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Thailand Sees Factory Closures Rise Despite New Openings in 2025

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Thailand’s manufacturing sector recorded 786 factory closures and 1,220 new openings in 2025, but momentum weakened sharply towards the end of the year, according to Kasikorn Research Centre. In December, factory closures exceeded openings for the first time in two years, signalling mounting pressure on industrial operators and raising concerns about the sector’s short-term stability.

The data, reported by PPTVHD36 on February 6, show that while the full-year balance remained positive, the gap between openings and closures narrowed significantly. Kasikorn Research Centre said this trend reflects ongoing structural problems and increasingly intense competition within the manufacturing sector, particularly as economic conditions remain fragile.

Throughout 2025, new factory openings still outnumbered closures, but the overall surplus declined by 42% compared with previous years. The proportion of factory openings to closures dropped to 434, representing a significant decrease and indicating that business confidence is weakening despite continued investment activity.

The research centre identified the mining industry, food and beverage production, and non-metallic materials as the three sectors experiencing the highest number of factory closures. These industries have faced sustained pressure from rising costs, fluctuating demand and heightened competition from imported goods.

Another notable shift highlighted in the report is the increasing size of factories that are shutting down. The average registered capital per closed factory is projected to reach 49 million baht in 2025, up from 39 million baht per factory in 2024, suggesting that larger operators are now being affected rather than only smaller firms.

Kasikorn Research Centre warned that several structural challenges continue to weigh on manufacturing performance. Weak economic conditions and reduced purchasing power, driven by high living costs and elevated household debt, are limiting domestic demand and slowing output growth.

External pressures are also playing a significant role. Trade wars and a strengthening baht have increased production costs and reduced the international competitiveness of Thai manufacturers, particularly exporters operating on thin margins.

At the same time, intense competition from imported goods is squeezing capacity utilisation and sales across multiple sectors. This has made it harder for factories to maintain profitability, contributing to the rising number of closures seen towards the end of the year.

Kasikorn Research Centre recommended close monitoring of three key issues that may influence factory openings and closures. These include domestic economic conditions, external trade developments, and the impact of imports on local manufacturers’ capacity utilisation and revenues.

The research centre noted that how these factors evolve will be critical in determining whether Thailand’s manufacturing sector can stabilise in 2026 or face further consolidation.

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Key Takeaways

• Thailand recorded 786 factory closures and 1,220 new openings in 2025, but closures exceeded openings in December.

• The mining, food and beverage, and non-metallic materials sectors saw the most factory shutdowns.

• Larger factories are closing, with average registered capital rising to 49 million baht per factory in 2025.

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Adapted by ASEAN Now from Thainewsroom 2026-02-08

 

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  • Popular Post

Can't be anything to worry about up goes the Baht again🤔

We've been seeing quite a few forum news items lately that combined must suggest a disturbing economic trend for Thailand. This news item is no exception!

We are told that Thailand's industrial sector faces a narrowing gap between factory openings and closures, with the surplus of new factories declining by 42%.

Most concerning is that in December 2025, closures actually exceeded openings for the first time in two years - signaling that the "gap" isn't just narrowing, it's inverting.

Furthermore, the average capital of closing factories has risen to 49 million baht, proving this is no longer just an SME crisis but is hitting larger operators.

A quick Web search reveals that in Vietnam and Indonesia, the opposite is happening. These nations are seeing robust net gains driven by a "China-plus-one" migration and high-tech consolidation.

Apart from issues identified by the Kasikorn Research Centre and the country’s demographic challenges (reported elsewhere in the forum), a key differentiator is AI adoption and industrial strategy!

Thailand’s Lack of Resilience: A low 18% AI adoption rate leaves Thai factories vulnerable to rising labor costs and inefficient "legacy" production.

The Regional Lead: In contrast, Vietnam (~42%) and Indonesia (as high as 92% in enterprise surveys) are aggressively leveraging "dark factory" principles and cognitive automation.

By focusing on high-tech exports and "smart" manufacturing, Vietnam and Indonesia are attracting the very investment that is currently bypassing Thailand’s aging industrial infrastructure (see SmartDev 2025 Benchmark for more details).

References

Boston Consulting Group (2025) Unlocking Southeast Asia’s AI Potential. [online] Available at: https://web-assets.bcg.com/2d/5a/2b923a054e2b9423e61e77f442f7/unlocking-southeast-asias-ai-potential-vf-20250407.pdf [Accessed 7 February 2026].

Kasikorn Research Centre (2025) More factory closures expected in 2025 (Current Issue No. 3557). [online] Available at: https://www.kasikornresearch.com/en/analysis/k-econ/economy/Pages/Factory-Closed-CIS3557-KR-2025-02-07.aspx [Accessed 7 February 2026].

National Statistics Office of Vietnam (2026) Index of industrial production in March of 2025 [Reporting 2025 Full Year Results]. [online] Available at: https://www.nso.gov.vn/en/data-and-statistics/2025/04/index-of-industrial-production-in-march-of-2025/ [Accessed 7 February 2026].

SmartDev (2025) The State of AI Adoption in Global Enterprises: 2025 Benchmark. [online] Available at: https://smartdev.com/ai-adoption-in-global-enterprises-2025-benchmark/ [Accessed 7 February 2026].

Thai Newsroom (2026) 700+ factories closed, 1,220 opened in 2025. [online] Available at: https://thainewsroom.com/2026/02/06/700-factories-closed-1200-opened-in-2025/ [Accessed 7 February 2026].

Factory closure is not necessary a bad thing... failing businesses can be due to human negligence regardless of economic situation.

  • Popular Post
2 minutes ago, THnews said:

Factory closure is not necessary a bad thing... failing businesses can be due to human negligence regardless of economic situation.

This being Thailand, if these businesses were not doing good, they probably increased their prices, which should have fixed everything.

In Thailand they call just about everything a 'factory' and most of the existing and new ones were not manufacturers as in the West, but re-packagers of mainly Chinese products for on-sale to USA and other markets. The way too high Baht has caused a lot of problems for the economy, including these easy open easy close 'factories'. Anutin as PM has done a good job to lower the Baht - whoever forms Govt after today, I hope they crash the Baht at least 20% and reset the economy. Screw the rich elite wanting a high Baht and the forget the BS numbers of BS driven low-quality tourists - that is not working and never will. Thailand must change direction and match Vietnam and Indonesia directions - or 2026 will be the year looked back upon as when the Thailand economy crashed and burned. The Sex/pat industry and millions of low-quality Indian, Chinese, Russian and Arab tourists, will not save Thailand.

No problems.....Working-age Thai people don't need no stinking factory jobs....They're all going to become influencers or OnlyFans stars and become millionaires...

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