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Lacessit
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Everything posted by Lacessit
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This city boy worked for 6 years in Port Hedland for Goldsworthy Mining. It was a small mine compared to Hamersley and Mt. Newman; however, also the most profitable because its' operating costs were lower. I've also seen a farmer plant canola on marginal land, and make a good profit. When his neighbors tried to imitate him the next year, their crops failed.
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Relevance? That model is projected to be GBP 100,000, or 4.4 million baht. How many people can afford that?
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That's not what someone else posted. Perhaps you could post accurate information on sales, then. My post is relevant in terms of how long it will take for EV's to replace ICE's. Show me where my facts and math are wrong on that point.
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Actually, that observation has me wondering why EV sales are falling. Perhaps you could explain the phenomenon.
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It's also the operating cost of the mine. The orebodies with richer content keep going, the ones with low grades are put on care and maintenance. It happens with gold all the time. Now let's take JBChiangRai's 30-40 million tonnes of lithium in the ground, the American find. I'll put it at the upper level, 40 million. Dig it up in one hit, process into lithium overnight. Then manufacture 666,666,666 EV's from it next week. Guess what? You've still only replaced 50% of the world's ICE's.
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Read my post above to KhunLA. Then tell me how long it will take for that find to come on stream. The industry average is 5-7 years.
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I am citing what was mined and processed into lithium metal in 2023. Or rather, the projected tonnage for last year. In 2022, it was 130,000 tonnes. Reserves in the ground don't mean much until they are dug up and refined. You think existing mines can magically expand to ten times their current output? Because that's what they need to do if you want to replace every ICE in the next 50 years.
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Given where you are going, a reputation for reliability should be #1 on your list of needs.
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I am no music expert, I just know what I like listening to.
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It's not a fact the current world lithium supply is 170,000 tonnes? It's not a fact the average EV battery requires 60 kg of lithium? It's not a fact the number of vehicles worldwide is 1.47 billion? Do you have a problem with basic math? What alternative facts are you going to post? Noted you have not posted any data on JAC and BYD EV's equipped with sodium ion batteries. I don't think I'll bother responding any further to someone who has such a closed mind.
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It takes about a minute to pull up the data I posted, on Google. Look for yourself. If one was to increase the amount of lithium mined tenfold overnight, one would increase the EV annual replacement rate of ICE's from 0.2% to 2%. If you are so fixated on citations, kindly post how many JAC and BYD cars are made with sodium -ion batteries. Don't forget to mention their relatively low energy density, which means the batteries are bulkier and heavier. If you want to refute the data and calculations I posted, be my guest. I'd say your response is more an emotional one, to unpalatable facts.
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Have you listened to the riff he plays in "Too much love will kill you"? IMO it's up with the best.
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Better if you go for the heart, you might hit something then. Sorry, can't resist when someone leads with their chin.
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You want facts, here are some: Market share of EV's is about 14% of new sales worldwide. ICE's are still 86%. PROJECTED tonnage of lithium mined in 2023 is 170,000 tonnes. On average, each EV takes about 60 kg of lithium to build the battery. Teslas take a fair bit more. Therefore, there was enough lithium to build 2.9 million EV's in 2023. The world population of cars is 1.47 billion. I am using the convention of 1 billion = 1000 million. In 2023, new EV's ( assuming they were all sold ) replaced existing ICE's by 0.2%. Which is why I am ridiculing the claim EV's will replace ICE's. It will probably take 50 years, assuming hydrogen does not get a start. Toyota seems to think it will.
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I'm to blame because you are too lazy to spellcheck/proofread what you write? It's a matter of simple calculation of the amount of lithium currently being mined, and estimated proved reserves, to arrive at a 20% figure. Which I have said is probably generous. You are happy with what you have, so am I. Calling me ignorant is ignorant in itself.
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You obviously understand very little about technology development. An extraction technology is first demonstrated at Princeton University on a laboratory scale, and wins a prize. Be still my fluttering heart. The next step is a pilot plant, to prove the technology can be scaled up with an acceptable loss of efficiency. After exhaustive analysis, funding is found to build a full scale production plant. How long do you think this process will take? My bet is on 7 - 10 years. How many of those plants are needed to completely replace ICE's? Science and technology are full of blind alleys. Laboratory yield and performance have a bad habit of declining when exposed to commercial reality. The latest example is Carbon Capture and Storage ( CCS ). There is not a single plant on the planet that is operating to specification. It's a hoax. Please do go on, you occasionally post interesting stuff.
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Interesting you should use the term heresy, it is normally applied by religious adherents. When you use the terms silly and ignorant, it is an ad hominem attack. Quite commonly employed by people who can't debate issues honestly. You are wrong about people not wanting ICE's, When EV's can only replace about 20% of existing ICE's, they will want them because there is no alternative. What facts do you have indicating my 20% figure is incorrect?
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Any depreciating asset is a bad investment, that's Investing 101. How many km did you have on the Swift? IMO CVT transmissions make for faster depreciation. I don't know whether EV's are good or bad investments. They haven't been around long enough to make that determination. My 2006 Vios has depreciated by about 15,000 baht/year since I bought it about 8 years ago. Has not missed a beat, and I still see a lot of those on Thai roads.
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IIRC it is the anesthesia which makes the procedures so expensive. It is possible to have an endoscopy without anesthesia. My GF had one that way, IMO it was very uncomfortable for her. There is no reason a colonoscopy cannot be done in isolation. IMO the hospital is trying to make as much profit as possible. Unless there are symptoms or a convincing family history, endoscopies and colonoscopies are usually recommended every five years. I would suggest PM'g Sheryl for more qualified advice.
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C33H36N4O6
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You don't get it at all, and I am not going to enlighten a troll any further.
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The OP is sick and alone, perhaps you could use an empathy transplant yourself. I've tried to offer useful advice, which is more than I can say for you. I tend to agree with him, some posters take a nasty pill first thing in the morning.
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Paxlovid is commonly used for COVID in the first few days, reducing serious illness by about 88%. I am currently taking Aciclovir as a prophylactic against infection, as I am on a regime of other meds which suppress my immune system. Sorry, I don't have time to waste educating you further.
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It's not often I see advice on ASEAN that might kill another poster.
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Brian May. George Harrison. Glen Campbell. Glenn Frey.