Trump Leading Biden in Key Battleground States Ahead of Upcoming Debate: Poll

[Social Media]

 

Former President Donald Trump is currently outpacing President Joe Biden in six pivotal battleground states, according to recent polling data from Emerson College and The Hill. The polls indicate that Trump has a lead over Biden in Arizona (47%-43%), Georgia (45%-41%), Michigan (46%-45%), Nevada (46%-43%), Pennsylvania (47%-45%), and Wisconsin (47%-44%). In addition, both candidates are tied at 45% in Minnesota, a state that has not favored a Republican presidential candidate since the Great Depression era.

 

The Emerson College Polling Executive Director, Spencer Kimball, noted that despite Trump’s recent conviction on 34 business fraud charges by a Manhattan jury, the polling numbers for both candidates have remained relatively stable. "In our first polling in several key swing states since Trump’s conviction last month, there has been little movement, with support for both Trump and Biden staying largely consistent since November," Kimball explained, emphasizing that the results fall within the poll’s margin of error.

 

 

The Trump campaign has argued that Minnesota is a competitive state for the upcoming election. "Independent voters break for Trump in all seven states – however, there has been some movement among these voters since April," Kimball said. He pointed out that while Trump’s support among independents in Arizona, Michigan, and Pennsylvania has dropped, Biden also saw declines among independents in Georgia and Nevada.

The RealClearPolitics polling average corroborates these findings, showing Trump ahead of Biden in the same six battleground states with margins ranging from 0.2 percentage points in Michigan to 5.7 percentage points in Nevada.

 

Interestingly, the Emerson/The Hill survey also indicates that Democratic candidates in key Senate races are outperforming Biden. In Arizona, Democrat Rep. Ruben Gallego leads Republican Kari Lake, 45% to 41%. In Pennsylvania, incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey is ahead of Republican David McCormick, 47% to 41%. Similar trends are observed in Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin, with Democratic candidates maintaining leads over their Republican counterparts.

 

A significant portion of voters in the surveyed states disapproves of Biden's performance in office, with approval ratings ranging between 35% in Georgia and 39% in Michigan and Pennsylvania. The economy emerged as the top concern among voters across all states surveyed, with varying secondary issues such as threats to democracy, immigration, healthcare, and housing.

 

In Arizona, a majority of voters (55%) expressed support for a ballot measure that would empower state and local police to arrest illegal immigrants and allow state judges to order deportations. Similarly, majorities in Arizona (56%) and Nevada (58%) indicated they would approve measures to enshrine the right to an abortion in their state constitutions.

 

The polling data, collected from 1,000 registered voters in each state between June 13 and June 18, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The first debate between Biden and Trump for the general election season is scheduled to take place next Thursday in Atlanta.

 

Credit: NYP 2024-06-22

 

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[neeray]

Despite the many concerns about Biden's competency, or lack thereof, the following gives compelling reasons for, "anybody but Trump".

 

Here is what Trump has done for America!: Only 13 Presidents failed to get re-elected. Only 5 Presidents failed to win the popular vote. Only 4 Presidents have been impeached or resigned. Only 1 President has ever been criminally indicted. And only ONE President has done ALL FOUR. -DJT didn't lower taxes (He deferred them) -He didn't get Americans that healthcare coverage -He did not unite the USA, he divided it -He didn't lower prescription drug prices -He didn't get roads or bridges built -He didn't decrease the deficit -He didn't end the opioid crisis -He made over 250 visits to his golf clubs costing us taxpayers $150 million -He didn't revive the coal industry -He didn't make covid-19 'disappear' -He didn't make Mexico pay for the wall -He is ranked the worst President in history -He added $2 Billion a month in tariff costs to the American consumer -He has a net-negative jobs creations for his administration -He decreased corporate taxes, passing the tax burden to the workers -He added $ 7.8 Trillion to the deficit - a full 25% of the total deficit -He incited an insurrection against our government -He is the only president to never achieve 50% approval. -He didn't put "America first" and he sure didn't "Drain the Swamp... -He left office with the worst job numbers of any President since the Great Depression with a net job loss over his term -Is the first former president to be a CONVICTED FELON (34 times). The presidency is very much about character.  Trump is a lowlife convicted felon.

