Updates and events in the War in Ukraine 2025

[stevenl]

4 hours ago, thaibeachlovers said:

I have been saying that if Zelensky sends drones to destroy infrastructure in Russia they will not like the reply.

So whine away, by all means but as long as Zelensky keeps making futile attacks on Russia Putin will keep sending an unpleasant reply.

Who started the war again?

[Mavideol]

we all know what's going on with Trump BS , lies and fake deals, he claimed it would take 24 hours for make peace deal, it has been more than 100 days and the carnage continues, give the russian dictator an ultimatum and a dead line to stop wasting time and if he doesn't comply let the Ukrainians lash out the big guns

 

"Would like them to stop, don't like them bombing on and on": Trump on Russia-Ukraine war

 

https://www.msn.com/en-xl/news/other/would-like-them-to-stop-don-t-like-them-bombing-on-and-on-trump-on-russia-ukraine-war/ar-AA1CqdED?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=LCTS&cvid=34849ad9fa6a4088899cbde329c5c858&ei=17

[PomPolo]

 

[rabas]

13 hours ago, thaibeachlovers said:

I have been saying that if Zelensky sends drones to destroy infrastructure in Russia they will not like the reply.  So whine away, by all means but as long as Zelensky keeps making futile attacks on Russia Putin will keep sending an unpleasant reply.

 

Now parroting Putin's propaganda for him? "If Zelensky keeps making futile attacks on Russia, Putin will bomb more children!"  When, did I ever mention Zelinsky?

 

But the calculus has changed. On Friday as global oil prices crashed to $62/bl, sources noted this dooms Putin's highly discounted Ural exports to ~$50/bl, where its hard to see how Putin makes money. 

 

Then woops, it dropped again today! Whoever he's killing now it may be out of desperation. The game has changed. 

 

 

[johng]

So global oil prices "crashed"  Putin doomed  he won't have any oil to  fuel his economy, industries and military production stop immediately  and Ukraine is victorius.

 

P.S its the other war where women, children ,doctors and journalists are bombed in hospitals and schools.

[thaibeachlovers]

22 hours ago, stevenl said:

Who started the war again?

Seriously? I'm not going to respond to obvious baiting.

If you want to make pointless posts, don't quote me to enable them.

[thaibeachlovers]

13 hours ago, rabas said:

 

Now parroting Putin's propaganda for him? "If Zelensky keeps making futile attacks on Russia, Putin will bomb more children!"  When, did I ever mention Zelinsky?

 

But the calculus has changed. On Friday as global oil prices crashed to $62/bl, sources noted this dooms Putin's highly discounted Ural exports to ~$50/bl, where its hard to see how Putin makes money. 

 

Then woops, it dropped again today! Whoever he's killing now it may be out of desperation. The game has changed. 

 

 

You shouldn't quote me if you are not going to address what I said and instead go off on something completely different.

You guys have been saying for 2 years that Putin has no money, no missiles, no tanks, no men, all proven to be a nonsense, just as your oil price claim is.

[thaibeachlovers]

13 hours ago, johng said:

P.S its the other war where women, children ,doctors and journalists are bombed in hospitals and schools.

I assume you mean the war in the ME, where doing what Putin is doing is somehow acceptable to the posters complaining about Putin on here.

[MicroB]

New Russian military truck;

 

 

 

1941 Morros 15CWT, designed by a nation under siege and short of supplies:

 

 

 

[MicroB]

Ukraine is reporting 50% of its targets are hit by drones. Russian military sources say 75% of their casualties are due to drones.

 

 

[MicroB]

Road of death to get 500mls of water to a Russian soldier. 500mls is judged all the water a soldier will need before being liquidated.

 

 

[MicroB]

How battle field technlogy is evolving. The Russians countered Ukrainian Western-supplied jamming systems by employing fiber-=optic controlled drones, so much so, that the field are awash with fiberoptic cables. But due to Ukrainian drone activity,  Russian drone operators are in faxed positions; the Ukrainian drones go for anything that moves. Technology is being employed to trace back the cables to the source

 

 

 

 

Russia has a single factory, at Saransk, making fiber optic cable. At least this is what the manufacturer claimed:

 

https://www.rusfiber.ru/en/about/&ved=2ahUKEwjo58uq8seMAxVgT0EAHVzcG0QQFnoECBoQAQ&usg=AOvVaw24Ak7kfRGweksexcJvBf7o

 

Factory is now up in flames. Oops.

 

https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/drones-strike-plant-in-saransk-details-of-1743838476.html

 

 

[bannork]

Russia’s elite could remove President Vladimir Putin from power if oil prices drop to a critically low level, stated political strategist Taras Zahorodnii in a commentary to the RBC-Ukraine YouTube channel.

“Look, rail transport is declining there. That means things aren't going so well economically. Their defense and war expenses are higher than those of the Soviet Union. If oil prices fall below $30, that would be a very favorable scenario for us,” he emphasized.

Russian elite may depose Putin if oil prices collapse, analyst says

[bannork]

Russia is currently unable to conduct a large-scale offensive operation due to a lack of soldiers, stated the military expert Oleksii Hetman in a comment to the RBC-Ukraine YouTube channel.

According to Hetman, Russia can only increase its troops at a specific location by relocating forces along the front line. Theoretically, the enemy could double or triple the number of troops in the Kursk region to begin an offensive on the Sumy region, but that would involve Russia withdrawing soldiers from other areas.

