miamiman123 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 Thailand stats???? Naah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Megasin1 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 If it possible to get a medical certificate then there is at least one positive, you would know you were clear when you entered Thailand, but where are these supposed tourists coming from? As to their infection model, poppycock.its more like 4m in a year from now. There has also been nothing to suggest this is seasonal it's a constant spreader what will give the most interesting statistics is when a country fully returns to normality and we see what happens. UK is expecting a 3 month close down period and that is a minimum. And as a final comment when it all goes really bad in Thailand all farangs should be prepared to be interned. You can already see the direction that Thailand is taking and unfortunately if you are still there you have left it too late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sahibji Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 these are some frightening figures. hope it does not come to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chiang Mai Bill Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 4 hours ago, ParkerN said: Too many. Still, nice to see a realistic number in the context of TL. So much for goverment hopes of keeping the real number a state secret. 15 cases my sweet bippy. By the END or NEXT YEAR!!! ''Health officials in Thailand have forecast that at least 400,000 people may be diagnosed with the coronavirus, COVID-19, by the end of next year.'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SiSePuede419 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 400,000? Thailand has a population of 69,000,000. If 60-70% of people get COVID-19 eventually, that's 41 to 48 million cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grumpy John Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 PProbably 400.000 before Christmas Is my guess. I'd take a 10.000 baht wager on that...but as we all know gambling is illegal and I do not want to incur the wrath of the mods or spend part of my retirement in gaol. But I would be willing to use 10.000 baht to assist the unmarried mothers of Phitsanulok province in an uplifting manner....... ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chiang Mai Bill Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 2 minutes ago, sahibji said: these are some frightening figures. hope it does not come to that. What? ''Frightening"? You're not reading the figures from the rest of the world NOW -- never mind the ''end of next year''! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
malibukid Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 meanwhile the beaches are crowded Florida for spring break. the kids don't get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensisaket Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 Just wondering if the person writing this article knows what "the end of next year" means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xonax Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 (edited) 4 hours ago, dukeandduke said: Wonderful. "Officials" say this. As opposed to all of the doctors who say otherwise, unless you're sick, a health care worker, etc. A correctly used mask protects against 95% of the dangerous particles including virus and should definitely be worn in crowded places like buses, trains, airplanes etc.! Would you prefer to spend time in a crowded room with 20 Covid-19 infected people or with just 1 Covid-19 infected person? I can´t believe why any doctor would claim otherwise. Edited March 18, 2020 by Xonax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greenie Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 4 hours ago, dukeandduke said: Wonderful. "Officials" say this. As opposed to all of the doctors who say otherwise, unless you're sick, a health care worker, etc. That is not 100% accurate. Christian Drosten who is a well known virologist said recently (I read about that today) that wearing if face masks can be a valid measure if it is done by many. It will not prevent you from getting the virus but it lowers the probability of those who have it to spread it. He said for cultural reasons (!) he thinks that is almost impossible to achieve in the western world. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jingthing Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 1 minute ago, Xonax said: A correctly used mask protects against 95% of the dangerous particles including virus and should definitely be worn in crowded places like buses, trains, airplanes etc.! Would you prefer to spend time in a crowded room with 20 Covid-19 infected people or with just 1 Covid-19 infected person? You're talking about the respirator masks but most people aren't not wearing that variety. Issues with them -- Expensive Should be custom fitted, the public generally doesn't do that At least half the people don't wear them properly They restrict breathing and are not practical to wear for long periods of time For people with breathing issues like asthmatics they are not practical to wear at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simtemple Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 5 hours ago, VocalNeal said: I think it is safe to say that we will all get it in one from or another. Eventually. just like any other strain of flu. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.sciencealert.com/the-new-coronavirus-isn-t-like-the-flu-but-they-have-one-big-thing-in-common Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParkerN Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 (edited) 5 hours ago, KhunKenAP said: Hold On! The General told us in January the situation is 100% under control. The General lied. Which can't possibly come as a surprise. Edited March 18, 2020 by ParkerN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justin case Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 from 100% under control (lol) to 400.000 cases ... all because of mr. dirty farang ? or doing NOTHING AT ALL for 3 months ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrmicbkktxl Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 5 hours ago, ParkerN said: Too many. Still, nice to see a realistic number in the context of TL. So much for goverment hopes of keeping the real number a state secret. 