[Tug]

14 minutes ago, neeray said:

Despite the many concerns about Biden's competency, or lack thereof, the following gives compelling reasons for, "anybody but Trump".

 

Here is what Trump has done for America!: Only 13 Presidents failed to get re-elected. Only 5 Presidents failed to win the popular vote. Only 4 Presidents have been impeached or resigned. Only 1 President has ever been criminally indicted. And only ONE President has done ALL FOUR. -DJT didn't lower taxes (He deferred them) -He didn't get Americans that healthcare coverage -He did not unite the USA, he divided it -He didn't lower prescription drug prices -He didn't get roads or bridges built -He didn't decrease the deficit -He didn't end the opioid crisis -He made over 250 visits to his golf clubs costing us taxpayers $150 million -He didn't revive the coal industry -He didn't make covid-19 'disappear' -He didn't make Mexico pay for the wall -He is ranked the worst President in history -He added $2 Billion a month in tariff costs to the American consumer -He has a net-negative jobs creations for his administration -He decreased corporate taxes, passing the tax burden to the workers -He added $ 7.8 Trillion to the deficit - a full 25% of the total deficit -He incited an insurrection against our government -He is the only president to never achieve 50% approval. -He didn't put "America first" and he sure didn't "Drain the Swamp... -He left office with the worst job numbers of any President since the Great Depression with a net job loss over his term -Is the first former president to be a CONVICTED FELON (34 times). The presidency is very much about character.  Trump is a lowlife convicted felon.

Well said!

[Yagoda]

47 minutes ago, Tug said:

Well said!

Oh look the Trump derangement has started up again in response to the fact that he's going to win. Trump 2024, fight the fascists and racists that seek to destroy America

[Isaan sailor]

11 minutes ago, Yagoda said:

Oh look the Trump derangement has started up again in response to the fact that he's going to win. Trump 2024, fight the fascists and racists that seek to destroy America

Well said.

[thesetat2013]

1 hour ago, neeray said:

Despite the many concerns about Biden's competency, or lack thereof, the following gives compelling reasons for, "anybody but Trump".

 

Here is what Trump has done for America!: Only 13 Presidents failed to get re-elected. Only 5 Presidents failed to win the popular vote. Only 4 Presidents have been impeached or resigned. Only 1 President has ever been criminally indicted. And only ONE President has done ALL FOUR. -DJT didn't lower taxes (He deferred them) -He didn't get Americans that healthcare coverage -He did not unite the USA, he divided it -He didn't lower prescription drug prices -He didn't get roads or bridges built -He didn't decrease the deficit -He didn't end the opioid crisis -He made over 250 visits to his golf clubs costing us taxpayers $150 million -He didn't revive the coal industry -He didn't make covid-19 'disappear' -He didn't make Mexico pay for the wall -He is ranked the worst President in history -He added $2 Billion a month in tariff costs to the American consumer -He has a net-negative jobs creations for his administration -He decreased corporate taxes, passing the tax burden to the workers -He added $ 7.8 Trillion to the deficit - a full 25% of the total deficit -He incited an insurrection against our government -He is the only president to never achieve 50% approval. -He didn't put "America first" and he sure didn't "Drain the Swamp... -He left office with the worst job numbers of any President since the Great Depression with a net job loss over his term -Is the first former president to be a CONVICTED FELON (34 times). The presidency is very much about character.  Trump is a lowlife convicted felon.

You convenienly leave out all the bad Biden has and still is doing for the country. Apparently the people in America do not see things the way you do. The gap is widening weekly in favor of Trump. Which leads me to wonder why you are still a hardened Biden supporter? 

Also, your assessment or Trump leaves alot to be desired. Alot of it is crap in your head instead of facts. 

As for his being a convicted felon? The majority of Americans have been convicted of crimes, with so many convicted even they were innocent. The justice system does nothing to prove innocence if you do not have the money to pay for a good lawyer and even more plead guitly just to end the farce and get on with their lives. Trumps convicted will most likely be overturned and then what can you say about him? 

I still can not understand why people like you are allowed to vote. No sense at all and turning blind eyes to the evils of your own selection of a candidate whilst harboring serriously ill feelings towards anyone running against what you believe. I am not just saying that about hardened Biden fans. It goes for any of you that fail to look objectively at both sides. 

