Trump just blew a huge lead, and the Madison Square Garden rally started the drop

[Inderpland]

'Donald Trump is suffering an historic descent in the campaign’s final days, an ongoing freefall that’s turning what looked like a walkaway for the former president into what’s most likely a Kamala Harris victory. That’s the view from Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University, whose proprietary model’s proven right-on in past elections.'

 

Trump just blew a huge lead, and the Madison Square Garden rally started the drop

 

More blow-back from the MAGA rally in NY. Is this the biggest self-own in recent history? Whatever if is, I wanna thank Team Trump from the bottom of my heart on behalf of all those who do not want a half-wit convict in the WH again!

 

 

 

[Inderpland]

More good news, it really does seem to be a massive change underway.

 

Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day.

 

'Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Vice President Harris leading former President Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters just days before a high-stakes election that appears deadlocked in key battleground states.

The results follow a September Iowa Poll that showed Trump with a 4-point lead over Harris and a June Iowa Poll showing him with an 18-point lead over Democratic President Joe Biden, who was the presumed Democratic nominee at the time.'

[HappyExpat57]

This from a most trustworthy, and highly liquid, political wagering platform PredictIt (you'll need to use  vpn connection to a US city if trying to access from Thailand):

 

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

[Inderpland]

Nothing more trustworthy than The Economist. The momentum is clearly on Harris' side.

 

https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[HappyExpat57]

10 minutes ago, Inderpland said:

Nothing more trustworthy than The Economist. The momentum is clearly on Harris' side.

 

https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I firmly believe if that boob had kept his mouth shut, he would have slid easily into victory. Thank GAWD his hubris and mental decline won't allow his gob to be shut.

[Inderpland]

3 minutes ago, HappyExpat57 said:

I firmly believe if that boob had kept his mouth shut, he would have slid easily into victory. Thank GAWD his hubris and mental decline won't allow his gob to be shut.

I agree. He just can't keep his piehole shut. Partly it's his infamously wafer thin skin, partly it's his rapid mental decline.

The Dems should just be focusing on his many trigger points and let him do the work for them.

[G_Money]

By God if a data scientist says so it must be true.

 

Is he a member of AN?  If not, he should be.  The forum with the most scientific scholars.
 

He can join the fraternity of rocket, global warming and regular scientists we currently have.

[HappyExpat57]

5 minutes ago, Inderpland said:

I agree. He just can't keep his piehole shut. Partly it's his infamously wafer thin skin, partly it's his rapid mental decline.

The Dems should just be focusing on his many trigger points and let him do the work for them.

Oh, I believe that's exactly what they are doing. I've noticed the usual red hat brigade is suddenly going quiet, just like they did right before Biden's victory was announced.

[Inderpland]

21 minutes ago, HappyExpat57 said:

Oh, I believe that's exactly what they are doing. I've noticed the usual red hat brigade is suddenly going quiet, just like they did right before Biden's victory was announced.

Red hat? And here I thought tinfoil came in silver only!

[Inderpland]

More on the momentum swing.

 

There’s no other way to put it. Kamala Harris has the momentum

 

'A new poll from Marist showed that she leads Donald Trump by 2 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin while leading Trump by three points in Michigan.'

[Jingthing]

1 minute ago, Inderpland said:

More on the momentum swing.

 

There’s no other way to put it. Kamala Harris has the momentum

 

'A new poll from Marist showed that she leads Donald Trump by 2 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin while leading Trump by three points in Michigan.'

Absolutely!

[morrobay]

4 hours ago, Inderpland said:

More on the momentum swing.

 

There’s no other way to put it. Kamala Harris has the momentum

 

'A new poll from Marist showed that she leads Donald Trump by 2 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin while leading Trump by three points in Michigan.'

[Danderman123]

6 hours ago, HappyExpat57 said:

This from a most trustworthy, and highly liquid, political wagering platform PredictIt (you'll need to use  vpn connection to a US city if trying to access from Thailand):

 

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

I hope you understand that betting markets have no predictive value concerning elections.

 

 

[pattayasan]

1 minute ago, Danderman123 said:

I hope you understand that betting markets have no predictive value concerning elections.

 

Can we settle on some predictive value?

[Danderman123]

1 minute ago, pattayasan said:

 

Can we settle on some predictive value?

If some billionaire drops $50 million on Trump, does that have any bearing on whether Trump will win?

 

If you really need to look at how people putting money on the candidates is predictive, compare donations to Harris vs Trump.

[pattayasan]

Just now, Danderman123 said:

If some billionaire drops $50 million on Trump, does that have any bearing on whether Trump will win?

 

If you really need to look at how people putting money on the candidates is predictive, compare donations to Harris vs Trump.

 

True, and it's reported somewhere that something like 29 million was dropped on one betting market. But that's only one bet. The next day is a whole new ball game. The trend is your friend.