Kamala Harris' Election Prospects Slip in Prediction Market Amid Trump's Surge

[JonnyF]

1 hour ago, Paulgo said:

But whoever she’s asked about her policies she avoids the questions. 

 

Exactly, and people are noticing.

 

Question ; What is your policy on transport?

Harris ; Well let me start by saying that my father bought me my first bicycle when I was 7. It had 2 wheels, and pedals, and blah blah blah.

 

It's laughable at this point. And it will only become more obvious in the final 4 weeks as the pressure ramps up.

 

Put a fork in her, she's done. 

 

[mdr224]

5 minutes ago, proton said:

I wonder if she secretly is hoping she loses? she must know by now she is not up to doing the job. She cannot even answer simple questions and seems to have almost no idea about foreign policy. The DEI selection if ever there was one.

Its not a lack of desire, its just incompetence

[thaibeachlovers]

4 minutes ago, mdr224 said:

Its not a lack of desire, its just incompetence

I think the poster you quoted could be right. She probably thought she could do it after being a do nothing VP for 3 1/2 years, but the reality may have frightened her- being the one responsible for possible end of the human world by nuclear war and having to make decisions about conventional wars and such like that were made by others before, plus the thousand and one things that a POTUS has to deal with would be daunting for anyone.

[mdr224]

1 minute ago, thaibeachlovers said:

I think the poster you quoted could be right. She probably thought she could do it after being a do nothing VP for 3 1/2 years, but the reality may have frightened her- being the one responsible for possible end of the human world by nuclear war and having to make decisions about conventional wars and such like that were made by others before, plus the thousand and one things that a POTUS has to deal with would be daunting for anyone.

No question about that. Just a before and after pic of obama confirms that much

[malibukid]

she's a deadbeat, a phony, but a real phony

[watthong]

3 hours ago, morrobay said:

Unbelievable isn't it that she has gotten even this far. Well her house of  cards, Empress has no clothes ,wheels coming off the wagon campaign has finally arrived. What's also unbelievable are the people who are planning on voting for her.

 

Sarcasm at its best. Hats off.

[Dcheech]

8 hours ago, Social Media said:

Based on a report from Newsweek 2024-10-10

[Thingamabob]

2 hours ago, neeray said:

Bettors can often = losers. Might as well play the slots.

Slots are pure chance. Wagers/bets are based on a combination of info and instinct. The aim is to arrive at a minimum 2 to1win ratio over, say,10 years. It's worth getting an opinion from successful bettors for an indication of the likely course of events. Currently Trump is definitely  on an upswing but, of course, it may not last. Still a lot to play for.

[morrobay]

https://www.usatoday.com/story/graphics/2024/10/08/presidential-election-odds-2024-betting-polls/75559980007/

[morrobay]

What a difference a week made.  https://www.app.com/story/news/politics/2024/10/09/presidential-election-2024-odds-kamala-harris-donald-trump-oct-9-update/75397605007/

[watthong]

10 minutes ago, morrobay said:

https://www.usatoday.com/story/graphics/2024/10/08/presidential-election-odds-2024-betting-polls/75559980007/

 

Less than a month and all this caco-phony will be over. The locusts would go underground. Time to stock up for barbeque. Bliss.

[earlinclaifornia]

6 hours ago, Eric Loh said:

Forbes reported that one anonymous user by the name of "Fredi9999"upped his bets on a Trump win to over $4 million. Polymarkets does not limit individual bettors like their nearest competitors like Predictlt ($850 limit) or Kalshi. So this big swing could be due to this one individual or a handful of big ticket bettors rather than a material shift in the election landscape.

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/10/07/trumps-election-odds-spike-on-polymarket-as-musk-touts-election-betting-site/

But Polymarket competitors moved far less Monday, as PredictIt favored Harris over Trump at what equates to a 51.4% to 48.6% margin, roughly flat over the last 24 hours, and Kalshi odds sat flat at 51% to 49% in Harris’ favor.

[JCauto]

Well, go ahead then boys! Pile on in and fill your boots! Easy money right?

I would "bet" that none of you would be willing to risk a single satang because you already know you're going to lose. Just look at how desperately you're clutching at straws. A betting site run by Peter Thiel. LOLOLOL!

[Eric Loh]

1 hour ago, earlinclaifornia said:

But Polymarket competitors moved far less Monday, as PredictIt favored Harris over Trump at what equates to a 51.4% to 48.6% margin, roughly flat over the last 24 hours, and Kalshi odds sat flat at 51% to 49% in Harris’ favor.

IMO Predictit and Kalshi are more representative of the election landscape than Polymarket as they have betting limits. The mysterious bettor who punt over $4 million for Trump with Polymarket has skewed the betting odds. Trump's allies have deep pockets and will do desperate things to get him across the finish line. The momentum is with Harris while Trump is struggling as his lies get more outrageous and more people are noticing.