Bkk Brian Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, anchadian said: Latest, Phuket sandbox probably delayed. Do you have a link for this? Tourism minister: Phuket unlikely to be ready for "sandbox" opening - "sealed route" share with Samui proposed https://forum.thaivisa.com/topic/1220255-tourism-minister-phuket-unlikely-to-be-ready-for-sandbox-opening-sealed-route-share-with-samui-proposed/?tab=comments#comment-16558603 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Golden Triangle Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 14 minutes ago, anchadian said: Starting today, there are no press briefings by the CCSA on the weekends. The Thai and English briefings will now only be from Mondays to Fridays until further notice. However, I will still be posting the latest #COVID19 news every day as normal over on @ThaiNewsReports #Thailand https://twitter.com/RichardBarrow/status/1403596857540972548 Thanks for that information, I tuned in as usual at 12.30 and wondered if it had been on early today, why they didn't say something yesterday, sheesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danderman123 Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 42 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said: Hospital walk ins shot up, thats not a good sign, blue bar on graph https://media.thaigov.go.th/uploads/public_img/source/120664.pdf This is in accordance with a higher positivity rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anchadian Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 https://www.facebook.com/nbtworld/posts/10158076676677050 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wensiensheng Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 4 hours ago, Bkk Brian said: Yes, to get the R number you need good data, the main ones being number of tests, number of positives, positivity rate, death rates etc. Unfortunately its impossible to get those. They've stopped reporting the positivity rates for pro active testing in Bangkok also, no data on that for over a week. I wonder if they will report numbers of vaccinations for today and over the next few days….until the next batch of sinovac hits the streets. but Anutin was right, mass vaccinations started on 7th June. He just didn’t mention that they would stop 4 days later. ???? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riparian Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bhakta Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 70 million people here, less than 1400 "dead" supposedly of this Covid 19, although anyone looking at the details knows that nearly everyone dead had preexisting serious conditions like diabetes, kidney failure, cancer, heart diseases, Alzheimer's, etc. 3rd grade arithmetic can divide 1400/70 million and understand that the odds of a healthy normal person dying from this Covid 19 are very near zero.zero.zero.zero.1. But the entire country has been basically ruined. Why? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post wensiensheng Posted June 12, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted June 12, 2021 Just now, bhakta said: 70 million people here, less than 1400 "dead" supposedly of this Covid 19, although anyone looking at the details knows that nearly everyone dead had preexisting serious conditions like diabetes, kidney failure, cancer, heart diseases, Alzheimer's, etc. 3rd grade arithmetic can divide 1400/70 million and understand that the odds of a healthy normal person dying from this Covid 19 are very near zero.zero.zero.zero.1. But the entire country has been basically ruined. Why? If you can’t follow the world news, I can’t help you I’m afraid. I’m guessing there must be something to this Covid thing because of how every country in the world has reacted, blowed if I can figure out what it is either. let me know if you work it out, eh? 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bkk Brian Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 Thonglor, isn't this third wave where it all started and yet they seem to have taken no notice. 31 people arrested at night club in Thonglor, Bangkok for allegedly violating Covid -19 measurements 31 people have been arrested at a nightclub in Thonglor, Bangkok today (June 12th) during a raid by Thonglor police while allegedly drinking alcohol, socializing, and partying. Thonglor Police stated the group was violating Bangkok orders to prevent the spread of the Covid-19 coronavirus. Police arrived at the nightclub, named by police as the Black Club, in Thonglor Soi 7 last night, June 11th. 31 people were reportedly found gathering, socializing, and drinking alcohol with loud music. Of those 32, 18 are male and 13 are female. https://thepattayanews.com/2021/06/12/31-people-arrested-at-night-club-in-thonglor-bangkok-for-allegedly-violating-covid-19-measurements/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phuketshrew Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 17 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said: 31 people have been arrested at a nightclub in Thonglor, Bangkok today (June 12th) during a raid by Thonglor police while allegedly drinking alcohol, socializing, and partying. Easy. Imprison them with a bunch of covid-19 positive prisoners and deny them access to any vaccines. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
