Earthquake expert warns San Andreas Fault is 'locked, loaded and ready to roll'

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Earthquake expert warns San Andreas Fault is 'locked, loaded and ready to roll'
Rong-Gong Lin II

Long Beach: Southern California's section of the San Andreas Fault is primed for a major earthquake a leading earthquake scientist has told the National Earthquake Conference.

The San Andreas Fault is one of California's most dangerous, and is the state's longest fault. Yet for Southern California, the last big earthquake to strike the southern San Andreas was in 1857, when a magnitude 7.9 earthquake ruptured an astonishing 300 kilometres between Monterey County and the San Gabriel Mountains near Los Angeles.

It has been quiet since then - too quiet, said Thomas Jordan, director of the Southern California Earthquake Centre.

Full story: http://www.smh.com.au/environment/earthquake-expert-warns-san-andreas-fault-is-locked-loaded-and-ready-to-roll-20160505-gomybt.html

-- Sydney Morning Herald 2016-05-05

[soalbundy]

When it happens we will know,it will be in all the papers.

[Jingthing]

Funny. I was living close to a major California fault line almost 15 years ago and it was WAY OVERDUE to blow back then. That's one reason I felt like leaving. The condo I owned was the type that just falls down.

Edited May 5, 2016 by Jingthing

[BuaBS]

Cool ! We've seen the movie , now let's see for real.

[ehs818]

I lived thru the two more recent BIG ONES, 1971 and 1994. Powerful is a huge understatement. That's part of why I moved over here! Got different problems here, sure. But when the earth moves here, it's usually from action on the bed, not the bedrock!

[soalbundy]

That will do the economy a lot of good actually, new building machines, new buildings,new tv's,furniture etc, might even get the inflation rolling again, the new Californian gold rush,everybody heads South for work, invest in Caterpillar and crematoriums.

[Sheryl]

The Cascadia fault that runs through the NW is a much bigger worry. It too is overdue and maximum magnitude of a quake there is much higher than is possible on the San Andreas...and the area is much less prepared.

[Andaman Al]

The problem is with these forecasts is that 1000 years is the blinking of a geological eye. So the event may happen but statistically it is so so unlikely in our tiny minute life spans. The Yellowstone super volcano goes off once every 600000 years and it is due now, but what if it goes off at 601000 years? Dang we all miss it. It is like people saying they don't want to buy a place in Phuket because of Tsunami's. The next Tsunami might be tomorrow, but by the law of probability is just as likely to be in 500 years.T

The scientist is clearly in need of more research grants.

[Tywais]

When it happens we will know,it will be in all the papers.

Just watch for all the flocks of birds and the howling dogs and you will know it's coming.

[Chicog]

I'm on the QM this summer, let's hope it doesn't turn into a Poseidon Adventure!

[Skeptic7]

Of course it's gonna "roll" again someday. He must've seen The Rock movie last year!

[Jingthing]

The 06 SF quake allowed it rebuild fresh and become a great global city.

[Happy Grumpy]

When it happens we will know,it will be in all the papers.

Papers?

What is this, the 1980's?

[soalbundy]

When it happens we will know,it will be in all the papers.

Papers?

What is this, the 1980's?

There are still newspapers and hard bound books,there is something magical almost about the printed word on paper, the glowing screen has no soul, paper has texture and a smell of its own. the screen is for speed,paper is for life style, it's the difference between a digital watch and a mechanical one

[T_Dog]

When it happens we will know,it will be in all the papers.

Just watch for all the flocks of birds and the howling dogs and you will know it's coming.

Interesting that you mention that. Just before the large CM earthquake a few years back, we were watching a flock of about 40 open bills heading north. As they got over our house, they started to circle so I went to get the camera and then the earthquake hit. As soon as it was over, pond water still sloshing back and forth, the birds continued on their way north.

[MockingJay]

I remember that around the year 2.000 a specialist mentioned that Thailand's West Coast was due for a tsunami and they fired the guy because he was accused of "damaging tourism" just to be reemployed after December 2004... when it was too late.

This said, I'd take the words of the expert reg. San Andreas very, very... I mean, VERY serious!!!

Edited May 5, 2016 by MockingJay

[soalbundy]

The great fire of London in 1666 was good for the city and was rebuilt on modern lines for the time,it probably stopped another outbreak of the plague. Every disaster has a silver lining especially if you are living far away from it and watching it unfold on the internet.

[JetsetBkk]

I find it hard to accept anyone who says "locked, loaded and ready to roll" is an expert on anything apart from Hollywood B movies.

[lifeincnx]

When it happens we will know,it will be in all the papers.

Just watch for all the flocks of birds and the howling dogs and you will know it's coming.

Interesting that you mention that. Just before the large CM earthquake a few years back, we were watching a flock of about 40 open bills heading north. As they got over our house, they started to circle so I went to get the camera and then the earthquake hit. As soon as it was over, pond water still sloshing back and forth, the birds continued on their way north.

