New COVID hospitalizations continue their sharp rise for fifth consecutive week

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/

 

New weekly COVID hospitalizations in Thailand continued their sharp rise for a fifth consecutive week hitting 1,811 new cases as of last week (April 23-29), up more than 66% percent from the prior week and more than 10-fold from the start of the month, according to newly released data by the Ministry of Public Health.

 

The continuing rise in COVID hospitalizations, which began before the recent Song Kran holidays and has continued after them, was accompanied by similar increases in reported weekly COVID deaths, which doubled to 10 last week compared to five two weeks ago (April 16-22), and similar increases in serious condition COVID hospitalizations.

 

The latest weekly new COVID hospitalization numbers are by far the highest for Thailand since the start of 2023, while the latest weekly COVID death count is the highest since mid-February. Thailand stopped publicly reporting regular non-hospitalized COVID cases last fall, though one local doctor recently predicted the country might be heading for 5,000 to 10,000 new COVID infections per day.

 

Also last week, the share of COVID hospitalizations reported in serious condition rose to 157, more than doubling from the 73 count two weeks ago and the 19 counted during the first week of April (April 2-8). Likewise, the share of COVID hospitalized patients requiring intubation to breath more than doubled to 79 last week compared to 35 two weeks ago, and 14 the first week of April.

 

According to MOPH data, weekly COVID hospitalizations in Thailand hit a year-to-date low of 122 for the week of March 5-11, then climbed to 178 for March 12-18, before then declining to 150 for March 19-25. Since then, newly reported COVID hospitalizations have risen for the past five straight weeks totaling 167 March 26 to April 1, 168 April 2-8, 435 April 9-15, 1,088 April 16-22, and 1,811 April 23-29. The latest 1,811 weekly number translates into an average of about 258 new COVID hospitalizations per day.

 

With the latest update from MoPH, total reported COVID deaths in Thailand since the start of the year have now hit 288, while total reported COVID hospitalizations for the year have reached 8,382.

 

April 2-8, 2023:

 

April 9-15, 2023:

 

April 16-22, 2023:

 

 

Edited May 1, 2023 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

 

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[brewsterbudgen]

And?  Will there be an announcement every time the case numbers rise, for the rest of time?

[Eleftheros]

7 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

And?  Will there be an announcement every time the case numbers rise, for the rest of time?

Probably. It's easier to become fixated on Covid than it is to return to normal.

 

They're now agonizing over an illness which by their own figures, now kills on average 1 person every day, out of the 1,500 Thai citizens who die every day, on average.

 

That suggests there are dozens of conditions which are killing more than Covid on a regular basis, but the authorities can't bring themselves to care so much about those.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Fortunately, the current officially reported COVID death numbers for Thailand are remaining relatively low,  just 10 for the entire country in the past week, which is a low rate that would be typical of the current Omicron variants.

 

However, the current COVID-driven new hospitalizations are averaging 258 per day.

 

If that same exact rate were to continue for an entire year (which it presumably won't), it would translate into more than 94,000 annual hospitalizations.

 

It would be interesting to know what other single illness or medical condition, if any, might be driving more daily hospitalizations than COVID in Thailand at the current 258 per day average.

 

The daily deaths number cited in the prior post -- which is unsourced and unattributed -- presumably counts all kinds of other non-medical fatalities including old age, traffic fatalities, homicides, accidental deaths, etc etc.

 

Edited May 1, 2023 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[transam]

37 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

And?  Will there be an announcement every time the case numbers rise, for the rest of time?

I, for one, am interested in what Covid is doing, and updates let me know what's happening.

If folk want to turn a blind eye to it, that's up to you/them.........????

[ozimoron]

40 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

And?  Will there be an announcement every time the case numbers rise, for the rest of time?

I hope so. That way we can know that case numbers are rising.

[ozimoron]

25 minutes ago, Eleftheros said:

Probably. It's easier to become fixated on Covid than it is to return to normal.