morrobay Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 6 hours ago, vivananahuahin said: We never know also the Ŕo number,i ask several times no answer. From worldmeter data from April 1 ,28863 cases to June 12 , 193105 cases . And from https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number Go to estimation methods and to simple model. From the first line of equations showing two different ways to calculate, I got R0 about 1.08 so it's just linear increases now as has been for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Excel Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 14 minutes ago, Phuketshrew said: Easy. Imprison them with a bunch of covid-19 positive prisoners and deny them access to any vaccines. Guess last we hear of this if any ministers had a hand in it's operation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Mr Meeseeks Posted June 12, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted June 12, 2021 1 hour ago, RotBenz8888 said: Thailands covid strategy that has been praised around the world, now turned out to be a complete fiasco. In particular the vaccine rollout disaster. Predictable. Everything they do is marred by incompetence and/or corruption. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enoon Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 (edited) 3 hours ago, anchadian said: Around two-thirds of Covid-19 patients possibly died due to non-communicable diseases and not Covid-19 itself, the Department of Disease Control has said. Statistics show that patients with high blood pressure have a 2.17 times higher risk of death than other infected persons. https://twitter.com/Thenationth/status/1403599597029625859 COVID "triggers" all sorts of conditions. Recognised over a year ago: https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/04/how-does-coronavirus-kill-clinicians-trace-ferocious-rampage-through-body-brain-toes# "They are realizing that although the lungs are ground zero, its reach can extend to many organs including the heart and blood vessels, kidneys, gut, and brain." Thus, if a country has low testing rates, 1000's of people will have died as a result of COVID, but not "classic" (respiratory) COVID deaths, without it being recognised as the root cause. Edited June 12, 2021 by Enoon 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluedoc Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 8 hours ago, webfact said: The news comes as the ambassadors of Belgium and France asked the Thai government to arrange for COVID-19 vaccinations for their citizens Send some vaccines over from your own country you idiots. unbelievable. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post bluedoc Posted June 12, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted June 12, 2021 8 hours ago, ThailandRyan said: I just find it strange that the numbers still continue to stay in the range of 2,000 plus for community cases, especially with all of the clusters being found here in Bangkok and other Areas. The prison cases will continue on in my view until either all are infected or those that are not, providing they have been segregated, are vaccinated. Even vaccination does not ensure you may not become infected. The deaths just keep bumping along and for some may be acceptable, but no deaths are acceptable in reality as much has been learned on treatment. The question I have that never seems to be answered by this government, is how many passed in the hospitals versus passing away at home after either never going to the hospital or were told to stay at home. Stay safe folks. It’s just a percentage game, test 10,000, get 2,000 positive. test 20,000, get 4,000 positive. test 100,000, get 20,000. the Thai government do not want to see true figures. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluedoc Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 7 hours ago, FarFlungFalang said: I found an interesting little study about flu deaths in 2005 to 2008 using PCR tested flu patients in which 1346 people tested positive for the flu virus and of those 1346 positives 10 died which gives a 0.74% CFR and I've just used the total cases and death numbers in the worldometer section for Thailand with 189,828 cases and 1402 deaths which gives 0.73% CFR.Quite similar really If you think numbers of people tested are true??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lemonltr Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 8 hours ago, dinsdale said: Took around 14 months for Thailand to record 228 deaths. Now in the last 7 days there have been 228 deaths and 362 deaths for the month so far. As of yesterday deaths in the UK for the previous 7 days stood at 55. UK has vaccinated around 70.000.000 split 1st and 2nd doses so far over 6 months and proving effective in lowering deaths. . Cases up 300% recently owing to the Delta variant. On the other hand UK tests between 800.000 and 1.200.000 daily. Can be checked on "public health england daily report" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anchadian Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 Breaking: Prime Minister allows some relaxing of a few restrictions in Bangkok, including museums, parks, tattoo shops, and foot massages. This is effective Monday, June 14th He also stated the Phuket Sandbox will proceed as of July First. More soon. https://twitter.com/The_PattayaNews/status/1403701714675372035 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
