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1.1 Million AIDS Patients In Thailand


Jai Dee

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1.1 million AIDS patients in Thailand

The Director-General of the Disease Control Department, Dr. Thawat Suntrajarn (ธวัช สุนทราจารย์), says Thailand has more than 1.1 million AIDS patients, and 560, 000 of them have died. In the past, 140,000 people contracted AIDS annually, but over the last three years, the figure has dwindled to just 14,000.

However, Dr. Thawat says he is concerned that more and more housewives and teenagers over 13 years of age have become the victims of this deadly sexually transmitted disease. He says the Disease Control Department is cooperating with the Ministry of Social Development and Human Security, the Ministry of Education and the Ministry of Interior together with private organizations to carry out Anti-AIDS campaign by providing knowledge of the disease as well as safe sex.

Dr. Thawat says the next International AIDS Conference will be held in Mexico City this year. He says Thailand is looking to gain valuable experience and knowledge on AIDS from this event, and they will be applied in the country.

Source: Thai National News Bureau Public Relations Department - 03 January 2008

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So that's around 500-600K people currently I suppose.. So that must include also people just living with hiv, right? Then you get about 3% of the population, which I think is still on the high side.

600k out of a population of 65 million is less then 1%. :o

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I read it as HAS 1.1 million, not HAD. 560,000 died previously. His definitions are also not clear. HIV is not the same as AIDS. AIDS is the later stages of HIV after the disease reaches certain criteria to consider it AIDS. So is he using a broad brush and painting all HIV victims as AIDS patients or has he failed to count the HIV patients? I think he is just grouping them all the same which is not accurate. One can also be assured there thousands of other undiagnosed or unreported cases.

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I suspect these statistics are seriously skewed by sheer incompetence.

Two years ago a family member died. She developed a serious headache

went to hospital and was dead within hours.

Now I am no expert, but that sounds like a stroke?

No autopsy was done.

As she was HIV positive her death certificate read AIDS..... :o

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The statistics are also skewed the other way. I know people who have AIDS, but died of something else and that's how it was reported. They were diagnosed in Bangkok, returned to their home province and since they weren't on medication, they contracted a disease and died.

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Several astute observations made by you folks about the values reported.

I disagree wih the actual numbers cited and believe that they have been sanitized by political necessity to reassure both the general public and the important tourist trade. Rather than offer my own estimates, I will stick with the UN numbers and provide the actual estimates from the 2007 UN document;

II. HIV AND AIDS ESTIMATES

Number of people living with HIV 580 000 [330 000 – 920 000]

Adults aged 15 to 49 HIV prevalence rate 1.4 [0.7 – 2.1]%

Adults aged 15 and up living with HIV 560 000 [320 000 – 900 000]

Women aged 15 and up living with HIV 220 000 [100 000 – 370 000]

Deaths due to AIDS 21 000 [14 000 – 42 000]

GENERALIZED EPIDEMICS

Children aged 0 to 14 living with HIV 16 000 [5400 – 38 000]

The real indicators are the numbers in brackets. I think it is a fair opinion to state that since there is no concerted effort to identify those that are sero positive (i.e. easily accessible free testing throughout the country) the numbers are significantly under reported. As such the numbers at the high end of the range are more reflective of the reality.However, the embarrassing detail left out of the press statement is the following;

National Programmes

Percentage of pregnant women receiving treatment to reduce mother-to-child transmission 30.6

Percentage of HIV-infected women and men receiving antiretroviral therapy 60.0%

The above means that of the 70% of pregnant women not receiving treatment almost 100% of those births will be HIV+. The easiest and cheapest way to prevent HIV is to deal with it prior to birth. Today, there is no excuse for there to be a large number of HIV+ non sexually active children.

Although there is nothing overtly false in the press reports, the impression provided can be misleading and inappropriate.

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The statistics are also skewed the other way. I know people who have AIDS, but died of something else and that's how it was reported. They were diagnosed in Bangkok, returned to their home province and since they weren't on medication, they contracted a disease and died.

Actually that is correct. One does not die of AIDS. It is Auto Immune Deficiency, which means one's body cannot ward off what they call opportunistic diseases. A person dies from the disease that they contracted and the body could not fight. AIDS related death is usually the western way of describing it. AIDS is not what kills, it is the subsequent disease one contracts that usually is the actual cause.

CD4 blood count is the usual way of measuring the progression of AIDS or how one responds to medication. I have heard from medical people here that once a Thai's CD4 reaches an extremely low number, the government will cease subsidizing medication and treatment. They feel the final result is inevitable and it is better to save money and treat those that haven't reached such low levels and are still likely to respond to treatment/medication.

Edited by silverhawk_usa
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I will stick with the UN numbers and provide the actual estimates from the 2007 UN document;

II. HIV AND AIDS ESTIMATES

Number of people living with HIV 580 000 [330 000 – 920 000]

Adults aged 15 to 49 HIV prevalence rate 1.4 [0.7 – 2.1]%

Adults aged 15 and up living with HIV 560 000 [320 000 – 900 000]

Women aged 15 and up living with HIV 220 000 [100 000 – 370 000]

Deaths due to AIDS 21 000 [14 000 – 42 000]

GENERALIZED EPIDEMICS

Children aged 0 to 14 living with HIV 16 000 [5400 – 38 000]

I am sorry the spread in those UN figures are so wide as to lack any credence.

Wild guesses at the best. :o

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I suspect these statistics are seriously skewed by sheer incompetence.

Two years ago a family member died. She developed a serious headache

went to hospital and was dead within hours.

Now I am no expert, but that sounds like a stroke?

No autopsy was done.

As she was HIV positive her death certificate read AIDS..... :o

My g/f's brother in law (32 years old) was "deathly ill", went to a hospital, was given medication and sent home. He died 2 hours later. No autopsy, no mal-practice suite, but plenty of mourning.

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The figures are questionable in my opinion, just look at the headline which is misleading in itself.

Flies in the face of global data too; that's odd for Thailand :o

http://www.latimes.com/news/science/la-sci...=la-home-center.

Also reported on BBC, and in The Times UK. in similar style.

The figure has dropped dramatically this year, because the UN introduced different methods. So what were they doing before???????? :D

Notice how an expert commentator seems to think their will be yet more revisions - downwards that is.

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