Thailand reports 3,382 new COVID-19 cases, 17 more deaths

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

MoPH updates Sunday show how Thailand is faring versus world countries and its regional peer countries in terms of total COVID cases since the start of the pandemic. Thailand now ranks 88th among more than 200 countries based on its total numbers of reported COVID cases.

 

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/330792088539122

Edited May 23, 2021 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[placeholder]

Just now, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

MoPH updates Sunday show how Thailand is faring versus world countries and its regional peer countries in terms of total COVID cases since the start of the pandemic. Thailand now ranks 88th among more than 200 countries based on its total numbers of reported COVID cases.

 

 

 

 

It's useful to keep in mind that there are a lot of impoverished smaller nations that don't really have a public health reporting system. So they shouldn't be included in the rankings.

[ThailandRyan]

2 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

MoPH updates Sunday show how Thailand is faring versus world countries and its regional peer countries in terms of total COVID cases since the start of the pandemic. Thailand now ranks 88th among more than 200 countries based on its total numbers of reported COVID cases.

 

 

 

 

Moving on upwards as far as the total daily cases gathering steam and propelling them upwards into rankings they do not want to be.  I pray that the indian variant and now the South African variant don't spread as fast as they have elsewhere as we are also in unvaccinated territory here with just a small % vaccinated. 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Graphic below shows the daily trends in new COVID cases during the past week for (in order listed on the three lines below) Thailand's daily number of domestic cases, and the subsets of Bangkok province's daily cases and new cases from prisons nationwide.

 

Bangkok's case count dropped markedly from Saturday to Sunday, as did the number of new cases being reported from the nation's prisons. But those declines were more than offset by increases in other provinces including the large factory outbreak in Phetchaburi province.

 

 

Here, in addition, are the past week's daily COVID case totals from Phetchaburi province, with 1,405 new cases reported there in the past two days.

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/330792088539122

 

Edited May 23, 2021 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[Bkk Brian]

Overall active case finding positivity rates:

23rd May: 9.05%

22 May: 9.08%

20 May: 7.21%

19th May: 7.04%

18th May: 6.98%

Edited May 23, 2021 by Bkk Brian

[ourmanflint]

A month after this wave of COVID officially peaked, the numbers just keep getting bigger and bigger, and clusters are popping up with increased frequency and magnitude.

The virus seems to be doing exactly what some of us thought, spread quietly until numbers surge uniformly across the general population. 
This next month is going to be critical, the last month was the quiet before the storm
 

 

[placeholder]

1 minute ago, ourmanflint said:

A month after this wave of COVID officially peaked, the numbers just keep getting bigger and bigger, and clusters are popping up with increased frequency and magnitude.

The virus seems to be doing exactly what some of us thought, spread quietly until numbers surge uniformly across the general population. 
This next month is going to be critical, the last month was the quiet before the storm
 

 

While the numbers may be increasing, deaths haven't been. So the increase may just be a statistical artefact due to increased testing.

[Bkk Brian]

5 minutes ago, placeholder said:

While the numbers may be increasing, deaths haven't been. So the increase may just be a statistical artefact due to increased testing.

Time lag for deaths?

[ThailandRyan]

7 minutes ago, placeholder said:

While the numbers may be increasing, deaths haven't been. So the increase may just be a statistical artefact due to increased testing.

Increased testing?  You mean testing where the clusters have popped up.  They sure as hell have not increased testing to a mass level outside of known areas. Most cases are being found based upon walk-ins, and cluster testing, nothing more.  Can you show where the increased testing's being done in a random fashion, and in which areas that have not had any cases yet.  This is needed in order for them to get ahead of the spread, it would be nice to see that information if you have it.

[placeholder]

1 minute ago, ThailandRyan said:

Increased testing?  You mean testing where the clusters have popped up.  They sure as hell have not increased testing to a mass level outside of known areas. Most cases are being found based upon walk-ins, and cluster testing, nothing more.  Can you show where the increased testing's being done in a random fashion, and in which areas that have not had any cases yet.  This is needed in order for them to get ahead of the spread, it would be nice to see that information if you have it.

