How Long Will Pm-abhisit Last ?

[Ricardo]

Thailand has a new Prime Minister, love him or hate him, agree or not with the way he has come to power, so it is time for the usual Poll, as to how long we expect him to stay in the job.

[duncaw]

I don't see him being disqualified from politics like the previous few incumbents but I'd be surprised if there wasn't another election within about a year.

A few more dry days during the next high season to encourage the tourists back.

[Mintman]

I think that if this Goverment does not get it right Then the Military will step in and that is how it will stay,No point in going round in circles,You must have stability if you want to survive in this Global Economy,Good luck Thailand Hope you can make it.......

Edited December 16, 2008 by Mintman

[britmaveric]

Democrats could face dissolution: EC

http://www.bangkokpost.com/breaking_news/b...s.php?id=135426

[Colonel_Mustard]

Democrats could face dissolution: EC

http://www.bangkokpost.com/breaking_news/b...s.php?id=135426

Very much doubt it will happen but would make me chuckle a bit if it did.

I voted 12 months but expect him to last nearer 18 months, after which he will suffer a heavy defeat at the next election.

[Scott]

Wow, I voted one-month, but I think 3 months is a better bet. I, however, am really quite glad to see so many people being optimistic about him making for a long time. (My vote is based soley on pessimism over the way things have gone in the past)!

[TEFLMike]

I voted 1 Year. Why? A 'gut' feeling.

[grandpops]

There is an article on here somewhere where his mum says she is worried about him.

He certainly looks worried.

RESIGN!!!

[JetsetBkk]

Wow, I voted one-month, but I think 3 months is a better bet...

I voted 6 months, but also think 3 months is a better bet.

I don't see the red-shirts being happy with a new PM and new government without a general election.

[warriors]

This government is the military backed government and the invisable higher power that we are not allowed to mention on this site by name.

I voted 6 months but he may make it to 12 month.

Happy Christmas all

[barryofthailand]

Hopefully this government can unite the country. Thailand needs a smart prime minister that is corruption free.

Barry

[Scott]

The BKK Post today says he is planning on continuing some of the populist policies started by Thaksin, so that may give him a boost. The wealth in the country needs to be a little more evenly distributed.

The overall economics of the country, however, may cause the most dissatisfaction and could cause a lot of changes in people's opinions (not only here, but pretty much everywhere).

[Crushdepth]

I'll give the new coalition 6 months before the wheels fall off due to infighting and money-induced defections from the Shinawatra clan. Economically, he's coming in at a very bad time too. Not a good time to be making 'big promises'.

[geriatrickid]

6 months, although I expect the fun to start after 3 months, just after high season.

He could be the nicest guy in the world, but I still expect people to start looking to cause problems.

[Plus]

If (or rather when) he starts consitutional amendments there will be no reason to hold elections until it's over, so I voted a year.

He might be forced down before that due to political infighting but I don't see any popular support to disrupt his govt work, especially if const reform is under way.

Despite cries of a silent coup he's not going to work for the generals or whoever, and those people do not have their hidden agenda like Thaksin had.

People can only protest against his policies but bad policies alone had NEVER forced the govt down here. People do not care too much about them, and they are not very different from whatever PTP would propose anyway. Basically a non-issue, not enough to force people on the streets.

Basically, reds have no real cause to rally around.

[WinnieTheKhwai]

If he truly is as decent a guy as some people say he is then he should call elections sooner rather than later and get is own mandate..

That's assuming a lot though. (that he's both decent AND not a coward.)

Also, perhaps he feels that with the roses and holding hands with Newin he's already got a man-date?

Edited December 17, 2008 by WinnieTheKhwai

[britmaveric]

Hopefully this government can unite the country. Thailand needs a smart prime minister that is corruption free.

Barry

Unfortunately this PM isn't smart and is corrupt as the rest of them.

[Crushdepth]

If he truly is as decent a guy as some people say he is then he should call elections sooner rather than later and get is own mandate.

He already has a mandate, as do all (remaining!) elected members of parliament. The present coalition government is just as valid as the last coalition government. PPP never had a majority either.

[Koo82]

I think that if this Goverment does not get it right Then the Military will step in and that is how it will stay,No point in going round in circles,You must have stability if you want to survive in this Global Economy,Good luck Thailand Hope you can make it.......

The red's main goal is to fight with Army coups. They will lie in front of tanks and Army will need to kill about 50,000 to 100,000 reds if they want to make a coup. When the illegal PAD was protesting, the reds had watched closely whether tanks would have been run into town. They would have blocked tanks.

However there was a coup by another name already so the handsome Ab- is now PM.

Other parties going up? No big problem as they still can fight in politics.

[Koo82]

I'll give the new coalition 6 months before the wheels fall off due to infighting and money-induced defections from the Shinawatra clan. Economically, he's coming in at a very bad time too. Not a good time to be making 'big promises'.

Only this time he could sneak in. The law the Anti-Thaksin side made cut out members so PTP did not have enough voice on 15 Dec.

He can never make it the regular way like Khun Thaksin.