Popular Post Social Media Posted November 3, 2023 Popular Post Posted November 3, 2023 A majority of the British public now hold positive views about the impact of immigration on the UK, despite intense political rhetoric surrounding the issue, according to an academic survey. The European Social Survey, which has sampled attitudes every two years since 2001, said British views on immigration and its economic and cultural impact had undergone “a complete about-turn” over the past two decades, becoming significantly more favourable after 2016. The survey asked people to rank out of 10 whether immigration was bad or good for the economy, whether cultural life was undermined or enriched, and whether it made the country a better or worse place to live, with 10 being the most positive. The latest poll, for 2022, shows that for the first time a majority of respondents thought immigration was very positive for the UK economy (59% ranking between seven and 10), enriched the country’s cultural life (58%), and made the country a better place to live (56%). In 2002 just 17% were very positive about the economic benefits, 33% thought it was culturally enriching, and 20% thought it made the UK a better place to live (2016: 44%, 46% and 39%). Although the government has pledged to reduce immigration, and MPs regularly claim curbing the net inflow of migrants is a critical issue for UK voters, the survey suggests public attitudes have evolved significantly in recent years and are far more positive than politicians assume. FULL STORY 1 12
Popular Post JonnyF Posted November 3, 2023 Popular Post Posted November 3, 2023 I wonder where this survey was done? If I had to guess I'd say a broad section of the UK population living in Islington, Tower Hamlets, Newham and Waltham Forest.😃 London is certainly beautifully diverse these days. Marvellous. In fact, it looks so beautiful I might give up my life here and go back... Who needs beaches, islands, temples, forests when you could return to rampant knife crime and enjoy this scenic view during your Sunday afternoon shop? 2 2 2 2
Popular Post Chomper Higgot Posted November 3, 2023 Popular Post Posted November 3, 2023 (edited) 6 minutes ago, JonnyF said: I wonder where this survey was done? If I had to guess I'd say a broad section of the UK population living in Islington, Tower Hamlets, Newham and Waltham Forest.😃 London is certainly beautifully diverse these days. Marvellous. In fact, it looks so beautiful I might give up my life here and go back... Who needs beaches, islands, temples, forests when you could return to rampant knife crime and enjoy this scenic view during your Sunday afternoon shop? You might be right Jonny, there’s alway that slim possibility. I think the Tories are hoping you are right too as they bang on about immigration and neglect the NHS, the cost of living crisis, the housing crisis and the collapse of public services. Edited November 3, 2023 by Chomper Higgot 2 2 1
Popular Post Denim Posted November 3, 2023 Popular Post Posted November 3, 2023 9 minutes ago, JonnyF said: I wonder where this survey was done? Bradford ? Southall ? 1 6
Popular Post JonnyF Posted November 3, 2023 Popular Post Posted November 3, 2023 24 minutes ago, Chomper Higgot said: You might be right Jonny, there’s alway that slim possibility. I think the Tories are hoping you are right too as they bang on about immigration and neglect the NHS, the cost of living crisis, the housing crisis and the collapse of public services. Of course, rampant immigration has nothing to do with increased strain on the NHS, the police, housing etc. Because the millions of people that migrated to the UK in the last 5 years don't use healthcare, public services, schools etc. In fact, they're so magical they don't even need houses to live in, they just float around the ether, enriching the lives of the locals with their (mostly) peaceful diversity. 😆 1 1 1 2
Popular Post Chomper Higgot Posted November 3, 2023 Popular Post Posted November 3, 2023 Just now, JonnyF said: Of course, rampant immigration has nothing to do with increased strain on the NHS, the police, housing etc. Because the millions of people that migrated to the UK in the last 5 years don't use healthcare, public services, schools etc. In fact, they're so magical they don't even need houses to live in, they just float around the ether, enriching the lives of the locals with their (mostly) peaceful diversity. 😆 You need to take that up with the Government and those other snake oil salesmen who you believed when they promised to control immigration and send immigrants back, or done such fairytale nonsense. I hear the UK has ‘taken back control’. You’ve obviously not been in an NHS hospital lately, nearly all the staff are immigrants. Perhaps someone should have been building houses, schools (that don’t fall down) that kind of thing. Meanwhile, it looks like the public aren’t buying the Government’s continuing anti immigrant propaganda. Maybe they have more pressing concerns that the Government are unwilling or unable to deal with…. Not that they’ve been dealing with immigration. 3 1 1 1 2
candide Posted November 3, 2023 Posted November 3, 2023 (edited) 6 hours ago, JonnyF said: I wonder where this survey was done? If I had to guess I'd say a broad section of the UK population living in Islington, Tower Hamlets, Newham and Waltham Forest.😃 London is certainly beautifully diverse these days. Marvellous. In fact, it looks so beautiful I might give up my life here and go back... Who needs beaches, islands, temples, forests when you could return to rampant knife crime and enjoy this scenic view during your Sunday afternoon shop? Same methodology as previous survey waves which showed a less positive attitude. BTW, you can check everything about the methodology and data, as It's all open data on their website. https://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/ For example for UK, here is their sampling methodology. Sampling procedure Probability: Multistage Sampling Frame: Postcode Address File (small users), which is a list of addresses to which the Royal Mail delivers mail, excluding “large users”, which are generally businesses. Sampling Design: A 4-stage design. At the first stage, 391 postcode sectors are selected as PSUs, with probability proportional to number of addresses, within strata formed by 12 regions and using systematic random sampling after sorting within regions by a combination of the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD), percentage of households privately renting and percentage of pensioners. At the second stage, 15 addresses are selected by systematic random sampling within each PSU. The third stage applies only at addresses that contain more than one dwelling and consists of a random selection of up to three dwellings. Finally, one person is selected at each dwelling using a Kish grid procedure. Geographical Unit: North East (England), North West (England), Yorkshire and the Humber, East Midlands (England), West Midlands (England), East of England, London, South East (England), South West (England), Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland Edited November 3, 2023 by candide 1 1