Well, just the fact that they're going after clusters shows they're doing increased testing. And the plateau that deaths have currently attained is a far better indicator, though a lagging one.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

This is the growing list of COVID outbreak cluster cases that the MoPH reported on Sunday. Only the first two on the list are in Bangkok, while all of the remainder are in outlying provinces, including the largest number of 942 associated with the Phetchaburi factory outbreak that has spread to other areas.

 

 

The same worsening trend is shown by the following chart, which tallies the growing numbers of COVID case clusters, those considered under control (green) and those not yet under control (brown). The gray bar shows the number of regions affected by the clusters:

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/330792088539122

 

Edited May 23, 2021 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[anchadian]

Procurement of Pfizer, Moderna, J&J urged to cope with South African strain

 

A senior doctor, at Siriraj Centre of Research Excellence Management, is urging the government to procure the Pfizer, Moderna and Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccines quickly, in preparation for the possible spread of the South African variant in southern Thailand.

 

Dr. Manop Pithukpakorn said in a Facebook yesterday (Saturday) that the Pfizer and, probably, the Moderna vaccines have shown to be the most effective against the South African strain, with 75% efficacy, followed by Johnson & Johnson at 66% and Novavax, 60.1%.

 

He noted that both AstraZeneca and Sinovac, the two main vaccines in use in the country, are ineffective against the South African variant, with the efficacy of AstraZeneca being shown to drop to just 10.4%.

 

https://www.thaipbsworld.com/procurement-of-pfizer-moderna-jj-urged-to-cope-with-south-african-strain/

 

[Bkk Brian]

1 minute ago, anchadian said:

Procurement of Pfizer, Moderna, J&J urged to cope with South African strain

 

A senior doctor, at Siriraj Centre of Research Excellence Management, is urging the government to procure the Pfizer, Moderna and Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccines quickly, in preparation for the possible spread of the South African variant in southern Thailand.

 

Dr. Manop Pithukpakorn said in a Facebook yesterday (Saturday) that the Pfizer and, probably, the Moderna vaccines have shown to be the most effective against the South African strain, with 75% efficacy, followed by Johnson & Johnson at 66% and Novavax, 60.1%.

 

He noted that both AstraZeneca and Sinovac, the two main vaccines in use in the country, are ineffective against the South African variant, with the efficacy of AstraZeneca being shown to drop to just 10.4%.

 

https://www.thaipbsworld.com/procurement-of-pfizer-moderna-jj-urged-to-cope-with-south-african-strain/

 

Wise advice, even if this outbreak is contained its possible there will be others to come.

[ThailandRyan]

29 minutes ago, ourmanflint said:

A month after this wave of COVID officially peaked, the numbers just keep getting bigger and bigger, and clusters are popping up with increased frequency and magnitude.

The virus seems to be doing exactly what some of us thought, spread quietly until numbers surge uniformly across the general population. 
This next month is going to be critical, the last month was the quiet before the storm
 

 

Covid is unfortunately the gift the Chinese gave the world that still keeps on being given with new variants invading the countries.  Thailand is now looking at at least 4 types of Covid, well that's if the original version is still being found here.  The trifecta of UK, Indian, and now S. Africa variants is more than just a minor blip on the radar here.  It is a problem that can become a massive issue unless they can get ahead of it.  How should that be accomplished.  Hell I could only say test, and vaccinate, then isolate those areas where the virus is found.  Easier to start on a wide circle of an area and then shrink it down to get to the core issue.  If you start to small then you have already lost the containment.  Just my view as someone who worked setting up Cold Zones, Hot zones and Decontamination zones during hazardous material spills.  Go big or go home, and is why they have been locking down entire factories, housing locations, and construction camps.  Yet they need to be testing on the outside of those areas to ensure it does not squeeze out.

