?

It potentially makes a big difference to us in Pattaya if 100+ of the new local cases are in Banglamung, or <50.

I think that's happened??  Guaranteed, the real number is 5-10x what's being reported.  They even admit to this.

 

 

1 minute ago, Jeffr2 said:

I think that's happened??  Guaranteed, the real number is 5-10x what's being reported.  They even admit to this.

Evidence?

36 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Not making sense with the numbers, you would expect an exponential growth.  This appears just like the first mini wave we had.  The numbers can not be right, or are they not including all again.

People are wearing masks and cleaning their hands here. Any proof of other numbers?

34 minutes ago, RichardColeman said:

Or they stopped testing over the Christmas period ! 

Why would a Buddhist country do that, you make no sense at all

15 minutes ago, Guderian said:

Is there a breakdown by province yet?

It potentially makes a big difference to us in Pattaya if 100+ of the new local cases are in Banglamung, or <50.

 

"Meanwhile, the governor of Thailand’s eastern province of Chon Buri ordered the lockdown of Bang Lamung district, after 108 new COVID-19 cases were recorded in a single day.

...

Governor Pakkaratorn Thienchai said today that new infections increased by 108 cases today from 12 cases yesterday and 22 cases on Monday.

 

 

8 minutes ago, Jeffr2 said:

I think that's happened??  Guaranteed, the real number is 5-10x what's being reported.  They even admit to this.

 

 

Where do they admit the number is 5-10 times higher?

9 minutes ago, rabas said:

Evidence?

Who needs evidence when the TVF experts are on call 24/7..

6 minutes ago, FritsSikkink said:

Why would a Buddhist country do that, you make no sense at all

I know many Thais that celebrate Christmas and do not work, may as well make a daft comment like Thais don't celebrate muslim holidays

9 minutes ago, rabas said:

Evidence?

https://bangkokherald.com/coronavirus/new-evidence-casts-doubts-on-accuracy-of-thailands-official-coronavirus-statistics/

 

read the last 2 paragraphs...there are many more articles like this where they say the same thing.

3 minutes ago, FritsSikkink said:

Where do they admit the number is 5-10 times higher?

Never said they admitted to 5-10 times higher.  Just that they admitted they don't know about all cases.  And before this outbreak, they said the virus was still there.  Sad times here in Thailand now.

1 minute ago, Jeffr2 said:

https://bangkokherald.com/coronavirus/new-evidence-casts-doubts-on-accuracy-of-thailands-official-coronavirus-statistics/

 

read the last 2 paragraphs...there are many more articles like this where they say the same thing.

In addition to the article admitting it was all wrong about antibody tests, which was completely removed ....

 

-- The paragraph does not support your claim 5x 10x.

-- PCR testing does find asymptomatic cases, thus not relevant.

-- Worldwide the accepted level of true asymptomatic cases is about 17% to 20%.

7 minutes ago, rabas said:

In addition to the article admitting it was all wrong about antibody tests, which was completely removed ....

 

-- The paragraph does not support your claim 5x 10x.

-- PCR testing does find asymptomatic cases, thus not relevant.

-- Worldwide the accepted level of true asymptomatic cases is about 17% to 20%.

I never said they admitted to 5x 10x.  Just that they admitted there were more cases than they report.  That's in the article.  And many others that I could come up with.  Congrats to them for admitting this.

 

Not sure how we got onto PCR testing or asymptomatic cases....

1 hour ago, 2long said:

We all know that 

- one part of the government has no clue what the other is doing

- they make stuff up

- they lie

- they have to save face and never admit having lied

To me that is exactly what all governments around the world do.

Let's not forget Rayong

 

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The police commander of Chon Buri has been abruptly removed from his post for alleged gross negligence in allowing illegal gambling dens to operate, which are being blamed for the COVID-19 outbreak in the province.