snoop1130 Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 The Commerce Ministry of Thailand announced today that the country’s inflation rate has dipped for the first time in 25 months, primarily due to a drop in energy and food prices. This development is attributed to the government’s support measures. The consumer price index (CPI) noted a 0.31% reduction in October, compared to the same period last year. This contrasted with a 0.3% year-on-year increase in the previous month. The data matched the forecasted 0.0% for October, as predicted in a Reuters poll. Meanwhile, the core CPI for October escalated by 0.66% from the same period last year. Interestingly, the headline inflation remained below the central bank’s target range of 1% to 3% for six months in succession. The first ten months of the year saw the headline CPI rise by an average of 1.60% from the same period a year earlier, while the core CPI increased by 1.41%. Despite these numbers, the ministry maintains its projection for the headline inflation ranging between 1.0% and 1.7% for this year. In an unforeseen move in September, the Bank of Thailand’s monetary policy committee escalated the key interest rate by a quarter point to 2.50%, marking the highest in the past decade. The committee justified this hike stating that they expect growth and inflation rate to surge in the coming year. By Alex Morgan Caption: Photo: glassmanwealth.com Full story: The Thaiger 2023-11-06 - Cigna offers a range of visa-compliant plans that meet the minimum requirement of medical treatment, including COVID-19, up to THB 3m. For more information on all expat health insurance plans click here. Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post spidermike007 Posted November 6, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted November 6, 2023 These official statistics do not really mean much to the average person, what we're concerned about is are the products and services that we are regularly buying and paying for leveling off in price? Or are they continuing to rise? So far I am seeing the latter, I will believe the report when prices level off or start dropping. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isaan sailor Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 Adjustable loan rates have spiked with the rise in interest at Bank of Thailand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Mike Lister Posted November 6, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted November 6, 2023 48% of the economy comprises grey income that is unreported and untaxed. Nobody knows what the true rate of inflation is because it can't be accurately measured. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sirineou Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 19 minutes ago, Mike Lister said: 48% of the economy comprises grey income that is unreported and untaxed. Nobody knows what the true rate of inflation is because it can't be accurately measured. I agree But the gray market existed before also , so it affected the rate before as it affects it now. So if there is a change between the two admittedly faulty numbers . then the rate has changed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Mike Lister Posted November 6, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted November 6, 2023 3 minutes ago, sirineou said: I agree But the gray market existed before also , so it affected the rate before as it affects it now. So if there is a change between the two admittedly faulty numbers . then the rate has changed. I agree that both halves of the economy, the known and the unknown parts, will likely have moved in tandem. The problem is, when inflation is measured it only uses data from 50% of the economy, price inflation in the other half might be 15% for all we know and judging by some of the quotes for cash in hand work that we've had recently, it probably is. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sirineou Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 1 minute ago, Mike Lister said: I agree that both halves of the economy, the known and the unknown parts, will likely have moved in tandem. The problem is, when inflation is measured it only uses data from 50% of the economy, price inflation in the other half might be 15% for all we know and judging by some of the quotes for cash in hand work that we've had recently, it probably is. Sure , the true inflation rate is always suspect. It also concerns the basket of goods, they use to determine the inflation rate, and the percentage value that is assigned for each Inflation rates are so easily manipulated that they are meaningless to the average person. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post hotchilli Posted November 6, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted November 6, 2023 11 hours ago, snoop1130 said: The Commerce Ministry of Thailand announced today that the country’s inflation rate has dipped for the first time in 25 months, primarily due to a drop in energy and food prices. Can't say I've noticed that? I saw them go up, and they're still up/ 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sirineou Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 9 minutes ago, hotchilli said: Can't say I've noticed that? I saw them go up, and they're still up/ It is not that prices will ever go down. The tare of inflation is the rate by which thet go up, They are now going up by a slower rate , but still going up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post BoganInParasite Posted November 6, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted November 6, 2023 Not seeing any indication of price reductions in the supermarkets. Everytime I notice a price change it is always up, and seemingly beyond official inflation rate. Been this way for several years now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CartagenaWarlock Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 1 hour ago, spidermike007 said: hese official statistics do not really mean much to the average person, what we're concerned about is are the products and services that we are regularly buying and paying for leveling off in price? Or are they continuing to rise? So far I am seeing the latter, I will believe the report when prices level off or start dropping. THese reports are not meant for people who have fled 10,000 miles to seek and live like a refuge in a foreign land, possibly using a "wify visa", at the mercy of IOs. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
koolkarl Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 Why doesn't the government publish exactly how they calculate this rate? And are the components exactly the same as prior reports? There is incredible inflation in Thailand and deflation is needed to get prices back to where they were originally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfd101 Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 The price of brunch at PTT here in Prasat - eg larb & papaya salad - hasn't changed in the 6.5 years we've been living here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freeworld Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, koolkarl said: Why doesn't the government publish exactly how they calculate this rate? And are the components exactly the same as prior reports? There is incredible inflation in Thailand and deflation is needed to get prices back to where they were originally. I think they have a basket of goods and monitor that. Its easy to be manipulated since they can just go around somewhere else to find the cheapest price of an item and plug that into their basket. Voila magic inflation goes down. Edited November 7, 2023 by freeworld Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bamnutsak Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 13 hours ago, snoop1130 said: primarily due to a drop in energy and food prices. Given that the government is subsidizing, and/or setting price caps, electricity, diesel fuel, and a basket of 51 items (extended through June 2024), it is not surprising that some measures of inflation are level or declining. Thailand cabinet extends control on price of 51 goods and services by another year The list covers essential items for daily use such as food; consumer products; farm products like fertilisers, pesticides; construction materials; paper; petroleum; and medicines. https://asianews.network/thailand-cabinet-extends-control-on-price-of-51-goods-and-services-by-another-year/ Bit of a fight now on sugar pricing fixing... https://thethaiger.com/news/business/sugar-prices-clampdown-thai-government-enforces-caps-amid-production-cost-hike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike Lister Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, koolkarl said: Why doesn't the government publish exactly how they calculate this rate? And are the components exactly the same as prior reports? There is incredible inflation in Thailand and deflation is needed to get prices back to where they were originally. Here ya go, have at it: https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/bispap08k.pdf https://www.bot.or.th/content/dam/bot/documents/th/research-and-publications/seminars/symposium/2543/2543paper4.pdf Be warned, there'll be a quiz later. Edited November 7, 2023 by Mike Lister Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KhunLA Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 did they hire the same people that calculate the USA's Soc Sec COLA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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