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Israel Prospect of ‘All-Out War’ After Hezbollah Publishes Drone Video of Sites


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Israel has issued a stark warning to Hezbollah, suggesting the prospect of an "all-out war" after the Lebanese militant group released a provocative nine-minute video. This video, purportedly shot by a drone, showcased Israeli military and civilian sites in several cities, escalating already high tensions between the two entities.

 

Foreign Minister Israel Katz emphasized the gravity of the situation on social media, stating, “We are getting very close to the moment of deciding to change the rules of the game against Hezbollah and Lebanon. In an all-out war, Hezbollah will be destroyed, and Lebanon severely beaten.” Katz’s statement underscores Israel's growing impatience and readiness to take severe action if provoked further.

 

The Hezbollah footage, filmed during the day, claimed to capture various locations in Krayot, a cluster of residential cities north of Haifa, as well as military and industrial sites including those belonging to Israeli weapons manufacturer Rafael, Iron Dome batteries, missile storage, radar sites, military boats, and oil storage depots in the port of Haifa.

 

This video comes amid escalating cross-border attacks between Hezbollah and Israel following the October 7 Hamas attacks and the subsequent Israeli military campaign in Gaza. Katz highlighted the potential global repercussions of attacks on Haifa, noting the involvement of international companies from China and India in the port operations.

 

The U.S. and its allies have long warned Hezbollah, an Iran-backed group with a formidable paramilitary force, against escalating the conflict in Israel. Despite these warnings, tensions have continued to rise. CNN’s analysis confirmed the authenticity of the footage, pinpointing sensitive locations in Haifa, including military installations and critical infrastructure like oil tanks and Haifa airport. Analysis of the footage suggested that the drone mission lasted several hours or spanned multiple days, with parts of the video being sped up for effect.

 

Weapons expert Wim Zwijnenburg identified the drone in the footage as an Iranian-origin Qasaf-2k model, likely manufactured locally, highlighting the advanced capabilities Hezbollah might possess. The mayor of Haifa, Yona Yahav, termed the video "psychological terror" and demanded a robust protection plan for the city, criticizing IDF commanders for not visiting Haifa since the recent Hamas attack.

 

Hezbollah has signaled that this video is just the beginning, suggesting more footage might be released. Ibrahim Mousawi, a Hezbollah lawmaker, hinted at more significant threats, referencing a phrase by Hezbollah’s Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah from the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah war about attacking "Haifa and beyond."

 

In response to the escalating threats, Israel’s military has increased its readiness, with validated operational plans for an offensive in Lebanon, indicating a serious preparation for potential conflict. These plans, though not indicative of an imminent war, show Israel's intent to be prepared for any scenario.

 

Hezbollah’s actions since October 7 have included firing over 5,000 rockets, missiles, and drones at northern Israel, claiming solidarity with the Palestinian cause. Hezbollah has indicated that it will cease attacks only if Israel halts its military operations in Gaza.

 

Israel has conducted hundreds of strikes in Lebanon and evacuated around 60,000 residents from its northern border area. Similarly, over 90,000 Lebanese have fled their homes in response to the rising hostilities.

The U.S. has been actively seeking a diplomatic solution to prevent a broader regional conflict, sending special envoy Amos Hochstein to Israel and Lebanon in an effort to de-escalate tensions.

 

 

Credit: CNN 2024-06-20

 

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A drone taking pictures is nice propaganda but not cause for war. Tighten up air security and make defensive plans instead of planning total war.

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If netanyahu gets his wish and does invade Lebanon he may get a shock this time, or at least the cannon fodder might. Things are not the same as last time israel invaded Lebanon.

 

IMO Hezbollah want them to invade and are prepared for it. They have had 8 months to do so.

IMO israel may end up losing the Golan Heights, and that means most of the north of israel will be under threat.

Unintended consequences and all that.

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2 hours ago, Purdey said:

A drone taking pictures is nice propaganda but not cause for war. Tighten up air security and make defensive plans instead of planning total war.

A drone isn't the reason why Israel  is considering to wage war against Hezbollah

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Israel faces the prospect of a long term engagement in Gaza which has already stretched its forces.

Israeli army in urgent need of troops amid rising casualties in Gaza
The head of the Israel Defence Forces said the army is facing troop shortages amid rising casualties in the war against Hamas in Gaza. Yet enlisting more troops is difficult due to rising public opposition to the war and an open conflict between Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and his defence minister...

"In terms of soldiers, tanks and quality of equipment everything is fine on paper for a short war. But in terms of a long war with Hezbollah, no, Israel isn't ready, and it's mainly about morale," said Omri Brinner, a Middle East analyst at the International Team for the Study of Security Verona (ITSS).  

https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20240619-israeli-army-urgent-need-troops-amid-rising-casualties-in-gaza

 

Now it's going to launch a major offensive against Gaza, too?

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