 

They're now agonizing over an illness which by their own figures, now kills on average 1 person every day, out of the 1,500 Thai citizens who die every day, on average.

 

That suggests there are dozens of conditions which are killing more than Covid on a regular basis, but the authorities can't bring themselves to care so much about those.

What is normal? Not wearing masks?

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

24 minutes ago, Eleftheros said:

They're now agonizing over an illness which by their own figures, now kills on average 1 person every day, out of the 1,500 Thai citizens who die every day, on average.

 

This source puts the latest annual figure for ALL-cause deaths in Thailand at an average of about 1,085 per day, or just under 400,000 per year.

 

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1107872/thailand-number-of-deaths-by-gender/

 

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

"In Thailand, from 3 January 2020 to 12:37 am CEST, 26 April 2023, there have been 4,730,490 confirmed cases of COVID-19 with 33,947 deaths, reported to WHO."

 

https://covid19.who.int/region/searo/country/th

 

That cumulative COVID death toll for Thailand is more than four times Thailand's total 7,600 civilian and military deaths from World War II.

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_War_II_casualties

 

Edited May 1, 2023 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Interesting comparisons:

 

For the last week of 2022, Thai MoPH reported 2,111 weekly new COVID hospitalizations, an average of 302 per day, and 75 new weekly COVID deaths -- all three numbers higher than the latest weekly totals for April.

 

 

So while Thailand's current COVID hospitalization and death numbers have definitely spiked during the past month, the current levels still remain well below those from 2022.

 

Another comparative example: November 20-26, 2022: 4,914 weekly COVID hospitalizations and 74 weekly COVID deaths.

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/photos

 

Edited May 1, 2023 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

According to the Thai MoPH's COVID dashboard for April 23-29, some of the provinces with the highest weekly new COVID hospitalization numbers included:

 

(below is not an absolute ranking of all provinces, but instead a selection of various of Thailand's 77 provinces)

 

Bangkok -- 525

Chonburi -- 148

Nonthaburi -- 112

Lamphun -- 100

Surat Thani -- 99

Khon Kaen --  66

Pathum Thani -- 50

Prachuap Khiri Khan -- 42

Chiang Mai -- 2

Phuket -- 1

 

https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/?dashboard=province

 

This is the direct ranking of top provinces from the MoPH dashboard:

 

 

Edited May 1, 2023 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[anrcaccount]

On 5/1/2023 at 12:13 PM, ozimoron said:

What is normal? Not wearing masks?

Yes, of course, Normal is not wearing masks, like the vast majority of the world currently.

 

Including previously "masked up" nations like Japan and China, who are rapidly ditching them.

 

It's not "normal" to go about your day to day life, indefinitely wearing a face covering. 

 

Thailand now has the dubious honour of the world's most masked country - is that a normal you'd like to see to continue?

 

 

 

 

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

5 minutes ago, anrcaccount said:

Thailand now has the dubious honour of the world's most masked country - is that a normal you'd like to see to continue?

Mask accepting countries like Thailand and Japan have had considerably lower per capita COVID death rates than mask averse places like the U.S. and UK.  And science supports a connection.

 

"At least ten studies have confirmed the benefit of universal masking in community level analyses: in a unified hospital system,⁴⁷ a German city,⁴⁸ two U.S. states,^{49, 50} a panel of 15 U.S. states and Washington, D.C.,^{51, 52} as well as both Canada⁵³ and the U.S.^54-56 nationally. Each analysis demonstrated that, following directives from organizational and political leadership for universal masking, new infections fell significantly. Two of these studies^{51, 52} and an additional analysis of data from 200 countries that included the U.S.⁵⁶ also demonstrated reductions in mortality."

 

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/science-briefs/masking-science-sars-cov2.html

 

 

 

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

*Quoted post removed*

 

Japan and Thailand are looking pretty good to me compared to some alternatives:

 

 

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Edited May 2, 2023 by Pink Mist
A quoted post has been removed

[Pink Mist]

An unsubstantiated unsupported misinformation post has been removed.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Latest update for the most recent week: