Russia’s economy is doomed

[3NUMBAS]

However, unofficially, there are claims that the real rate is closer to an eye-watering 40%, leaving some to worry that the dark spectre of hyperinflation is back.

[Gweiloman]

12 hours ago, theblether said:

 

You made that up in your head. I know no one that thinks Ukraine is winning. Everybody agrees its a stalemate. 

 

Going back to the topic - if Trump floods Europe with American energy, that will cause serious damage to the Russian economy. 

 

However, I think the war will be over before that energy surge arrives. 

By “everybody” I’m assuming you mean the pro-Ukrainian faction. A stalemate means neither side is gaining any ground. However even a poster on here that is fighting over there concedes that Ukraine is losing ground, slowly but surely. And if you watch news from sources other than western msm, you will also realise that Russia is gaining more ground towards Dnipropetrovsk. But believe whatever you like.
 

 

12 hours ago, Seppius said:

 

Yes, on the battlefield it's stalemate, meanwhile Russia is losing thousands of troops a week still to the meatgrinder, while gaining little land and Ukraine is slowly destroying infrastructure and moral inside Russia on a daily basis.

 

Russia will never win anything out of this conflict now, too late

 

 

Yes, western msm reports that Russia is losing thousands of troops a week. Sounds like you believe those reports. In case you’re interested, I have a bridge for sale…

[transam]

15 hours ago, Gweiloman said:

Yes, because you lack the cognitive ability to recognise it……… 

Really...................😂

[thaibeachlovers]

14 hours ago, theblether said:

 

You made that up in your head. I know no one that thinks Ukraine is winning. Everybody agrees its a stalemate. 

 

Going back to the topic - if Trump floods Europe with American energy, that will cause serious damage to the Russian economy. 

 

However, I think the war will be over before that energy surge arrives. 

Strange stalemate when Russia is advancing. I always thought a stalemate was when neither side was winning, but I guess it's meaning has changed for the Ukraine war.

[thaibeachlovers]

14 hours ago, theblether said:

However, I think the war will be over before that energy surge arrives. 

On that I can agree with you. Eventually Zelensky will go cap in hand to try and salvage something from the rubble ( or he'll run off to enjoy his loot and someone else will get to do that ).

[transam]

1 hour ago, thaibeachlovers said:

On that I can agree with you. Eventually Zelensky will go cap in hand to try and salvage something from the rubble ( or he'll run off to enjoy his loot and someone else will get to do that ).

I think it is you that wishes that, your weird agenda.............

[RuamRudy]

16 hours ago, Seppius said:

 

Yes, on the battlefield it's stalemate, meanwhile Russia is losing thousands of troops a week still to the meatgrinder, while gaining little land and Ukraine is slowly destroying infrastructure and moral inside Russia on a daily basis.

 

Russia will never win anything out of this conflict now, too late

 

 

 

And the repercussions will be felt for decades to come - the Russian youth, desperately needed to propel the nation's industrial base forward against an increasingly more capable world, is being lost. While the rest of the world continues to grow and develop and innovate, Russia persists in continuing this slow motion seppuku.

[theblether]

4 hours ago, RuamRudy said:

 

And the repercussions will be felt for decades to come - the Russian youth, desperately needed to propel the nation's industrial base forward against an increasingly more capable world, is being lost. While the rest of the world continues to grow and develop and innovate, Russia persists in continuing this slow motion seppuku.

 

Russian youth is already lost. The population is forecast to drop by 22 million in the next 25 years. 

[rabas]

Here's your sign.

 

A recent video of Putin meeting heads of academia exposes how isolated and fearful he has become. In it, he calls for Muscovites (an big part of his support base) to receive salaries on par with top Universities!  He then asks how much that is and is shocked by the low answer exclaiming that's  impossible and argues repeatedly. Watch his face and the attendees' laughter.

 

Conclusion, Putin is badly out of touch and is also increasingly concerned about his support.  Ordinary Russian's can't overthrow Putin but their suffering can encourage those who can like the top military leadership whom he has been attacking. 

 

The clock is ticking.

[3NUMBAS]

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/01/27/7495467/index.amp
 

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/2005845/russian-economy-bankruptcies-ukiraine-war/amp
 

Russian economy meltdown with 'moment of truth' and 'major bankruptcies' looming

 

Russia's economy is "reaching a crisis stage" and facing its "moment of truth", an expert hs warned, with pressure mounting on Vladimir Putin.

Businesses and consumers have been hit by a double whammy of spiralling inflation and high interest rates.

With interest rates at a record high of 21%, businesses in particular are struggling to pay back bank loans, with many reportedly facing bankruptcy.