Edited May 23, 2021 by ThailandRyan

[dlclark97]

4 hours ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

Seven-day rolling average of new daily COVID cases and deaths in Thailand, updated through May 21.

 

 

 

 

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand?country=~THA#what-is-the-daily-number-of-confirmed-cases

 

 

The above charts say it all.  COVID is far from being under control.  Interesting to note the reported statistics earlier in this article never mentioned that there were 2922 new cases in the general population.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Sunday's province by province breakdown showed an increase to five provinces (Bangkok, Phetchaburi, Samut Prakan, Nonthaburi and Chachoengsao) reporting more than 100 new COVID cases for the day, which is a marked expansion of what normally has been two to three such provinces in the past.

 

 

 

Province by province totals for Sunday, May 23:

 

 

 

Province by province totals for Saturday, May 22:

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/nbtworld/posts/10158034302697050

 

 

Edited May 23, 2021 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

6 minutes ago, dlclark97 said:

The above charts say it all.  COVID is far from being under control.  Interesting to note the reported statistics earlier in this article never mentioned that there were 2922 new cases in the general population.

 

That 2,922 record case count is the lead detail in my first post in this thread.

 

[Danderman123]

24 minutes ago, placeholder said:

Well, just the fact that they're going after clusters shows they're doing increased testing. And the plateau that deaths have currently attained is a far better indicator, though a lagging one.

Deaths lag new infections by up to 3 weeks.

[Danderman123]

57 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

MoPH graphic showing the 2,922 general population new COVID cases reported Sunday is the highest single day tally of its kind since the start of the pandemic.

 

The general population tally includes all self-referred cases (shown in  blue) and cases found through outreach testing (shown in yellow). It excludes only the prison population cases shown below in gray, which have been sporadically reported.

 

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/330792088539122

The takeaway from this chart is that the number of hospital walk in cases declined over the last 24 hours. Is this the beginning of a trend, or a one day blip?

[Macrohistory]

Unfortunately, the Apple Mobility indicators for Bangkok have leveled off or even begun rising again, and the same for the Google Mobility indicators for all of Thailand (see attached PDFs).  Clearly, with cases outside of prisons still gradually rising, there is too much interpersonal interaction going on among strangers to bring the situation under control.

2021-05-19_TH_Mobility_Report_en.pdf COVID‑19 - Mobility Trends Reports - Apple.pdf

[Bkk Brian]

7 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

The takeaway from this chart is that the number of hospital walk in cases declined over the last 24 hours. Is this the beginning of a trend, or a one day blip?

What do you think?

[ikke1959]

1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

You may be confusing persons under investigation with actual infected people. 

 

The actual numbers of infected in Phetchaburi is mucher smaller:

 

https://thethaiger.com/coronavirus/covid-19-outbreak-in-phetchaburi-factory-of-682-employees

yes indeed but the Thai local news reports different...there are in Kao Yoi 1690 positive cases . and the Burmese have to leave to go to the factory where they sleep now in tents on the factory compound. Thai people are in the hospital. The village were the most Burmese live is desolated. There are a few thousand cases who still waiting for the test result 

[bluedoc]

5 hours ago, dinsdale said:

2,922 outside in the community. This is the highest yet but still seems low with all the factory, domortory, workers compounds and cluster infections which didn't seem to be in previous days numbers

There is no testing out in the general population. If you test a certain number of people every day then you get a similar number of positives each day. If you double the testing, you will double the positives. If you treble the testing, etc, etc it’s a simple equation controlled by the government.

[anchadian]

437 more COVID-19 cases found in Phetchaburi factory

 

437 more COVID-19 infections have been found connected to the Cal-Comp Electronics factory in Phetchaburi province, bringing the total in the cluster to 2,111 so far, according to local authorities.

