Tsunami In Gulf Of Thailand Seen Unlikely

[webfact]

Tsunami in Gulf of Thailand Seen Unlikely

The National Disaster Warning Council president has commented on the speculation of a possible tsunami, saying there are no clear signs as yet and the chance of such a disaster hitting the Gulf of Thailand is highly unlikely.

President of the Foundation of National Disaster Warning CounciI, Dr Smith Dharmasaroja, traveled to Songkhla’s Hat Yai University to give a lecture on natural disasters in the southern provinces.

The event was organized by the university’s Science and Technology Faculty.

Students, professors and the general public attended the lecture in which Smith talked about the causes of various natural disasters and said that global warming is a major factor in triggering catastrophes like floods, earthquakes and tsunamis.

Smith also commented on rumors and speculations of a possible tsunami in the Gulf of Thailand on December 30, saying that the chance of a tsunami occuring in the Gulf of Thailand is very slim.

He said the only possibility would result from a severe earthquake in the Philippines and in such a scenario, the giant waves could hit provinces such as Narathiwat, Songkhla, Pattani and Nakhon Si Thammarat.

Nonetheless, he assured the public that the chance of a tsunami in the Gulf of Thailand is highly unlikely.

Smith went on to say that if a tsunami was to reach the Thai shore, the waves would only be as high as two to three meters.

He noted since the Gulf of Thailand is considerably shallow, measuring at 40 to 50 meters deep, it will slow down the waves' speed, allowing time for locals to evacuate.

However, he warned the public not to take the situation for granted and to closely follow weather forecasts.

He also urged them not to panic and brace for a possible tsunami.

-- Tan Network 2010-12-16

[taff33]

I can rember a Thai 'expert 'saying that the rise in sea water due to melting ice would not affect Thailand because we are to far away from the problem ,every thing to be taken with a pinch salt (water)

[trogers]

He said the only possibility would result from a severe earthquake in the Philippines and in such a scenario' date=' the giant waves could hit provinces such as Narathiwat, Songkhla, Pattani and Nakhon Si Thammarat.

[/quote']

The only possibility? What about a meteorite strike in the gulf?

[londonthai]

"said that global warming is a major factor in triggering catastrophes like floods, earthquakes and tsunamis. ... However, he warned the public not to take the situation for granted and to closely follow weather forecasts. He also urged them not to panic and brace for a possible tsunami"

if the influence of global warming on earthquakes is true, than there is a danger of a tsunami in the gulf.

big natural disasters, like tsunami in 2004, are rare - but they do happen from time to time. The previous tsunami on that scale was some 200 years ago, yet still it was wise to install early warning system on the west coast

[brahmburgers]

He said the only possibility would result from a severe earthquake in the Philippines....

. Someone mentioned meteor strike as another possible cause, however unlikely. Yet another is a hillside sliding in to the sea. Are there no large hillsides or cliffs bordering the Sea of Thailand?

I recommend the doctor get in to a different line of work - perhaps shining shoes. Did he notice that some of the largest tsunamis in history (like Hilo, Hawaii) were amplified by a shallow bay similar to the bay leading up to Bkk. Regardless, by one or a combo of factors, Bkk is going to be under a couple meters of water b4 2 long.

Early warning systems are balderdash funding black holes which only benefit the people getting paid for the equipment and installation. Such systems either don't work at all, don't work as planned, or people just ignore them - particularly in a heavily noise polluted country like Thailand.

"said that global warming is a major factor in triggering catastrophes like floods, earthquakes and tsunamis. ... However, he warned the public not to take the situation for granted and to closely follow weather forecasts. He also urged them not to panic and brace for a possible tsunami"

if the influence of global warming on earthquakes is true, than there is a danger of a tsunami in the gulf.

big natural disasters, like tsunami in 2004, are rare - but they do happen from time to time. The previous tsunami on that scale was some 200 years ago, yet still it was wise to install early warning system on the west coast

global warming has zero effect on earthquake generation. However, earthquakes, combined with the effects of GW (higher water) can be something to reckon with.

[whybother]

"said that global warming is a major factor in triggering catastrophes like floods, earthquakes and tsunamis. ... However, he warned the public not to take the situation for granted and to closely follow weather forecasts. He also urged them not to panic and brace for a possible tsunami"

if the influence of global warming on earthquakes is true, than there is a danger of a tsunami in the gulf.

big natural disasters, like tsunami in 2004, are rare - but they do happen from time to time. The previous tsunami on that scale was some 200 years ago, yet still it was wise to install early warning system on the west coast

global warming has zero effect on earthquake generation. However, earthquakes, combined with the effects of GW (higher water) can be something to reckon with.

Actually, the idea that global warming can effect earthquake generation does have some logic to it.

Glaciers are melting due to global warming. This lifts weight off the earth's crust in those areas.

The water from the glaciers is moving to different areas (the oceans) causing sea level rises and extra weight in those areas.

The changes of weight on the earth's crust causes land movement which causes earthquakes.

That's not saying the global warming "causes" earthquakes, but it could have an effect on the generation of them.

[RickBradford]

The water from the glaciers is moving to different areas (the oceans) causing sea level rises and extra weight in those areas.

Sea level globally is rising by about 1.3 millimeters per year. The average depth of the Pacific Ocean is just over 4000 metres, or 4,000,000 millimeters

I think it unlikely that a change in the order of 1 in 3 million is going to have any effect, even on the fevered imaginations inside Greenpeace and FOE.

Or are we at one of global warming's famous catastrophic tipping points? Is that extra millimeter the final straw that broke Gaia's back? Disaster! Sell the beachfront condo! But stay away from the trembling hills as well! Oh, woe, where shall we go?

Edited December 17, 2010 by RickBradford

[whybother]

The water from the glaciers is moving to different areas (the oceans) causing sea level rises and extra weight in those areas.

Sea level globally is rising by about 1.3 millimeters per year. The average depth of the Pacific Ocean is just over 4000 metres, or 4,000,000 millimeters

I think it unlikely that a change in the order of 1 in 3 million is going to have any effect, even on the fevered imaginations inside Greenpeace and FOE.

Or are we at one of global warming's famous catastrophic tipping points? Is that extra millimeter the final straw that broke Gaia's back? Disaster! Sell the beachfront condo! But stay away from the trembling hills as well! Oh, woe, where shall we go?

I didn't say anything about sea level rises causing coastal flooding. That isn't what this thread is about.

1 to 3 millimeters of sea level rise per year DOES weigh a lot. It COULD have an effect on earthquakes.