nattaya09

In New York, he isn't a "convicted felon" until the Judge passes that judgement at sentencing.

Yep, Obama would have played that card and leaked it to the NY Times in October 2016 if anything damning was there

It's considered a training manual to the current version of the Democrat Party

The RCP Averages above are an average of several pollsters, including the NY Times, for each of those states. RCP didn't conduct the poll(s)

The White House likely knows nothing of planned IDF operations involving high value targets in advance. With Biden, Sullivan and Blinken, the odds of leak to Iran are likely very high. After the IDF pulls the trigger, they can advise Biden before the media and give him the opportunity to say the US assisted

Trump outperformed his poll numbers by about 5% in 2016 & 2020. It may well not be as close as the RCP numbers show. Also, vulnerable Senate Democrat seems to be distancing themselves from Harris lately

Trump's Town Hall was held at 11 am when people are at work. The Harris interview was in the evening closer to primetime. Still, 3 million isn't bad for an 11 am slot

I've seen various political analysts over the last two weeks suggesting the internal polling at the Harris campaign is worse than the public polling suggests. That would likely account for her four appearances last week on friendly networks and the jump to Fox yesterday.

The Hispanic vote, especially younger men 18-49, is similarly trending. If the poll numbers actually traslate to votes, it would be lights out for Harris

Until Obama left Harvard and went to Chicago as a young adult, his entire life had been spent in an environment that was far whiter than most whites grow up in. You had to look hard to find a black person in Hawaii or Harvard. Once in Chicago, the Democrats there taught him that he had enough melanin in his skin to parlay it into a political career advancing identity polilics

Obama was picked to give Biden's inspiring "You ain't black if you don't vote for K..." lecture this time around

2016 was really hard on them. This would be far worse though given the 8 years of nonstop additional programming

...and besides, there was never an "insurrection" anyway

Cheney supporting Harris works in Trump's favor. Kind of like Putin supporting Harris yesterday

They will go with the standard George Stephenopolous Democrat tonguebath interview with no extras such as serious policy questions

The Heritage Foundation has been publishing this wish list since Reagan’s first term. They update it every election year

And a TV show that ran for over a dozen years

https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianbushard/2024/08/14/trump-votes-in-florida---heres-why-he-still-can-after-felony-conviction/

I doubt he really wants that either

The RCP Average for Aug 12 shows Trump leading in 5 of 7 top battleground states. All 7 are within margin of error so everythings open. She will likely get a short term bump immediately after the Convention. See where they are in October https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

The first female USMC officer killed in Iraq was also in the same branch as Vance (Public Affairs). Hit an IED while escorting civilian media into Ramadi

She's used to giving stupid answers to the few questions she's willing to take

Pelosi shut off wall funding when she regained House control in Jan 2019. Trump negotiated "Remain in Mexico" with the Mexican Pres and migration then slowed to a trickle. The border was more secure than it had been in decades until Biden blew it up one month into office

Carroll couldn't remember the year that her alleged assault occured

Obama bumped Carter after entrenching Identity Politics on steroids as the Democrat platform. Biden bumped O. Jimmy C can now go on to his great reward knowing he is 2 spots removed from the trophy he held for three decades