 

[Tug]

6 minutes ago, thesetat2013 said:

You convenienly leave out all the bad Biden has and still is doing for the country. Apparently the people in America do not see things the way you do. The gap is widening weekly in favor of Trump. Which leads me to wonder why you are still a hardened Biden supporter? 

Also, your assessment or Trump leaves alot to be desired. Alot of it is crap in your head instead of facts. 

As for his being a convicted felon? The majority of Americans have been convicted of crimes, with so many convicted even they were innocent. The justice system does nothing to prove innocence if you do not have the money to pay for a good lawyer and even more plead guitly just to end the farce and get on with their lives. Trumps convicted will most likely be overturned and then what can you say about him? 

I still can not understand why people like you are allowed to vote. No sense at all and turning blind eyes to the evils of your own selection of a candidate whilst harboring serriously ill feelings towards anyone running against what you believe. I am not just saying that about hardened Biden fans. It goes for any of you that fail to look objectively at both sides. 

 

Please explain the (bad) things the Biden administration is doing Im always up for some fairytales…….

[earlinclaifornia]

18 minutes ago, Isaan sailor said:

Well said.

Anyone else hearing that Yada screaming about Trump Defense Syndrom problem AGAIN!

[WDSmart]

This trend is very disappointing. The USA is my homeland. I grew up in the Midwest. I always knew there were racists, sexists, homophobes, xenophobes, radical Christians, neo-fascists, etc., living there, but I always thought they only made up about 10% of the population. Now, they seem to be at least 30% and maybe even 40% of the population! But I don't think Trump CREATED these deploables. They must have been always there. Trump just gave them permission to crawl out from the rocks under which they've been hiding.

 

I hope Trump does not become president again. If he does, I believe, first, there will be a lot of violence. And second, the USA will quickly be changed into a completely capitalistic fascist state, which will eventually evolve into a plutocracy. 

Of course, I'll be watching it all unfold here in the beautiful jungle-filled mountains of Thailand, sitting in my recliner watching CNN. As long as they leave my Social Security payments alone, I'll be okay. Extremely disappointed, but okay.

[morrobay]

49 minutes ago, thesetat2013 said:

 

I still can not understand why people like you are allowed to vote. No sense at all and turning blind eyes to the evils of your own selection of a candidate whilst harboring serriously ill feelings towards anyone running against what you believe. I am not just saying that about hardened Biden fans. It goes for any of you that fail to look objectively at both sides. 

 

Very well said. Especially: "I still can not  understand why people like you are allowed to vote" 

[thesetat2013]

39 minutes ago, Tug said:

Please explain the (bad) things the Biden administration is doing Im always up for some fairytales…….

https://nypost.com/2024/02/21/us-news/7-2m-illegals-entered-the-us-under-biden-admin-an-amount-greater-than-population-of-36-states/

https://homeland.house.gov/2024/04/18/startling-stats-factsheet-encounters-of-chinese-nationals-surpass-all-fiscal-year-2023-at-the-southwest-border/

https://www.hudson.org/immigration/chinese-illegal-border-crossings-spike-7000-percent-only-china-knows-why-jeremy-hunt

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/chinese-illegal-immigrant-arrested-driving-military-base-california

 

 

Would you like some more? There are hundreds of instances caused by the illegals entering the country under Bidens open border policy. In fact, simply because he is getting lower ratings is he only now trying to fix the problem he created. Making a show to increase votes most likely.. Annd this is only about the border. There are many more such topics if you only cared to research each and look at their misgivings. But, you are a hardened Biden or Democrat. So it is understandable that you will even try to justify my links and reply so Biden will shine in your eyes

 

[thesetat2013]

Just now, thesetat2013 said:

https://nypost.com/2024/02/21/us-news/7-2m-illegals-entered-the-us-under-biden-admin-an-amount-greater-than-population-of-36-states/

https://homeland.house.gov/2024/04/18/startling-stats-factsheet-encounters-of-chinese-nationals-surpass-all-fiscal-year-2023-at-the-southwest-border/

https://www.hudson.org/immigration/chinese-illegal-border-crossings-spike-7000-percent-only-china-knows-why-jeremy-hunt

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/chinese-illegal-immigrant-arrested-driving-military-base-california

 

 

