Without mass testing to understand the spread of infection, conducted hand-in-hand with general social distancing and similar measures, it seems to me that there's only one outcome: mass infection and health system overload, no matter what country. Question is whether it's too late already in Thailand. South Korea has aggressively tested; look where they are now.

 

 

Source: http://ncov.mohw.go.kr/en/

 

Salutary comments from the doctor heading the Covid-19 response in Daegu, the South Korean city hit hardest by the epidemic:

 

"In Daegu, we had more than 10,000 members of Shincheonji. When we tested those who were symptomatic, 87.5 percent turned out to be positive. When we tested a sample of people who weren’t symptomatic, it was 74.4 per cent. So we had to quarantine this group, and we did. We call this our “divine maneuver.” If we hadn’t done it from the very beginning, we’d be where the US is now, where Italy is now."

 

Source: https://www.wired.com/story/a-south-korean-covid-19-czar-has-some-advice-for-trump/

 

It doesn't say how many Shincheonji sect members were tested, so "75%" asymptomatic could be 7 out of 10 ... or 750 out of 1000.

 

Sobering.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Impossible measure is the same as no measure at all.