 

The factory was closed on Friday, for two weeks, after 682 employees tested positive. The new cases have been found through the active screening of other employees, said Phetchaburi provincial health chief Dr. Petcharuek Tansawat yesterday. 

 

Of all the cases in the cluster, 781 are Thai workers, while 1,330 others are migrant workers. The former have been admitted to hospital, while the latter have been sent to a field hospital within the factory compound. Those considered at high-risk, but are asymptomatic, are to be quarantined, he added.

 

https://www.thaipbsworld.com/437-more-covid-19-cases-found-in-phetchaburi-factory/

 

[ikke1959]

2 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

You may be confusing persons under investigation with actual infected people. 

 

The actual numbers of infected in Phetchaburi is mucher smaller:

 

https://thethaiger.com/coronavirus/covid-19-outbreak-in-phetchaburi-factory-of-682-employees

Bangkok today 983, Phetchaburi 968... You can find it at the newspaper that is not allowed on this site

[Bkk Brian]

Todays English CCSA briefing

 

 

[wensiensheng]

1 hour ago, dinsdale said:

So zero proactive testing outside of known clusters and prisons or zero cases found through proactive testing outside of prisons or known clusters. 

Seems they have their hands full without going proactive

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

3 hours ago, anchadian said:

The national vaccination rollout starts on 7th June. This is one such hospital in #Bangkok that will be vaccinating expats for free with AstraZeneca. This is the registration form: Here is their FB page: https://facebook.com/vimuthospital (h/t @NatapanuN)

 

Registration form:

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfln7kF-iUdJXAu8s30gjkko7hG1CMZUkPt9C_wb8RwHG9mRA/viewform

 

 

 

https://twitter.com/RichardBarrow/status/1396302521002434567

 

 

 

 

I tried it, the signup process worked fine and was easy to complete...

 

A couple of added notes:

 

--During the government news briefing today, the government spokeswoman said those signing up via this route in Bangkok "could" be vaccinated on the day of the appointment date they will be given, if there are sufficient vaccine supplies that day. Otherwise, after registering, they will be given a ticket to return on a subsequent date.

 

--Vimut Hospital had a prior Thai language post where they talked about conditions that would prevent a person from being vaccinated, at least without prior clearance from a doctor.

The list via English translation included:

 

"Diseases that shouldn't be vaccinated with COVID-19

Chronic disease is uncontrollable. Must consult a doctor first, such as cardiovascular disease, heart disease, neuropathy, immune system, easily bleeding, acute sickness.

First 12 weeks pregnant woman or breastfeeding

People under the age of 18

Those who receive plasma transfusion

Covid-19 detected in the last 10 days before vaccination day."

 

https://www.facebook.com/vimuthospital/posts/178131974219372

 

Here's where Vimut Hospital is located:

 

[ThailandRyan]

19 minutes ago, wensiensheng said:

Seems they have their hands full without going proactive

Yes true Clucking Clusters popping up and cases within the factories growing exponentially, yes I used the word, sorry.  Looks like this is just continuing on in a very similar pattern from factory, to work camp to market much like the Samut Sakhon cluster did.  Except now it is wide spread.  They best be testing all factories and large markets throughout the country and in every province, but that's just me being me and my tests test mantra I have been whining on and on about as a supposed doomsayer, yes I used that word as well.  Oh well it is a Sunday, had my early morning run today, empty streets in Bangkok, and now sitting and chilling trying to make a decision on whether I make a flight out to the US to get vaccinated there and then return in another 6 weeks afterwards....tough decision.  Sure as hell hate to test positive before I fly out and be stuck in quarantine here first......

Edited May 23, 2021 by ThailandRyan

[dinsdale]

Rubbery figures guys. Now seeing elsewhere 978 positives in Petchaburi and most of these from the Cal-Comp factory which if I'm not mistaken yesterday they were saying >1k. Numbers are being buried believe or not is up to you. Hope I'm wrong but I don't trust this lot as far as I could kick them.