Thailand announces 109 new COVID-19 cases, total cases now 1,245

[john69]

1 hour ago, spidermike007 said:

This remains an incredibly low number, considering the millions of Chinese people who were crowded about in Thailand in January. And if those people were infected, and mixing with the general population, and if we were going to see an explosion in cases, like alot of fear mongering officials are saying, it would have happened already. Sorry to disappoint. But, it will not grow to alarming numbers here. I anticipate it leveling off at 5,000 cases or less. Granted, I could be wrong. This is simply my personal estimate, partly based on some evidence that heat seems to decimate this virus, and the fact that it seems to thrive in temperatures of 35-67 degrees F. There is some science to back up this assertion. If this was going to become an alarming situation, it would have happened already. 100 new cases a day is nothing. We are seeing 10,000 plus in the US.

 

 

My thoughts entirely. It's remarkable, and strange it has not gotten more media (global) attention.

[cyril sneer]

26 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

China is now experiencing a second wave of infections....the circle of the virus has returned.  Lets hope its not with a vengeance

 

https://www.nydailynews.com/coronavirus/ny-coronavirus-china-bans-most-foreign-travelers-20200326-ovj2nxapgja7bk2ytfdzz7zbza-story.html

it'll keep coming back stronger until everyone is wiped out

[DrTuner]

6719 pending results, a large jump upwards. Useless to publish confirmed cases when obviously the testing capacity is far below the influx of new cases, which themselves have already been restricted. I suspect the jump is now due to people who have developed severe pneumonia showing up at the hospitals.

[ThailandRyan]

3 minutes ago, DrTuner said:

6719 pending results, a large jump upwards. Useless to publish confirmed cases when obviously the testing capacity is far below the influx of new cases, which themselves have already been restricted. I suspect the jump is now due to people who have developed severe pneumonia showing up at the hospitals.

Former SIL, who is an RN in Udon, says the government hospitals are already packed..

[DrTuner]

2 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Former SIL, who is an RN in Udon, says the government hospitals are already packed..

Yes, but that's the usual case, they always were: https://www.krungsri.com/bank/getmedia/587ccdaa-91a8-4305-a86f-30ea43558f0b/IO_Private_Hospital_190624_EN_EX.aspx

 

The criteria to get recognized as PUI and get into the pending results queue is fairly strict:

https://ddc.moph.go.th/viralpneumonia/eng/file/guidelines/G_CPG_en.pdf

 

 

If you are a common somchai with a fever and a cough of unknown origin, no dice. You have to have had contact with the confirmed ones, been in another country or worked with tourists in a few areas to get in, or already have severe pneumonia.

 

My guess is the hike in pending results is due to category 4 people starting to show up at the hospitals. Next up, corridors filled with pneumonia patients.

 

Stay home, stay safe.

[JimGant]

9 minutes ago, JCP108 said:

- Countries with a higher average temperature than 23 degrees over the last three months; 484 deaths

- Countries with a lower average temperature than 23 degree over the last three months; 24,753‬ deaths

By golly, Watson, you've got it!!! Global warming is the answer to this coronavirus pandemic. Won't that put a turd in a certain Swedish teenager's punchbowl.

[justin case]

2 hours ago, Guderian said:

Kind of suspicious that it's been hovering around the hundred new cases mark every day for the last four or five days.

Still, a lot better than doubling every two or three days, thank Buddha.

already been proven that this 100 per day is illogic

 

but what is logic here , this is thailand

[Krataiboy]

1 hour ago, AlexRich said:

The US is testing thousands every day, hence the numbers. I’d guess that Thailand is not. I’d also guess that Thailand is not revealing the correct numbers and that deaths are being misdiagnosed. My guess is that your 5,000 cases is already here.

That's three guesses in one posting. Take some beating.

[JackGats]

Numbers of confirmed "cases" are not significant. What matters is the number of deaths (assuming that all deaths caused by flu-like infections are not diagnosed as coronavirus deaths as a matter of course). Sooner or later 80% of the world population will have been "cases".

[FarFlungFalang]

2 hours ago, Ireland32 said:

No Social DisTanning it’s all a big joke, sneaking around partying , people from Pattaya welcome back to Moobaan , hugging babies utterly   irresponsible 

Really?Hugging babies is irresponsible?Haven't you heard babies aren't dying from covid19.They die more from the flu than covid19.Why not practice the same stupid measures to stop 400,000 people each and every year dying from the flu or don't you care about all the children and adults that die from the flu?Flu victims are not worthy even if many are babies. 