impulse Posted November 3, 2023 Posted November 3, 2023 (edited) Did they compare the favorability of a well run immigration program of vetting, visas, and favoring those with skills in demand, versus letting just anyone come floating across in a boat with no clue who they are, where they come from, or what they believe? I know very few people who don't favor immigration. On both sides of the Atlantic Pond. Just not the way it's being done. Edited November 3, 2023 by impulse 1
Chomper Higgot Posted November 3, 2023 Posted November 3, 2023 1 hour ago, impulse said: Did they compare the favorability of a well run immigration program of vetting, visas, and favoring those with skills in demand, versus letting just anyone come floating across in a boat with no clue who they are, where they come from, or what they believe? I know very few people who don't favor immigration. On both sides of the Atlantic Pond. Just not the way it's being done. Having taken back control, they surely favour the Government managing the UK’s borders. Though oddly, when the Government have paved immigration and some silly ‘stop the boats’ slogan front and center of their policies they’ve lost badly in the polls. Maybe the Government and the rightwing press are messaging on the wrong concern. 2
impulse Posted November 3, 2023 Posted November 3, 2023 1 hour ago, Chomper Higgot said: Though oddly, when the Government have paved immigration and some silly ‘stop the boats’ slogan front and center of their policies they’ve lost badly in the polls. That's because a significant segment of the population conflates "Stop the boats" with "No more freebies for anyone". Not hard to understand, since unfettered immigration comes from the same folks that brought us the perpetual welfare state. If you want the freebies to keep flowing, you gotta vote for guys who also want to let the immigrants keep rowing. 2
sirineou Posted November 3, 2023 Posted November 3, 2023 Why is it that surveys that support one's bias are always done properly and the ones that opposed, have to have something wrong with them? 2
Chomper Higgot Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 2 hours ago, impulse said: That's because a significant segment of the population conflates "Stop the boats" with "No more freebies for anyone". Not hard to understand, since unfettered immigration comes from the same folks that brought us the perpetual welfare state. If you want the freebies to keep flowing, you gotta vote for guys who also want to let the immigrants keep rowing. You need to review immigration per year v party in Government, since you mention ‘rowing’ take a close look at small boat arrivals v party in power. 2 1
nauseus Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 On 11/3/2023 at 8:59 AM, Denim said: Bradford ? Southall ? Brussels? 1 1
Chris Daley Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 (edited) It depends where you do the survey. In London you will get positive minded well-educated people. In Kent they will make a ring of salt and talk to you via a mirror. Edited November 4, 2023 by Chris Daley
nauseus Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 34 minutes ago, Chris Daley said: It depends where you do the survey. In London you will get positive minded well-educated people. In Kent they will make a ring of salt and talk to you via a mirror. The topic mentions "most British people" so a broad, nationwide poll is necessary, with many more than 1100 bods.
richard_smith237 Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 I wonder how Gottfid & GOAT are going to shoehorn a Brit-bash out of this thread !!! Personally, in over two decades I’ve not had a negative experience with Immigration in Thailand… I don’t expect the immi officers on arrival to be overtly welcoming, neither do I expect them to be impolite - simple indifference is the experience & I’m fine with that. I world like better longevity options & less hoop jumping for long termers… Its easier for my Wife to get a British passport than I a Thai passport (impossible for me as I don’t work here). 1 1
Popular Post Chomper Higgot Posted November 4, 2023 Popular Post Posted November 4, 2023 1 hour ago, nauseus said: The topic mentions "most British people" so a broad, nationwide poll is necessary, with many more than 1100 bods. So you missed the class on statistical sampling. I do agree though, a handful of expats in Thailand don’t make a representative sample. 1 2
nauseus Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 (edited) 2 hours ago, Chomper Higgot said: So you missed the class on statistical sampling. I do agree though, a handful of expats in Thailand don’t make a representative sample. Yes, must have. Where is it? And why should I believe it? What have expats in Thailand got to do with it? Edited November 4, 2023 by nauseus 2
placeholder Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 (edited) 50 minutes ago, nauseus said: Yes, must have. Where is it? And why should I believe it? What have expats in Thailand got to do with it? Here's a brief introductory link. https://archive.ph/2vSbE And you should believe it because virtually all science and major businesses depends on statistics. Here's a better explanation: https://www.checkmarket.com/kb/calculate-optimal-sample-size-survey/ Edited November 4, 2023 by placeholder 2
RayC Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 5 hours ago, nauseus said: Brussels? Brussels is now part of the UK?