“And where they withdraw, we will strike,” he added.

According to Zelenskyy, Russia is amassing troops in the Kursk region to attack the Sumy region.

Can Russia significantly intensify its offensive? Expert assessment

[johng]

2 hours ago, MicroB said:

Factory is now up in flames. Oops.

Says Ukraine

1 hour ago, bannork said:

Russia is currently unable to conduct a large-scale offensive operation due to a lack of soldiers,

Says Ukraine ... I notice a small pattern here.

[MicroB]

9 hours ago, johng said:

Says Ukraine

Says Ukraine ... I notice a small pattern here.

 

 

Factory before

 

 

Factory after

 

 

Russiann pre-war source confirming the Ronald MacDonald colour scheme building on fire is indeed the fiber optic factory

 

https://yandex.eu/maps/org/optikovolokonnyye_sistemy/191115326297/?ll=45.196156%2C54.225054&z=15

 

 

The street address is "430006, Саранск, Лодыгина, 13".

https://maps.app.goo.gl/YEfpymofCi7h142z6

 

Factory tour

 

 

[MicroB]

On 4/6/2025 at 11:07 PM, thaibeachlovers said:

I have been saying that if Zelensky sends drones to destroy infrastructure in Russia they will not like the reply.

So whine away, by all means but as long as Zelensky keeps making futile attacks on Russia Putin will keep sending an unpleasant reply.

 

 

"Futile attacks" don't seem futile when they at least interupt production of Russia's only domestic source of fiber optic cable.

 

And using SAMs in a surface to surgace mode is the reason the Ukr AF has been dropping JDAMs on Russian forward positions.

 

https://theaviationist.com/2025/02/03/ukraine-new-1000-lb-jdam-er/

 

Goering made the tactical error of using up his best bomber crews bombing London instead of focusing on military targets (the airfields).

 

The fact that a former super power is having to repurpose defensive weapons in an offensive configuration, and risk losing troops and equipment it can ill replace is a signal certainly. It signals that Russia's retaliatory options are become more limited.

 

It remains curious why the RuAF is still employed in a stand off mode (launching glide bombs from hundreds of KMs away). They surely had the capability at the beginning of Putin's War of Aggression of neutralising Ukrainian air defence very quickly (viz. US campaigns over Iraq), which would then allow the RuAF bomber crews to loiter and attack at will more accurately than they currently are achieving. Rumours are that the RuAF pilots lack flying hours, and there is a high accident rate.

[thaibeachlovers]

15 hours ago, MicroB said:

New Russian military truck;

 

Looks similar to a very efficient vehicle beloved of farmers. Farmers don't use junk.

 

 

[Mavideol]

although Xi kept denying it, we all knew the Chinese were there doing the fitting for Russia, now with so much evidence let's wait to hear from the Chinese, quite sure they will have an interesting answer/excuse

Ukraine has captured 'two CHINESE nationals fighting for Russia'

 

https://www.msn.com/en-xl/news/other/ukraine-has-captured-two-chinese-nationals-fighting-for-russia/ar-AA1CwrTC?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=LCTS&cvid=eba9479962334840a68191c54b1c75ec&ei=8

 

LET'S SEE IF THE MODS WILL ALLOW THAT, LATELY THE MAJORITY OF MY POST HAVE BEEN REMOVED WITHOUT ANY EXPLANATION

[Hakuna Matata]

'Ukraine Will Be Eliminated' John Mearsheimer and Putin Advisor Discuss US-Russia Relations

 

 

 

[sharot724]

Belgium pledges € 1 billion annual military aid to Ukraine, signs defense production deals

 

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/04/08/belgium-pledges-e-1-billion-annual-military-aid-to-ukraine-signs-defense-production-deals/

 

spend it here :

 

[MicroB]

19 hours ago, thaibeachlovers said:

Looks similar to a very efficient vehicle beloved of farmers. Farmers don't use junk.

 

 

 

 

Farmers don't get shot at. The Russians have alreadyn been using these Chinese golf carts elsewhere.

 

What this is is the Ulan; a rebodied 1977 Lada Niva. Nivas of course have their fans among the Tankie and Gripped crowd, but they were never "efficient". The 1.6 4-cylinder model, as I recall, managed a miserable 20mpg on road tyres. Probably mid-15s in the origami folding form.

 

Its another signal. Along with the log armour, its a signal of a former superpower regressing. They've taken a surplus 40 year old car platform, and stuck on an easily constructed body made of non-ballistic material.

 

Ukraine started off improvising, scouring Europe for cheap 15-20 year old pickups. Most of those have gone now, replaced by properly armoured vehicles.

 

Ukraine has ben innovating as well, using superior commercial platforms (Ford F-Series and Toyota LC-70), and much more emphasis on providing force protection (not putting your soldiers in death traps like the Russians seem to be).

 

No doubt you wil find these Russian modifications to be impressive

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Not a new idea, but it looks like it didn't really work 80m years ago either

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

In WW2, Britain had to make crap like this when its back was against the wall, eg the Sten gun, which wasn't great, but met a basic need. Russia is supposed to be winning according to its fants and acolytes. But there are lots of signals suggesting otherwise, eg, Russian troops complaining they are  only getting 500mls of water a day

[Mike_Hunt]

On 4/7/2025 at 9:09 PM, thaibeachlovers said:

Seriously? I'm not going to respond to obvious baiting.

If you want to make pointless posts, don't quote me to enable them.

The proper reply to this question is Putin.