Edited March 28, 2020 by FarFlungFalang

[DrTuner]

58 minutes ago, DavisH said:

This is why a lockdown is a problem....it must continue for months. 

No, not necessarily, but the longer you wait, the longer the lockdown, and if you wait too long, it's useless, you're going for herd immunity and high body count.

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56

 

Because of the utter incompetence of the usurpers, Thailand is now proceeding towards the end of it's "golden window" and will soon be at the stage where it won't matter anymore, the epidemic will run it's course and 3-4% will die. And yet nobody will lift a hand and get rid of them. Maibpenrai on steroids.

 

The SEIR model: http://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html . Try moving the intervention marker.

Edited March 28, 2020 by DrTuner

[metempsychotic]

1 hour ago, ThailandRyan said:

EGGZACTLY>>>>>>

and so once again we reiterate the obvious. 

[scubascuba3]

1 hour ago, AlexRich said:

The US is testing thousands every day, hence the numbers. I’d guess that Thailand is not. I’d also guess that Thailand is not revealing the correct numbers and that deaths are being misdiagnosed. My guess is that your 5,000 cases is already here.

100% of Thailand cases seem to end up in hospital, experts say maybe 20% are ending up in hospital so this means most cases are not being diagnosed so 100%\20% x 1,245 cases = 6,225 is approx the real number

Edited March 28, 2020 by scubascuba3

[SpanishExpat]

Seriously...who cares about the infected people? In Europe more and more people are just focusing on the deaths. That`s the important number on which you can base statistics. 

It`s obvious that TH doesn`t have the resources for mass testing, that`s why the increase is linear with more ore less 100 cases per day.

[Eibot]

30 minutes ago, JCP108 said:

You're mistaking correlation with causality. It might be true that the correlation you describe is accurate. But, to say that it means that climate/temperature/humidity have a severe impact in the way you imply might not be accurate. What if it were the case that the countries in that temperature zone were also the countries with problems testing and reporting cases? That would produce the same skew in the data. 

I would think it's the only logical conclusion you can make from the data. Saying that Australia, Brazil and Israel and Argentina all have common testing and reporting problems doesn't make sense. There is not a warm country pulling the average extremely up or down. All have comparable low cases with low deaths. A lot of warm countries have very early cases as well but it never broke out. 

 

I find this conclusion more logical than saying that their is a collective lack of testing in warmer countries. 

[AlexRich]

21 minutes ago, Krataiboy said:

That's three guesses in one posting. Take some beating.

Still beats three brain cells.

[spidermike007]

1 hour ago, 473geo said:

Well lets see now.......if a virus spread cannot be contained, and is rising at a rate that could be alarming, what would be the best way to give the impression a government was in full control, while the prevention methods suggest paddling like fleeing duck?

I do not buy your line of reasoning. I am as much, or more suspicious of the lame army as anyone. But, while we held steady at 100-200 cases for the longest time, they have been freely reporting 100 or so new cases a day. So, I do not buy into the coverup. It is a near nothing burger here. 1300 cases is next to nothing. 

[Eibot]

26 minutes ago, JimGant said:

By golly, Watson, you've got it!!! Global warming is the answer to this coronavirus pandemic. Won't that put a turd in a certain Swedish teenager's punchbowl.

Haha. 

 

The worst thing about it all, is that TRUMP (of all people) might have been right...JIKES.

[AlexRich]

8 minutes ago, scubascuba3 said:

100% of Thailand cases seem to end up in hospital, experts say maybe 20% are ending up in hospital so this means most cases are not being diagnosed so 100%\20% x 1,245 cases = 6,225 is approx the real number

I suspect that the real number today is much higher, given time lag factors between contracting and presenting at hospital, as well as Government number manipulation.

[tropo]

9 minutes ago, JackGats said:

Numbers of confirmed "cases" are not significant. What matters is the number of deaths (assuming that all deaths caused by flu-like infections are not diagnosed as coronavirus deaths as a matter of course). Sooner or later 80% of the world population will have been "cases".

