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Flying to Thailand from Turkey with a 2 day stop in Dubai - when to apply for COE and FTF?
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Trump hugely popular compared to last time
Last 15 polls prior to election - take the 3rd and 4th best polls for Trump you get an average of +1.5. Correct outcome. Last 15 approval polls for Trump - take the 3rd and 4th best polls you get +5 So he is actually doing really well. -
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How do you want things to be like by 2028?
Don’t confuse knowing what will happen with wanting something to happen. The US would have been just fine, with a few minor hiccups from time to time, if it had avoided electing the current incompetent clown. Now, all the worst case scenarios are on the table. A 20% market tumble this year is a certainty, as is the start of a Recession. Absent some dumb luck, more likely is a 50% market drop, double digit unemployment, and the US moving into a Depression. Tariffs, trade wars, alienating allies and yet more unnecessary tax cuts will do that. Though not totally immune to the coming maelstrom, I have taken steps to minimize any impact the clownshow can have on me. I’m totally out of the market, have gone short term USTs and cash, diversified into other currencies, and have international acreage that is arable and has its own water source. I own a range of weapons, should society get nasty, and have at least 20K rounds of ammo in various makes, from 5.56 NATO to 9mm, and my practice targets all have silly red hats. I’m fortunate in that I was trained by the best. As for predictability, I‘m pretty comfortable with my long term track record spotting trends, as that or dumb luck is what enabled me to retire at a tender age. I’m certainly never going to worry about digging 50 baht out of a Mike’s Shopping Mall pair of cargo shorts so that I can buy a plate of street food, like some MAGAs here. As Charlie Sheen says, WINNING! I also know MAGAs and their messiah are quite poor at predicting anything. That’s why the average MAGA is rather unsuccessful, and their messiah blew a massive inheritance with poor decision-making and top-ticking markets, until saved by Mark Burnett making him a Game Show Host. POTUS’ mouth diarrhea has already alienated former friends and allies, and led even gentle Canada into imposing its own tariffs on US goods, not bothering to wait for the whiner in the White House to finally make up his mind. A major fear I have is for a terrorist attack, because intel-sharing with former friendly liaison services has already stopped. Nobody trusts the President, and they are not about to hand over intel that could reveal clandestine assets or SIGINT operations, assuming the POTUS would either mouth off or hand intel to his buddy Putin. I wouldn’t even rule out the possibility of POTUS falling to a Ukrainian hit squad, or even a Danish one. Those Vikings should not be taken lightly. I’m guesstimating a 30% possibility that the US sees secession by successful Blue States before 2028. There are already secession movements in California and Washington, and any move by them would have New England and NY do the same. I remember back in 2020 when the ‘really stable geniuses’ of MAGAstan predicted a horrible 4 years under Biden. Well, they couldn’t have been more wrong. Since 2020, US economic growth was three times the average of other G7 nations, and was the highest US growth since under Bill Clinton in the 1990s. Biden presided over 41 straight months of <4% Unemployment, the longest streak in 64 years, and no President ever saw higher job creation. If there’s anything I would like to see, it is not POTUS getting shot, but maybe a stroke leaving him a drooling, blabbering idiot (might be tough to tell the difference from the present), and then after a period of karmic suffering for a life poorly lived, let him pass and get tossed into an unmarked grave, upon which dogs void themselves. I really don’t think that is too much to ask. -
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Is it possible Trump is trying to sabotage the world economy?
Where is this imaginary agreement signed by the U.S. or NATO countries? -
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Doctors Urge Ban on Smacking Children, Calling It a Harmful ‘Victorian’ Practice
When I was in Junior High School (Grades 7-9) in the US Midwest they still allowed paddling. This was around 1969-1972. I think it was limited to three swats maximum. Most of the male teachers did it themselves. The women sent them to the Asst Principal who was a former boxer with a cauliflower ear. Despite his appearance he was actually a very nice guy and didn't put full effort into his swats. The shop teacher did make paddles for the women teachers, but they just hung on the wall as a symbol of authority, but were never used. I had my share of these until the day I was acting up in band class. I think it was for throwing a paper plane out the window. The band teacher told me to come up front for my punishment but as he was getting his paddle off the wall he stopped and said "I don't think my paddle is the right one for the job". My mother was a math teacher at the school and I had to go ask to borrow her paddle. Quite embarrassing to interrupt her class to ask for it. -
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Israeli Tourists and Transgender Group Clash on Phuket's Bangla Road - video
The pox is currently operating in Washington DC, to maximum effect.
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