Would you like some more? There are hundreds of instances caused by the illegals entering the country under Bidens open border policy. In fact, simply because he is getting lower ratings is he only now trying to fix the problem he created. Making a show to increase votes most likely.. Annd this is only about the border. There are many more such topics if you only cared to research each and look at their misgivings. But, you are a hardened Biden or Democrat. So it is understandable that you will even try to justify my links and reply so Biden will shine in your eyes

I guess that blasts your fairy tale theory

Just now, thesetat2013 said:

added comment

 

[earlinclaifornia]

7 minutes ago, morrobay said:

Very well said. Especially: "I still can not  understand why people like you are allowed to vote" 

https://www.mediaite.com/tv/foxs-trey-gowdy-warns-conservatives-have-set-expectations-too-low-for-biden-i-dont-know-why-republicans-fall-into-this-trap/

The overwealming response to both Trey and you and your buddy is Republicans prove they are just not very smart, obviously.

 

[spidermike007]

He will be slaughtered in the debate. If he has the courage to participate. He may chicken out. He does not read, so he will be woefully unprepped on the issues. His lies are so tired. And the mics will be closed, so his major tool of interruption and disruption will not be available to him. 

 

He is going down in flames, and this next election loss will be the end of him. Thankfully. 

[earlinclaifornia]

"After I lost the election": Legal expert says new Trump recording could be "admissible evidence"

https://www.yahoo.com/news/lost-election-legal-expert-says-152120847.html

Even after hearing Trump admit he lost. The MAGA Yada crowd will go bananas about how it is all just more  Trump Defense Syndrom at work.

[spidermike007]

17 minutes ago, WDSmart said:

This trend is very disappointing. The USA is my homeland. I grew up in the Midwest. I always knew there were racists, sexists, homophobes, xenophobes, radical Christians, neo-fascists, etc., living there, but I always thought they only made up about 10% of the population. Now, they seem to be at least 30% and maybe even 40% of the population! But I don't think Trump CREATED these deploables. They must have been always there. Trump just gave them permission to crawl out from the rocks under which they've been hiding.

 

I hope Trump does not become president again. If he does, I believe, first, there will be a lot of violence. And second, the USA will quickly be changed into a completely capitalistic fascist state, which will eventually evolve into a plutocracy. 

Of course, I'll be watching it all unfold here in the beautiful jungle-filled mountains of Thailand, sitting in my recliner watching CNN. As long as they leave my Social Security payments alone, I'll be okay. Extremely disappointed, but okay.

He has given all those disenfranchised folks permission to hate. He has created tremendous amounts of division. That is who he is. He is a hater, and he creates chaos. 

[Tug]

17 minutes ago, thesetat2013 said:

https://nypost.com/2024/02/21/us-news/7-2m-illegals-entered-the-us-under-biden-admin-an-amount-greater-than-population-of-36-states/

https://homeland.house.gov/2024/04/18/startling-stats-factsheet-encounters-of-chinese-nationals-surpass-all-fiscal-year-2023-at-the-southwest-border/

https://www.hudson.org/immigration/chinese-illegal-border-crossings-spike-7000-percent-only-china-knows-why-jeremy-hunt

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/chinese-illegal-immigrant-arrested-driving-military-base-california

 

 

Would you like some more? There are hundreds of instances caused by the illegals entering the country under Bidens open border policy. In fact, simply because he is getting lower ratings is he only now trying to fix the problem he created. Making a show to increase votes most likely.. Annd this is only about the border. There are many more such topics if you only cared to research each and look at their misgivings. But, you are a hardened Biden or Democrat. So it is understandable that you will even try to justify my links and reply so Biden will shine in your eyes

 

Ahhh just who pray tell killed the strongest bipartisan immigration reform bill in decades?just who is lying just about every other word that comes out of his mouth?here’s a clue it isent Joe Biden spin your fairytales we know the truth

[morrobay]

17 minutes ago, thesetat2013 said:

https://nypost.com/2024/02/21/us-news/7-2m-illegals-entered-the-us-under-biden-admin-an-amount-greater-than-population-of-36-states/

https://homeland.house.gov/2024/04/18/startling-stats-factsheet-encounters-of-chinese-nationals-surpass-all-fiscal-year-2023-at-the-southwest-border/

https://www.hudson.org/immigration/chinese-illegal-border-crossings-spike-7000-percent-only-china-knows-why-jeremy-hunt