Anders Åslund is a renowned Swedish economist and author with a detailed understanding of the Russian economy.

In an article for Project Syndicate, he argued Russia was heading for stagflation, meaning high inflation combined with minimal growth.

 

 

[3NUMBAS]

Strained by these factors, the Russian economy is approaching its moment of truth,” Åslund wrote.

"Inflation will continue to rise in 2025, and people will get even angrier over higher food prices.

"Major bankruptcies are looming, and the Russian state cannot afford large bailouts.

 

"Business leaders are fiercely objecting to high interest rates, and the shortage of labor – and soldiers – is reaching a crisis stage."

 

The war in Ukraine is causing both soaring prices and labour shortages.

At the same time the Kremlin is struggling to raise funds for its ballooning defence budget through taxes and bond offerings.

Putin is increasingly having to dip into Russia's National Wealth Fund, whose reserves have plummeted almost 74% from £94 billion to just £25 billion, since the beginning of the war.

A further problem for the Kremlin is the rouble's plunge in value, which is adding to inflationary pressure.

Western sanctions are also hindering the ability of Russian companies to continue producing vital goods.

[TedG]

The war is almost three years old.   Putin failed to conquer Ukraine.  

 

 

[TedG]

18 hours ago, Gweiloman said:

Similarly, Russia didn’t set out to conquer Ukraine. That was merely western propaganda to try and claim some sort of hollow victory. I’m surprised you can’t see that. Did I tell you that I have a bridge for sale?

Putin did set out to conquer Ukraine.   You know it and it and I know it. 

[MicroB]

20 hours ago, Gweiloman said:

After 20 years, the US failed to conquer Afghanistan because they didn’t set out to do so. Similarly, Russia didn’t set out to conquer Ukraine. That was merely western propaganda to try and claim some sort of hollow victory. I’m surprised you can’t see that. Did I tell you that I have a bridge for sale?

 

 

The US didn't go to "conquer Afghanistan". They went to support the Northern  Alliance against the Taliban. They successfully instilled a Northern Alliance government. Subsequently, Afghanistan had several elections and changes of government. The USSR actually went to conquer Afghainistan in 1979, using Spetznatz to wipe out the existing presidency.

 

Putin;s war aims were to topple the Kyiv government and take over Ukraine as a client state. During the original Russian debacle, Russian supply convoys were intercepted containing, of all things, dress uniforms, intended for a victory parade through Kyiv. Russian officers had also placed dinner reservations in the city. Among the troops captured in that invasion wave were OMON and SOBR troops. OMON is a gendarmerie in Russia, used for  riot duty. Back in those days, we thought this nonsense would have been ended, because among these POWs were a pair of pretty sensible OMON officers, a grizzled Colonel (Lt. Col. Astakhov Dmitry Mikhailovich) and a wounded Major. Both were clearly police professionals, who had been deployed to Belarus with Russian troops to support an exercise, so were somewhat puzzled about what subsequently happened. Among the kit captured was OMON issue riot gear, with Russia anticipating the need to suppress civil unrest. The full plan by OMON and SOBR to decapitate Kyiv is remarkable (https://thedebrief.org/know-no-mercy-the-russian-cops-who-tried-to-storm-kyiv-by-themselves/)

 

Putin fully intended to conquer Ukraine. You are an Apologist.

[Yagoda]

2 hours ago, MicroB said:

Some interesting expert viewpoints on Russian Barrier Troop deployments in Southern Ukraine:

 

You act like Russians setting up blocking positions for their own troops is something new.

 

Thats what Russians do.

[thaibeachlovers]

3 hours ago, MicroB said:

The US didn't go to "conquer Afghanistan". They went to support the Northern  Alliance against the Taliban

It has been suggested that the CIA did not intend that the Russians would fail entirely, but wanted to bleed them for as long as possible, and that policy was probably working well till Gorbachev took over and withdrew the Russians from Afghanistan.

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Cyclone

At a 30 March meeting, U.S. Department of Defense representative Walter B. Slocombe "asked if there was value in keeping the Afghan insurgency going, 'sucking the Soviets into a Vietnamese quagmire?'"[18] When asked to clarify this remark, Slocombe explained: "Well, the whole idea was that if the Soviets decided to strike at this tar baby [Afghanistan] we had every interest in making sure that they got stuck."

 

 

It's a pity that they supported the wrong alliance, having backed the Pakistani choice, as we know how that turned out.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Cyclone

Of the seven mujahideen groups supported by Zia's government, four espoused Islamic fundamentalist beliefs—and these fundamentalists received most of the funding.

[Rimmer]

Multiple off topic posts and replies have been removed, topic is not about WW2, Afghanistan or British and American troops:

 

Russia’s economy is doomed