My boxer felt the 1971 quake well before I did. I told him to stop waking up the whole house with his howling that early morning as I was just getting out of the shower. Then bam. A very, very long rumbling bam which threw me back against the glass shower door. That was scary as hell in a partially cantilevered house in the Hollywood Hills overlooking the valley.

[connda]

Funny. I was living close to a major California fault line almost 15 years ago and it was WAY OVERDUE to blow back then. That's one reason I felt like leaving. The condo I owned was the type that just falls down.

I was in living in the bay area when the 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake hit and took out the Cypress Viaduct and part of the Bay Bridge. That was a nice shake, but having lived most of my life all up and down the West Coast - well, earthquakes happen. I'm much more worried about that big, bright gaseous ball in the sky that fried the telegraph wires in 1859. We get a CME like that (and we are overdue) it's lights out and game over. That's extinction event time. Earthquakes - heck we sit on a fault line out here in Northern Thailand, I'm still not very worried. Earthquakes happen, most people live to take about them.

[Mosha]

The problem is with these forecasts is that 1000 years is the blinking of a geological eye. So the event may happen but statistically it is so so unlikely in our tiny minute life spans. The Yellowstone super volcano goes off once every 600000 years and it is due now, but what if it goes off at 601000 years? Dang we all miss it. It is like people saying they don't want to buy a place in Phuket because of Tsunami's. The next Tsunami might be tomorrow, but by the law of probability is just as likely to be in 500 years.T

The scientist is clearly in need of more research grants.

The Andaman quake only released half it's tension. It has an history of double strikes, 20 to 30 years apart.

Sent from my SMART_4G_Speedy_5inch using Tapatalk

[arjunadawn]

Such efforts by scientists to sound alarms should remind us just how vulnerable humans are on the cosmic scale. I'm currently reading Hapgood's The Path to The Pole on earth crust displacement; its painfully clear that horrific crust displacements have been the norm throughout history (related to tectonics). Its with a sense of amnesia that human's continue to develop in some of the most troublesome areas of the world- coasts, volcanic areas, fault zones (maybe there is no choice, but there seems to be no appreciation either). The only immunization is foreknowledge and building codes and chance. Otherwise, such tragedies really are cosmic dice.

I agree totally with Graham Hancock in that humans are a species with amnesia. He was suggesting that humans forgot the lessons of ancient cataclysm and that there actually was once a global effort to ensure the warning was transmitted to posterity. Apparently, the message was lost.

[ToS2014]

as the song goes....welcome to Arizona Bay! Hate for those (eventually) affected though

[BKKdreaming]

I have been watching a lot of NHK TV from Japan and seeing the damage that was done a few weeks ago ,

California is not ready for that much damage in a large city !

In Japan 60-80.000 are still living in cars or city buildings , and they still stand in line for a hot lunch ,

That is not going to happen in Los Angeles , it will be each for themselves and the thugs will take over ,

I always have kept extra food around and hand can openers just in case , but it will not be pretty

and yes i was in LA for the last 2 big quakes

or it might be 200 years away . no one knows.....

[Scott]

Off-topic, troll posts and replies removed.

[Khon Kaen Dave]

I flew into Cebu Island ( Philippines) a couple of days after the one they had 2 years ago.I never realised the power of the elements could be so frightening. My hotel room started shaking and the hotel foyer was visibly moving,i had never experienced aftershocks before. Even that night when we went to a bar it started again and the girls had to get off the stage for fear of the pole falling over.Bottles were rattling on the shelves.That day was the last day we had them,thank god.

very scary.

[boomerangutang]

I spoke with a wave expert recently. She said big waves are coming to Hawaii.

Predicting earthquakes are coming to California is like predicting Trump will say rude and stupid things. It's a no-brainer.

[boomerangutang]

I flew into Cebu Island ( Philippines) a couple of days after the one they had 2 years ago.I never realised the power of the elements could be so frightening. My hotel room started shaking and the hotel foyer was visibly moving,i had never experienced aftershocks before. Even that night when we went to a bar it started again and the girls had to get off the stage for fear of the pole falling over.Bottles were rattling on the shelves.That day was the last day we had them,thank god.

very scary.

Did the girls have pole dancing insurance?

[mgjackson69]

I find it hard to accept anyone who says "locked, loaded and ready to roll" is an expert on anything apart from Hollywood B movies.

Why?

The guy was making a speech and trying to emphasize a point...hyperbole is a well-know technique for doing just that.

[BKKdreaming]

A few of the really BIG earthquakes in California the last few years have been out in the desert areas where not many people live , ,

The same earthquake in the city would have massive damage , but at least a large portion of the houses are made from wood and will have less damage than a brick or stone building ,

It will be a rough few weeks but at least there is money and a big country that will be there to help , poor places in the world do not have that help so quick