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/chinese-illegal-immigrant-arrested-driving-military-base-california

 

 

Would you like some more? There are hundreds of instances caused by the illegals entering the country under Bidens open border policy. In fact, simply because he is getting lower ratings is he only now trying to fix the problem he created. Making a show to increase votes most likely.. Annd this is only about the border. There are many more such topics if you only cared to research each and look at their misgivings. But, you are a hardened Biden or Democrat. So it is understandable that you will even try to justify my links and reply so Biden will shine in your eyes

 

Indeed. You can show these people links on the criminals entering the US and commiting crimes until the cows come home . But they are so oblivious/in denial. They are a lost cause and should not be allowed to vote since Bidens policies are taking the country to ruin.

 

[Thingamabob]

The swing states will determine the outcome of the forthcoming election.

[thaipo7]

2 hours ago, neeray said:

Despite the many concerns about Biden's competency, or lack thereof, the following gives compelling reasons for, "anybody but Trump".

 

Here is what Trump has done for America!: Only 13 Presidents failed to get re-elected. Only 5 Presidents failed to win the popular vote. Only 4 Presidents have been impeached or resigned. Only 1 President has ever been criminally indicted. And only ONE President has done ALL FOUR. -DJT didn't lower taxes (He deferred them) -He didn't get Americans that healthcare coverage -He did not unite the USA, he divided it -He didn't lower prescription drug prices -He didn't get roads or bridges built -He didn't decrease the deficit -He didn't end the opioid crisis -He made over 250 visits to his golf clubs costing us taxpayers $150 million -He didn't revive the coal industry -He didn't make covid-19 'disappear' -He didn't make Mexico pay for the wall -He is ranked the worst President in history -He added $2 Billion a month in tariff costs to the American consumer -He has a net-negative jobs creations for his administration -He decreased corporate taxes, passing the tax burden to the workers -He added $ 7.8 Trillion to the deficit - a full 25% of the total deficit -He incited an insurrection against our government -He is the only president to never achieve 50% approval. -He didn't put "America first" and he sure didn't "Drain the Swamp... -He left office with the worst job numbers of any President since the Great Depression with a net job loss over his term -Is the first former president to be a CONVICTED FELON (34 times). The presidency is very much about character.  Trump is a lowlife convicted felon.

So the first thing you believe is that Biden received 81 million legitimate votes.  Never drew more than 19 people at any rally.  The 19 people showed up when an old outdoor movie screen lot was used.  Trump's worst numbers beat Biden's best.  Biden has character???  lol  Look at his family.  He himself showered with his daughter.  He is always sniffing young girls.  I think you are missing character.  I am leaving, don't have an hour to point out all your flaws.

[thaipo7]

1 minute ago, Thingamabob said:

The swing states will determine the outcome of the forthcoming election.

I don't see how Biden can win any state except for the fact that people would vote for a broken pallet and an empty paint can as long as there is a "D" next to it.

[stoner]

1 hour ago, thesetat2013 said:

The majority of Americans have been convicted of crimes

 

nope. 

[WDSmart]

6 minutes ago, spidermike007 said:

25 minutes ago, WDSmart said:

This trend is very disappointing. The USA is my homeland. I grew up in the Midwest. I always knew there were racists, sexists, homophobes, xenophobes, radical Christians, neo-fascists, etc., living there, but I always thought they only made up about 10% of the population. Now, they seem to be at least 30% and maybe even 40% of the population! But I don't think Trump CREATED these deploables. They must have been always there. Trump just gave them permission to crawl out from the rocks under which they've been hiding.

 

I hope Trump does not become president again. If he does, I believe, first, there will be a lot of violence. And second, the USA will quickly be changed into a completely capitalistic fascist state, which will eventually evolve into a plutocracy. 

Of course, I'll be watching it all unfold here in the beautiful jungle-filled mountains of Thailand, sitting in my recliner watching CNN. As long as they leave my Social Security payments alone, I'll be okay. Extremely disappointed, but okay.

Expand  

He has given all those disenfranchised folks permission to hate. He has created tremendous amounts of division. That is who he is. He is a hater, and he creates chaos. 