Coronavirus infection has always been present in the elderly population. (5 - 15% of all respiratory viruses are coronaviruses). The problem now is that if they test positive to covid-19, that is immediately assigned as the cause of death and thereby exaggerating the mortality rate of covid-19.

 

These 2 videos will shed light on the real truth of this pandemic. I know you're thinking... just more bs theories, but take the time to read them (original language German) and it will all make sense. This lockdown and resultant destruction of the world economy is the absolute worst direction that could have been taken. Unfortunately it might be too late to save the world economy.

 

When Prof. Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi (an infectious disease specialist) was asked for his opinion on the current measures being taken around the world, his answer was (translated from German): "they are grotesque, absurd and very dangerous".

 

I won't post the videos directly, but they are in this article along with more enlightening information from 12 infectious disease experts.

 

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/12-experts-question-covid-19-panic

 

 

 

 

[DrTuner]

12 minutes ago, JCP108 said:

Green areas are full of countries that are testing patients and, therefore, showing higher numbers of cases. Countries that aren't testing or don't have open and free press are in the orange and red parts. The data is skewed due to that regardless of the heat/temp factor. 

Funny thing innit, colder countries seem to be more developed. I guess when you can't swing in a hammock all day waiting for the ripe mango to drop to your mouth but have to run away from hunting polar bears does wonders to natural selection and brain development.

[yokat]

According to the official situation report the backlog is growing very fast. Between March 26 and March 27 where they announced 91 new confirmed cases this is how it changed:

Positive 1046 -> 1136 (+90)

Negative 8406 -> 8618 (+212)

Awaiting results 5841 -> 6719 (+878)

 

https://ddc.moph.go.th/viralpneumonia/file/situation/situation-no83-260363.pdf

https://ddc.moph.go.th/viralpneumonia/file/situation/situation-no84-270363.pdf

[Eibot]

14 minutes ago, JCP108 said:

Green areas are full of countries that are testing patients and, therefore, showing higher numbers of cases. Countries that aren't testing or don't have open and free press are in the orange and red parts. The data is skewed due to that regardless of the heat/temp factor. 

So it's all just coincidence then? Orange countries the hospitals are running full but it's collectively under-reported? Comon. 

 

 

[realfunster]

1 hour ago, ThailandRyan said:

China is now experiencing a second wave of infections....the circle of the virus has returned.  Lets hope its not with a vengeance

 

https://www.nydailynews.com/coronavirus/ny-coronavirus-china-bans-most-foreign-travelers-20200326-ovj2nxapgja7bk2ytfdzz7zbza-story.html

 

Your statement ‘China is now experiencing a second wave’ bears zero correlation to the article you linked to....

 

[473geo]

11 minutes ago, spidermike007 said:

I do not buy your line of reasoning. I am as much, or more suspicious of the lame army as anyone. But, while we held steady at 100-200 cases for the longest time, they have been freely reporting 100 or so new cases a day. So, I do not buy into the coverup. It is a near nothing burger here. 1300 cases is next to nothing. 

You are of course welcome to believe your own rhetoric, it is possible however that those aware of the draconian measures in place in some countries for negative statements on public media would perhaps disagree.

[Isaan sailor]

Comorbidity makes it easy for governments to hide numbers.  If someone dies from Coronavirus but also has asthma—any government could conveniently record it as an asthma death.  And if you have few test kits—you would have that tendency. 

Likewise, in Thailand, if someone has a motorcycle accident, taken to a hospital, and dies there—it’s not recorded as a road death.

[Dumbastheycome]

1 hour ago, ThailandRyan said:

China is now experiencing a second wave of infections....the circle of the virus has returned.  Lets hope its not with a vengeance

 

https://www.nydailynews.com/coronavirus/ny-coronavirus-china-bans-most-foreign-travelers-20200326-ovj2nxapgja7bk2ytfdzz7zbza-story.html

China's "new  wave" if it happens is because of complacency over the risk that  "arrivals" carrying it may  re- seed communities and  undo the result of previous measures.

Which is not at all the impression some have or are suggesting.

[marko kok prong]

I hope this does not mean i should turn off the air con.

[SaamBaht]

It must be the weather here. Even if the government is not testing the masses, you would have ERs all over the country swamped with pneumonia cases if the situation was much worse than what it is. 

[metisdead]

 

 

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