Officials forecast 400,000 COVID-19 cases in Thailand

[Justgrazing]

2 hours ago, Jingthing said:

How can people get a certificate that they don't have it?!? 

 

Tests are not on demand. They are only for people with either symptoms or an obvious direct exposure. 

 

They may as well just totally ban entries from their blacklist nations. 

 

Ironically Thailand will be on many lists as well. 

Exactly J T and who would you get a cert' from .. No chance getting an appt with the Doctor right now unless its absolutely life or death .. 

And test kits at the moment in Britain are dedicated to those already in hospital or exhibiting symptoms .. 

[lujanit]

2 hours ago, NCC1701A said:

but but but the experts on this forum said this would not happen in Thailand.

 

i was specificity assured this would not happen. 

 

something about it being too hot. 

 

WEAR A MASK

Why the fear mongering? This virus gains access via mucous membranes.  That includes your eyes.  Most transmissions occur when people come into contact with an infected person or a surface and touch their faces.  Anyway the masks most people wear (including you) are useless against transmission.  Stop the <deleted>.

 

In the last week I have seen a guy wearing a mask (he was behind the counter in a well known coffee shop) he pulled the mask down and inserted his finger up his nose.  More worryingly I was at the big (Kings) hospital on Monday.  The girl in the pharmacy pulled down her mask to scratch her nose.

[jlwilliamsjr18]

Whose fault will this be? Shut down the BTS, MRT and Buses. Reduce traffic one way in the AM and the other way in the PM.  Taxis only and they need to be trained in how to disinfect their cars.  Gov. also needs to subsidize participating taxis, lowering fares.  

Edited March 18, 2020 by jlwilliamsjr18

[MrMo]

Why believe anything this report comes out with.   It starts off by saying 400,000 infections by the end of next year (that's 2021) and half a dozen lines later claims there will be 400,000 the end of 2020 (that's current year).

 

Also 400,000 (or around 5%) of the population is the good news.

 

Please clarify Mister Editor.

 

 

[davidmann]

2 hours ago, 4MyEgo said:

I just hope those farangs who can afford private health and don't have it, get some real soon.

Try. if your over 70 and been in thailand since 1978     Those   Farangs are devils. ,  and those Chinese. are Nice people. ,was at the airport at  Pataya.  ,police had to stop fight.  ,Quiz.  who was fitting. ?   worst than any zoo iv ever been to 

[leggo]

The Thai government response from the outset of this epidemic has been totally amateurish only being concerned with tourism and which has totally backfired .If they had dealt with it properly in the first place they might not have destroyed the industry and at the same time they might have contained the virus. Now they have zero tourism and an epidemic that is spirally out of control which will have devastating effects on the already unsteady economy and will take years to recover - will they learn from this, probably not . I feel for the little people who will lose their businesses, jobs and more.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

3 hours ago, zydeco said:

How many required ICU beds does this translate into?

 

 

More than they have....by a wide margin, I'd imagine.

 

[Assurancetourix]

1 hour ago, aussienam said:

Field hospitals by army personnel will be only option.  

What France is already doing in the east of the country

[alex8912]

39 minutes ago, brucegoniners said:

What a bunch of jerk offs. They have no freaking idea. 400K? 10 million? 16 million? Common. Come up with solution, not stupid predictions that have no basis in fact.

To be honest many western countries media are doing the exact same thing so they are just copying. There are many trendy Corona virus what if stories everywhere. The Boston Globe says 120+ million Americans MIGHT get it. I’m sure The NY Times and Wash Post and of course the Corona News Network CNN all do it. It very trendy and sells!  

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

2 hours ago, Chazar said:

DONT WEAR  A  MASK

 

You continue to persist in spite of ample evidence you're wrong or at least over-simplifying.

 

Drugstore masks are NOT generally effective in preventing inhaling of viruses, that's true. But they at least do help prevent the wear from touching their nose, mouth, etc, which is a good thing.

 

But N95 masks ARE effective against viruses, and that's why hospital and medical staff who treat CV patients are supposed to be and are wearing them. In fact, are required to wear them in most places.

 

 

[jojothai]

Stupid idiots.

Now they are trying to scare people into taking notice, after so long telling them there was no problem and it will be gone soon.

I think that they have now given the cause for the public to panic in expectation of of lockdowns.

You better get out to the supermarkets to stock up.

Some photos from Villa market Sukhumvit soi 26 yesterday. Toilet paper gone and canned food nearly cleared out.

 

 

[ThailandRyan]

1 hour ago, drbeach said:

I agree...don't understand Thailand's generosity for giving free health care to nationals of these neighboring countries, there are millions of them in Thailand. Seems pretty racist to me, when they don't give it to us. Plus, those countries don't give Thais free health care...they're treated like any other foreigners. Seems like the Thai government has shot themselves in the foot on this one.

 

I think this whole corona virus situation could be the impetus that forces the Thai government to make some cut backs - one of them being, no more free health care for any non-Thais...

You do realize that these nationals from the neighboring countries are the workers who provide Thailand with skilled labor for the jobs no Thai will do.  They are also, well mostly, here on NON-LA Visa's and extensions for which they also pay a tidy sum to be added to the Thai Health Care system........saying its free makes me believe that you have no knowledge of how hard they work for what little benefits they do get and pay for vs. a Thai national.  They work 7 days a week with little to no time off, and if they do take a day off loose pay.  So pray tell, how is this racist to you as a non-Thai and expat?  

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

24 minutes ago, lujanit said:

In the last week I have seen a guy wearing a mask (he was behind the counter in a well known coffee shop) he pulled the mask down and inserted his finger up his nose.  More worryingly I was at the big (Kings) hospital on Monday.  The girl in the pharmacy pulled down her mask to scratch her nose.