15 cases my sweet bippy. Not sure if 400000 is realistic,in Germany they talk about 50-60 million people who probably catch the virus 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cryo Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 (edited) 4 hours ago, Jingthing said: Definitely not. That's not how most governments roll. However, I think people should be seeing this as good news in the sense that the authorities here are FINALLY facing the seriousness of this. But it would have been much better news if they had done that months ago. It's a quite similar situation to the USA but with many specific differences as well. Still not facing up to reality as there appears to be a problem with all Government figures missing a number of zeros. The Thai Government has always had a problem with zeros just look at the tourist forecasts although that's an extra zeros problem. I worry for the Thai population as once the latest measure's begin to take effect lots of infected people from the city's will head home to older relatives ???? Edited March 18, 2020 by cryo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParkerN Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 1 hour ago, mrmicbkktxl said: Not sure if 400000 is realistic,in Germany they talk about 50-60 million people who probably catch the virus Ouch. And that's a 1st-world country with a 1st-world health system. Oh dear. The general comments from posters does not create a positive impression. Still, the soldiers'll all be OK so not to worry. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post ParkerN Posted March 18, 2020 Popular Post Share Posted March 18, 2020 1 hour ago, justin case said: from 100% under control (lol) to 400.000 cases ... all because of mr. dirty farang ? or doing NOTHING AT ALL for 3 months ??? Trick question? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OneMoreFarang Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 5 hours ago, webfact said: People are also urged to wear a face mask Where can we buy N95 facemasks? Because according to experts the surgical masks are almost useless against an airborne virus. Today I asked in a hospital for the masks. The doctor told me he gets one mask per day. And he told me even high risk patients can't get any masks. So much about protecting ourselves. I guess the only "bright side" about this is that in many other countries the situation is not better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
time2093 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 With these kind of forecast numbers. I dont think that any bars and other entertainment places will be open after April 1, probably for the rest of the year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nick33 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 always look on the bright side of life... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nanaplaza666 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 5 hours ago, ParkerN said: Too many. Still, nice to see a realistic number in the context of TL. So much for goverment hopes of keeping the real number a state secret. 15 cases my sweet bippy. It's nice to hear a higher nr then the 40 cases wich they held on to for a long time , but 400.000 cases by the end of next year is still a bit low i think . They calculate this by the rate it's going up with right now but you can count on this rate going up much faster soon . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Christmas13 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 4 hours ago, NCC1701A said: but but but the experts on this forum said this would not happen in Thailand. i was specificity assured this would not happen. something about it being too hot. WEAR A MASK Rubbish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cryo Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 2 hours ago, steve73 said: Definitely dodgy.... 5% of (the worst case estimate of) 10 million is 500,000. Official estimates rang from (0.1% age 1-20) (1% age 20-40) (1.8% 40-50) (2.5% 50-60) (3.5% 60-70) (13.6% 70-upover). Average mortality rate across all a age groups is approx. 1% of suspected infected cases (calculated infection rate not actual tested) These are China's figures up to date and are changing daily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCP108 Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 I guess if we accept the basis of the model and want to see if we have a better, or worse, outcome here, use the infection rate average that is happening elsewhere where there is such data. Isn't that such that each infected person is infecting between 2 and 3 other people? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cryo Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 10 minutes ago, Nick33 said: always look on the bright side of life... Didn't this Monty python guy just die? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mung Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 5 hours ago, VocalNeal said: I think it is safe to say that we will all get it in one from or another. Eventually. just like any other strain of flu. I'm 32 and I've never actually had the flu before. You can only get CIOVID from somebody else, so if you aren't around people until a vaccine is made, you stand a good chance of not getting it. If you're really quite elderly and or weak, that might be an idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Mountain Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 April 1st is early this year .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bangkokianbaba Posted March 18, 2020 Share Posted March 18, 2020 "by the end of next year" (?)???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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