I agree with all you said above in your post, except for your use of the word "disenfranchised," which means "deprived of the right to vote." 

 

These haters were never "disenfranchised." In fact, part of what they are doing now to try to obtain a victory for Trump is to disenfranchise the opposition by making it more difficult to register as a voter, restricting mail-in votes, etc. These deplorable have always been eligible to vote. Maybe they didn't vote because they didn't like any of the candidates available or something like that, but that were never restricted from voting. 

Anyway, I agree with the main part of your post above that Trump creates division and chaos, and that's what his legacy (hopefully a short-lived legacy) will certainly be. 

[thaipo7]

2 hours ago, Tug said:

Well said!

Two peas in a pod.  Neither one of you can point to anything Biden has done to help the American people as a whole.

[TigerandDog]

5 minutes ago, earlinclaifornia said:

https://www.mediaite.com/tv/foxs-trey-gowdy-warns-conservatives-have-set-expectations-too-low-for-biden-i-dont-know-why-republicans-fall-into-this-trap/

The overwealming response to both Trey and you and your buddy is Republicans prove they are just not very smart, obviously.

 

all you Chump groupies have very short memories, especially if you were around when Chump ran for office the first time. Up until the time the convicted orange turd ran for office the first time he ALWAYS voted and financially supported the Democrats.  During an interview he was asked why he was running as a republican, his reply "because they are easier to manipulate".  The only truthful words to ever come out of his mouth. Just look at how the Republican party & it's supporters have been manipulated by him. 

 

 

[Tug]

1 minute ago, thaipo7 said:

So the first thing you believe is that Biden received 81 million legitimate votes.  Never drew more than 19 people at any rally.  The 19 people showed up when an old outdoor movie screen lot was used.  Trump's worst numbers beat Biden's best.  Biden has character???  lol  Look at his family.  He himself showered with his daughter.  He is always sniffing young girls.  I think you are missing character.  I am leaving, don't have an hour to point out all your flaws.

Stop drinking the bong water lol 😂 you remember that pesky pandemic thingy ehh?biden is responsible he didn’t want crowds and yup he did indeed receive 81 million legitimate votes .your trump lost every court case in that regard and they have the putin lacky on tape admitting it…..I would bet money the DOJ is working on that right now.

[Tug]

3 minutes ago, thaipo7 said:

Two peas in a pod.  Neither one of you can point to anything Biden has done to help the American people as a whole.

I spelled that out for you allready stop trolling 

[WDSmart]

2 minutes ago, thaipo7 said:

Two peas in a pod.  Neither one of you can point to anything Biden has done to help the American people as a whole.

I can quickly name two:

1. He helped the USA get rid of the worst president in its history;

2. He just provided a path for illegal aliens who are relatives of US citizens living in the USA for over 10 years, the right to apply for permanent residency.

 

There are many, many more... 

[thesetat2013]

8 minutes ago, stoner said:

 

nope. 

An estimated 19 million people are burdened with the collateral consequences of a felony conviction (this includes those currently and formerly incarcerated), and an estimated 79 million have a criminal record of some kind; even this is likely an underestimate, leaving out many people who have been arrested for leaving out many people who have been arrested for misdemeanors. Finally, FWD.us reports that 113 million adults (45%) have had an immediate family member incarcerated for at least one night.

https://www.prisonpolicy.org/graphs/directlyimpacted2022.html#:~:text=An estimated 19 million people,who have been arrested for

[stoner]

6 minutes ago, thesetat2013 said:

An estimated 19 million people are burdened with the collateral consequences of a felony conviction (this includes those currently and formerly incarcerated), and an estimated 79 million have a criminal record of some kind; even this is likely an underestimate, leaving out many people who have been arrested for leaving out many people who have been arrested for misdemeanors. Finally, FWD.us reports that 113 million adults (45%) have had an immediate family member incarcerated for at least one night.

https://www.prisonpolicy.org/graphs/directlyimpacted2022.html#:~:text=An estimated 19 million people,who have been arrested for

 

majority 

 

The greater number or part; a number more than half of the total.

 

now lets take the numbers you presented shall we. heck ill even throw in another 11 million and round it to 90.usa current population is around 341 and change million. lets round up to 342. so now we take 90 and divide by 342 = 26.3 percent.

 

so in your world 26 percent is the majority. got it.