 

What you cite is the issue of some people not wearing / using / handling the masks properly, which is a different issue from whether the mask itself can be effective if worn and used properly. Don't blame the tool for the ignorance of the user.

 

 

[hobz]

3 hours ago, dukeandduke said:

Wonderful.  "Officials" say this.  As opposed to all of the doctors who say otherwise, unless you're sick, a health care worker, etc.

Doctors are going by WHO guidelines, and WHO is lying because they dont want a mask shortage for health care workers.

Edited March 18, 2020 by hobz

[sungod]

3 hours ago, DLock said:

And if it hits 4% death rate as it is now, that will be 16,000 deaths...

 

Not bad for "all under control".

Do you see any other countries doing any better? The developed countries in Europe perhaps?

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

4 minutes ago, jojothai said:

Some photos from Villa market Sukhumvit soi 26 yesterday. Toilet paper gone and canned food nearly cleared out.

 

But but but.... the Thai mass retailers popped up here just a couple days ago with a "news" article reporting they had plenty of supplies and weren't even running at full capacity.... 

 

Don't tell me, another Thailand episode of FAKE NEWS aka government propaganda.

 

[unsubscribe]

2 hours ago, Jingthing said:

Yes probably there will be massive global infection. But it's not just another strain of flu. The fatality rate from it is at least 10 times normal seasonal flu. This is much more like the 1918 plague flu than a normal seasonal flu.

 

If I sound matter of fact about this, well I was living in San Francisco when the HIV virus peaked before people even knew what it was and people were dropping like flies. 

 

That virus is hard to get and fairly easy to prevent once you know the facts.

 

This one is super easy to get and no amount of hand washing is really going to stop it. We can slow it though. 

 

Viruses don't have passports.

 

As a fellow SF'er this rings true.

In SF, my biggest concern now is that we get the big one (earthquake) during this "burn out" stage of the virus which is projected to last between now and August (with peak in June).

[TheFishman1]

I still think the government here is clueless TIT

[metisdead]

A troll post has been removed. 

[anthony0339]

Scare mongering and nonsense in my opinion. 

Edited March 18, 2020 by anthony0339

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

59 minutes ago, brucegoniners said:

What a bunch of jerk offs. They have no freaking idea. 400K? 10 million? 16 million? Common. Come up with solution, not stupid predictions that have no basis in fact.

 

The range of infection estimates, I'm pretty certain, is based on the modeling world health authorities have done based on past virus outbreaks. It's not an exact number, and only a range, because there are a lot of variables:

 

different diseases are more or less contagious, affect different age groups differently, may be more or less seasonal, etc etc. And then there's the intervention issues -- governments & societies can take measures like quarantines, social distancing, etc that have the effect to cut down the infection rate, depending on how effectively and broadly they're enforced, and how early in the spread.

 

Depending on what Thailand does now and in the coming weeks/months, where the country actually ends up is either going to be on the high or low end of those estimate ranges.

 

[ginjag]

3 hours ago, 4MyEgo said:

I just hope those farangs who can afford private health and don't have it, get some real soon.

Tell me where ??   cannot find a company to be insured with....    Age 77    to old and senile to insure, that bad I can drive a motorbike from Udon to Jomptien in 11 hours (125cc),   Artist,  all housework and cleaning by myself,   but high risk, as insurance companies only want customers that would not claim.   lol

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

1 hour ago, steve73 said:

 

There are better masks becoming available, or respirator/canister types that better protect the wearer.

 

They're called N95 respirator masks made by 3M and others.

 

[Krataiboy]

Health officials in Thailand have forecast that at least 400,000 people may be diagnosed with the coronavirus, COVID-19, by the end of next year.

 

Are these, by any chance, the same health officials who haven't bothered to tell our esteemed leader that wearing a cloth mask that matches his shirt won't protect him against viruses?

 

Hmmmm.

 

 

 

 

 

 

[chang1]

As the uk government estimates we have around 40000 cases now, I think Thailand probably is not far off that 400000 mark already.

Edited March 18, 2020 by chang1

[PETERTHEEATER]

3 hours ago, Jingthing said:

And anyone that believed that I'm selling a bridge cheap. 

Please say it's Tower Bridge, I need that one to complete my set. I can remit charges to you in Nigeria, no problem....

[KKr]

trying to put some numbers in perspective here. 
Using Today's WHO  data and 
and 2019 population data (https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/ ), am ranking Covid cases / 100.000 inhabitants.
Calculating the subtotals by region, may give a better indication of how bad the infection spread is and of what is going on where, then just throwing absolute numbers without putting these in perspective.
Thailand, official numbers ranks 92. If we were to reach the density numbers like in Switzerland, that would mean (30/.25)*177 = about 21.000

Edited March 18, 2020 by KKr
clarifications

[rtco]

4 hours ago, webfact said:

is that up to 400,000 people will become infected with the virus

This is just covering the ar$e$ because they know that they've been keeping the true figure under wraps

Edited March 18, 2020 by rtco
Spelling mistake

[Number 6]

I think it will be higher. Chinese government essentially went to martial law. All the other countries high levels of education where people understand how germs and virus are transmitted. Here they have no clue. Stunning to see how improperly masks are treated. Already heard 4 people coughing hacking on BTS MRT. They go to work.

 

No word from wife about shutting down her building. Meanwhile my friend told me LA and OC are on lockdown. 23m people.

[Guderian]

400,000 diagnosed cases, but don't forget the other 3,600,000 cases they didn't bother testing.