English Tourist Riding Wrong Way on Jomtien Beach Road Crashes into Parked Car

[riclag]

Election savant Nate Silver has put his marker down and revealed his “gut says” that former President Donald Trump will emerge victorious in the Nov. 5 election, while warning that polling data indicate the race could still go either way.

“In an election where the seven battleground states are all polling within a percentage point or two, 50-50 is the only responsible forecast,” Silver, whose model currently rates the Republican nominee with a 53.1% chance of becoming the 47th president, wrote in a New York Times op-ed published Tuesday.
https://nypost.com/2024/10/23/us-news/famed-polling-guru-nate-silvers-gut-says-donald-trump-will-win-2024-presidential-election/

[Jingthing]

I suggest Tums for Silver's gut.

My brain says Harris with a narrow electoral win but Trump fighting like a rabid dog to take power anyway.

Edited 6 hours ago by Jingthing

[jerrymahoney]

Gut feelings from James Carville who has actually run and won a presidential campaign (also as OP re-told from NY Times):

 

Carville lists 3 reasons why he thinks Harris will win
10/23/24 7:58 AM ET

 

“The biggest reason Mr. Trump will lose is that the whole Republican Party has been on a losing streak since Mr. Trump took it over,” he wrote in an essay published Wednesday by The New York Times.

 

The veteran Democratic adviser also noted that the Harris’s campaign’s fundraising advantage will likely play a huge part in turning out swing-state voters, particularly suburban women. The Democratic nominee’s campaign raised almost $360 million in September and more than $1 billion since joining the White House race in late July — after President Biden stepped aside.

 

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4948471-james-carville-kamala-harris-victory-2024-reasons-why/