nauseus Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 1 hour ago, placeholder said: Here's a brief introductory link. https://archive.ph/2vSbE And you should believe it because virtually all science and major businesses depends on statistics. Here's a better explanation: https://www.checkmarket.com/kb/calculate-optimal-sample-size-survey/ Neither of the above are formal statistical "classes" taught by a respected educational institution and science certainly does not 'depend' on statistics alone. But both are liable to bias (political, economic, or both) or other error. Major businesses use statistical data but, judging by some recent expensive losses, if stats have been sought and used to determine marketing strategies, there seems to be plenty of backfiring recently. Perhaps these methods are flawed?
nauseus Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 40 minutes ago, RayC said: Brussels is now part of the UK? Exactly. Why does this European Social Survey even count? I can't even find the relevant report.
candide Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 On 11/3/2023 at 9:00 AM, candide said: Same methodology as previous survey waves which showed a less positive attitude. BTW, you can check everything about the methodology and data, as It's all open data on their website. https://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/ For example for UK, here is their sampling methodology. Sampling procedure Probability: Multistage Sampling Frame: Postcode Address File (small users), which is a list of addresses to which the Royal Mail delivers mail, excluding “large users”, which are generally businesses. Sampling Design: A 4-stage design. At the first stage, 391 postcode sectors are selected as PSUs, with probability proportional to number of addresses, within strata formed by 12 regions and using systematic random sampling after sorting within regions by a combination of the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD), percentage of households privately renting and percentage of pensioners. At the second stage, 15 addresses are selected by systematic random sampling within each PSU. The third stage applies only at addresses that contain more than one dwelling and consists of a random selection of up to three dwellings. Finally, one person is selected at each dwelling using a Kish grid procedure. Geographical Unit: North East (England), North West (England), Yorkshire and the Humber, East Midlands (England), West Midlands (England), East of England, London, South East (England), South West (England), Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland 53 minutes ago, nauseus said: Exactly. Why does this European Social Survey even count? I can't even find the relevant report. Apparently, the last survey is still not online. I have posted the methodology of the previous survey in UK, which is likely similar. Let us know if you have some critics about this methodology.
nauseus Posted November 4, 2023 Posted November 4, 2023 27 minutes ago, candide said: Apparently, the last survey is still not online. I have posted the methodology of the previous survey in UK, which is likely similar. Let us know if you have some critics about this methodology. I already did. 2
Popular Post RayC Posted November 4, 2023 Popular Post Posted November 4, 2023 5 hours ago, nauseus said: Exactly. Why does this European Social Survey even count? I can't even find the relevant report. Exactly what? Your use of the word "Brussels" is (still) very cryptic? If you are suggesting that the ESS is an EU project then that is incorrect. It's a survey which covers 40 European countries. The purpose and objectives of the ESS can be found here https://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/about-ess 3
Popular Post RayC Posted November 4, 2023 Popular Post Posted November 4, 2023 4 hours ago, nauseus said: I already did. What alternative, less flawed, methodology would you suggest be adopted to reduce bias and error? 3
nauseus Posted November 5, 2023 Posted November 5, 2023 10 hours ago, RayC said: Exactly what? Your use of the word "Brussels" is (still) very cryptic? If you are suggesting that the ESS is an EU project then that is incorrect. It's a survey which covers 40 European countries. The purpose and objectives of the ESS can be found here https://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/about-ess No, I'm not suggesting that the ESS is an EU project. But why does is the ESS needed? I've been to the site - that's where I couldn't find the poll report - useless.
nauseus Posted November 5, 2023 Posted November 5, 2023 10 hours ago, RayC said: What alternative, less flawed, methodology would you suggest be adopted to reduce bias and error? Hard to say without having access to the report.
RayC Posted November 5, 2023 Posted November 5, 2023 52 minutes ago, nauseus said: No, I'm not suggesting that the ESS is an EU project. OK but I guess that your use of the word, "Brussels" will have to remain a mystery to me 52 minutes ago, nauseus said: But why does is the ESS needed? The purpose and objectives of the ESS are detailed in the link which I posted previously. Whether it is needed/ worthwhile is obviously a matter of opinion. 52 minutes ago, nauseus said: I've been to the site - that's where I couldn't find the poll report - useless. Send them a message. Maybe they can send you a copy and/or confirm when the report will be uploaded to the site. 2
RayC Posted November 5, 2023 Posted November 5, 2023 57 minutes ago, nauseus said: Hard to say without having access to the report. Then why do you think that the report may be biased and/or the methodology flawed? The methodology from Round 10 (the last survey in 2020) is available in full on the site. I doubt that it has changed much for the latest round although, of course, that is an assumption.
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