placeholder Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 11 hours ago, vivananahuahin said: We never know also the Ŕo number,i ask several times no answer. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-57431420 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Blumpie Posted June 12, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted June 12, 2021 6 hours ago, Bkk Brian said: Tourism minister: Phuket unlikely to be ready for "sandbox" opening - "sealed route" share with Samui proposed https://forum.thaivisa.com/topic/1220255-tourism-minister-phuket-unlikely-to-be-ready-for-sandbox-opening-sealed-route-share-with-samui-proposed/?tab=comments#comment-16558603 No. Freaking. Kidding. There will be no tourism in 2021, and 2022 the latter half of the "high season". The vaccine rate in Thailand is nothing short of pathetic. It is improving which is good, but it took them long enough to figure out that they need vaccines to exit the lockdowns. How can you have tourism when you're worried about your health care system collapsing? Geez! Who buys this garbage? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bkk Brian Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 The Department of Corrections reported 892 new cases today and two more deaths bringing that total to 28. Out of the 31,405 inmates that were infected, 7,875 remain in care https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1403692596111630340 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bkk Brian Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 More vaccine cancellations, will Anutin have more excuses and say its nothing to do with him? Several medical institutes in Bangkok have announced they are having to postpone all inoculation appointments, from Monday, June 14th onward, because the BMA’s health department has not received their supply of vaccines from the public health ministry. https://twitter.com/ThaiPBSWorld/status/1403721473966018560 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarFlungFalang Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 4 hours ago, bluedoc said: If you think numbers of people tested are true??? The number tested doesn't affect the ratio.As you can see a lot more than ten have died in Thailand in this pandemic yet the ratio ends up being remarkably similar to the flu numbers in the study. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GroveHillWanderer Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 8 hours ago, anchadian said: Okay, I've found it.UPDATE: Tourism Minister reportedly says July 1 ‘sandbox’ won’t happenhttps://thethaiger.com/news/phuket/tourism-minister-reportedly-said-july-1-reopening-will-not-happen The article on that link has since been updated. It now says the report of a postponement till August 1 has not been confirmed and they are still planning for a July 1 re-opening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Petey11 Posted June 12, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted June 12, 2021 34 minutes ago, GroveHillWanderer said: The article on that link has since been updated. It now says the report of a postponement till August 1 has not been confirmed and they are still planning for a July 1 re-opening. Update, the update of the updated decision will be updated when someone decides to make a decision about the updates. Cleared that up then 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laughing Gravy Posted June 12, 2021 Share Posted June 12, 2021 8 hours ago, Mr Meeseeks said: Predictable. Everything they do is marred by incompetence and/or corruption. Plus patting themselves on the back saying what a great job they have been doing whilst not being transparent. Seems to be a typical trait that I have noticed over the last 20 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danderman123 Posted June 13, 2021 Share Posted June 13, 2021 31 people arrested at night club in Thonglor, Bangkok for allegedly violating Covid -19 measurements 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
morrobay Posted June 13, 2021 Share Posted June 13, 2021 11 hours ago, placeholder said: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-57431420 Yes the alpha strain may have the potential for R0 = 4 in some particular environments. With the data from worldmeter for April 1 to now and given only 4 alpha strain infections in Thailand on April 1 then this calculation , as shown in wiki screenshot (second equation) : 4 x (1.567)^24 = 192183 . If you plug an R0 of 4 Into above the infections. are in trillions. * the exponent of growth,24 is from 72days/3 day generation/ infection interval. So R0 of 1.567 in Thailand , from givens. M I 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Excel Posted June 13, 2021 Share Posted June 13, 2021 36 minutes ago, Danderman123 said: 31 people arrested at night club in Thonglor, Bangkok for allegedly violating Covid -19 measurements This was posted firstly yesterday, today in the Thainews and now again by yourself. !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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