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Japan's Population Plunges by Half a Million in 14th Straight Annual Fall


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Posted

The overall population dropped by 550,000 from the previous year to 123.8 million in 2024, extending the streak of declines to 14 years, according to data as of October 2024 released Monday by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. The number of Japanese nationals alone declined by 898,000, the steepest fall since comparable records began in 1950...

The number of people aged 15 to 64 — the core of the labor force — fell by 224,000 to 73.7 million, intensifying the fiscal strain on a nation already carrying the highest debt-to-GDP ratio among developed economies.

https://archive.ph/dJWMn#selection-1755.181-1759.27

 

In other words, it was thanks to immigration that the population didn't fall further.

For a population in developed nations to remain stable, ,the fertility rate needs to be 2.1. In the United States the fertility rate was 1.62 in 2023, the last year that rates are available for.

image.png.7550a5ab361053ee06bf44762a8bb96f.png

https://crr.bc.edu/the-u-s-fertility-rates-is-falling-is-there-anything-we-can-do/

 

Without lots of immigration who is going to fill all those promised new manufacturing jobs?

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Posted
19 hours ago, placeholder said:

Without lots of immigration who is going to fill all those promised new manufacturing jobs?

Automation and robotics.

 

Advanced societies have less kids , and in Japan's case maybe 

all that radioactivity from fukushima lowers fertility.

Intelligent people have less kids , they see the future and it doesn't look good.

(well not Elon Musk , but he is already starting for populating Mars).

 

With less people , you need less manufacturing. 

They better keep immigrants out or they'll wind up like europe.

Posted
55 minutes ago, FlorC said:

Automation and robotics.

 

Advanced societies have less kids , and in Japan's case maybe 

all that radioactivity from fukushima lowers fertility.

Intelligent people have less kids , they see the future and it doesn't look good.

(well not Elon Musk , but he is already starting for populating Mars).

 

With less people , you need less manufacturing. 

They better keep immigrants out or they'll wind up like europe.

Well, if that's the case, then it looks like Trump's effort to increase manufacturing employment in the USA is doomed. The problem with your argument is that Japan needs taxpayers to support the social services that its aging population will need.

Posted

And this is the big flaw in social services in western societies and other countries like Japan. 

You pay SS for other people now , not for yourself.

You have to rely on others to pay your SS.

 

But here in Japan's case , it's gonna get rough. Maybe like the others , borrowing or printing money.

Once most of the old people have died , it will get better.

That could take a decade or 2.

 

Profits and taxes on automated production will stay a money resource.

With AI , less people/workers are needed anyway .

Immigration is the worst option , especially to closed societies like Japan.

You are building for you own kind , not to hand Japan over to "others" .

Posted
10 minutes ago, FlorC said:

And this is the big flaw in social services in western societies and other countries like Japan. 

You pay SS for other people now , not for yourself.

You have to rely on others to pay your SS.

 

But here in Japan's case , it's gonna get rough. Maybe like the others , borrowing or printing money.

Once most of the old people have died , it will get better.

That could take a decade or 2.

 

Profits and taxes on automated production will stay a money resource.

With AI , less people/workers are needed anyway .

Immigration is the worst option , especially to closed societies like Japan.

You are building for you own kind , not to hand Japan over to "others" .

But in the USA it's not a flaw thanks to the constant influx of immigrants. Maybe we should put that in the past tense?

"Once most of the old people have died it will get better."? Because the people younger than the elderly won't grow old themselves? Have they discovered the secret of eternal youth?

 

Posted
8 minutes ago, placeholder said:

But in the USA it's not a flaw thanks to the constant influx of immigrants. Maybe we should put that in the past tense?

"Once most of the old people have died it will get better."? Because the people younger than they are won't grow old themselves? Have they discovered the secret of eternal youth?

 

They are going to get a new system . The future is not like the past. AI revolution is coming.

Less workers needed , who's going to pay the old and unemployed ?

Like it is now is not sustainable for the future.

Importing other people is not the right way to go and will cause bigger problems than they solve.

Maybe societies with strong declining populations like Japan are going to be the winners.

Not now but in 10 -20 years and further.

 

You heard the globalists : the future is not human.

Posted
Just now, FlorC said:

They are going to get a new system . The future is not like the past. AI revolution is coming.

Less workers needed , who's going to pay the old and unemployed ?

Like it is now is not sustainable for the future.

Importing other people is not the right way to go and will cause bigger problems than they solve.

Maybe societies with strong declining populations like Japan are going to be the winners.

Not now but in 10 -20 years and further.

 

You heard the globalists : the future is not human.

Thanks for sharing with us your speculative fiction.

Posted
25 minutes ago, placeholder said:

But in the USA it's not a flaw thanks to the constant influx of immigrants. Maybe we should put that in the past tense?

"Once most of the old people have died it will get better."? Because the people younger than the elderly won't grow old themselves? Have they discovered the secret of eternal youth?

 

Society never gets better!

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Posted

Fewer people will give a better quality of life for the people that live there. I'm impressed, Japan is going in the right direction.  

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Posted
6 minutes ago, placeholder said:

Thanks for sharing with us your speculative fiction.

Anytime 👍

At least it's something different than what you always hear.

Everthing must grown , more people , more profit, more immigration, more more more.

 

 

Posted
21 hours ago, placeholder said:

The overall population dropped by 550,000 from the previous year to 123.8 million in 2024, extending the streak of declines to 14 years, according to data as of October 2024 released Monday by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. The number of Japanese nationals alone declined by 898,000, the steepest fall since comparable records began in 1950...

The number of people aged 15 to 64 — the core of the labor force — fell by 224,000 to 73.7 million, intensifying the fiscal strain on a nation already carrying the highest debt-to-GDP ratio among developed economies.

https://archive.ph/dJWMn#selection-1755.181-1759.27

 

In other words, it was thanks to immigration that the population didn't fall further.

For a population in developed nations to remain stable, ,the fertility rate needs to be 2.1. In the United States the fertility rate was 1.62 in 2023, the last year that rates are available for.

image.png.7550a5ab361053ee06bf44762a8bb96f.png

https://crr.bc.edu/the-u-s-fertility-rates-is-falling-is-there-anything-we-can-do/

 

Without lots of immigration who is going to fill all those promised new manufacturing jobs?

 

The are where they face most dire  workforce shortage: it is the retail and food & beverage sector.

If you travel to Japan now, you will see quite a few foreigners working for their convenience stores and casual gourmet diners(low end establishments).

Without such foreign inputs, they can no longer maintain their services.

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