Harris chickens out of extra debates

[Will B Good]

Just now, maesariang said:

You have no facts. They make estimates then later correct them. All estimates are wrong. Within 10% is ok. 30% is a massive error.

 

Some estimates must be correct just on the balance of probabilities.

[Will B Good]

Just now, maesariang said:

Be more happy with a better economy. Your posts are weird.

 

 

Too kind.....does that mean I could become a Trumpette?

[mdr224]

2 minutes ago, Will B Good said:

 

 

Wanting my kids to be happy???

You probably dont even know whats best for your own country at this point what makes you think your opinion matters on american politics

[Will B Good]

Just now, mdr224 said:

You probably dont even know whats best for your own country at this point what makes you think your opinion matters on american politics

 

Not too fussed to be honest..........not lived there since 1993.

[maesariang]

1 minute ago, Will B Good said:

 

Some estimates must be correct just on the balance of probabilities.

Show me show then 

[maesariang]

Just now, Will B Good said:

 

Not too fussed to be honest..........not lived there since 1993.

Isaan people often lose touch with the real world.

[Hanaguma]

11 minutes ago, Will B Good said:

 

Depression, suicidal thoughts?

 

Two of my kids are married to US citizens.....I want them to be happy.

...and if Trump wins, they WILL be happy.  Low inflation, interest rates coming down, fewer foreign entanglements, fewer illegals crossing the border.  Much like the first Trump term.  

[Dan O]

6 minutes ago, maesariang said:

You have no facts. They make estimates then later correct them. All estimates are wrong. Within 10% is ok. 30% is a massive error.

Why are they called estimates?

[Dan O]

2 minutes ago, Hanaguma said:

...and if Trump wins, they WILL be happy.  Low inflation, interest rates coming down, fewer foreign entanglements, fewer illegals crossing the border.  Much like the first Trump term.  

You are delusional. 

[Will B Good]

7 minutes ago, maesariang said:

Show me show then 

 

You show me your link for the 'coward running away and cancelling three debates' and I'll show you mine.

[Cameroni]

23 minutes ago, Will B Good said:

 

Some estimates must be correct just on the balance of probabilities.

 

If we're talking about polls, in 2012 polls suggested Mitt Romney's voters were more enthusiastic than Barack Obama voters. In the end Obama won.

 

In the case of Harris, she has the new candidate shine now, but it's almost guaranteed that closer to the election her likeability will fall. The Trump campaign has already pushed millions of advertising painting her as a left liberal, and as scrutiny of her voting record happens closer to the election her record will guarantee that her current poll numbers will fall.

 

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/14/kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-00174050

 

Harris' record, she actually wrongfully convicted an innocent man, helped to set a man free that later killed, all these things will come back to haunt her. As will her lack of credibility on the main issue, the economy.

 

I am not saying Trump will win for sure, however, this is a very close election and Harris' shiny new polls now don't mean a thing.

Edited August 23 by Cameroni

[Danderman123]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/?ex_cid=abcpromo

 

Harris is pulling away, while Trump is sinking.

[Danderman123]

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

 

Wait until the bounce from the convention is reflected in the polls.

[cjinchiangrai]

52 minutes ago, Will B Good said:

Wow another major endorsement for KH....

 

And to think the could have had Kid Rock and Ted Nugent instead. I'll happily stick with Beyonce and Taylor.

[mdr224]

23 minutes ago, maesariang said:

Isaan people often lose touch with the real world.

Not all of them want the world to burn like this guy though…hes what the english would refer to as a “nutter” i think

[cjinchiangrai]

Just now, Danderman123 said:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

 

Wait until the bounce from the convention is reflected in the polls.

 

Wait until the dive from the felony sentencing.

[Cameroni]

14 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

 

Wait until the bounce from the convention is reflected in the polls.

 

Sadly for Harris though, the election will be determined by undecided voters in the swing states.  The polls do not reflect how they will vote, so in terms of predicting the election these polls are of very little use.

[Danderman123]

Just now, Cameroni said:

 

Sadly for Harris though, the election will be determined by undecided voters in the swing states.  The polls do not reflect how they will vote, so in terms of predicting the election these polls are of very little use.

Actually, that is exactly how polls work, reflecting the consensus of voters at the time the poll is taken.

 

However, it is still a bit early and there is time for more movement, one way or another. I just don't see tired old Trump having anything left to change the narrative.

[mdr224]

5 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

Actually, that is exactly how polls work, reflecting the consensus of voters at the time the poll is taken.

 

However, it is still a bit early and there is time for more movement, one way or another. I just don't see tired old Trump having anything left to change the narrative.

Regular americans view trump as rational and the left as out of touch. No lefty polls will help your case

[Cameroni]

7 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

Actually, that is exactly how polls work, reflecting the consensus of voters at the time the poll is taken.

 

However, it is still a bit early and there is time for more movement, one way or another. I just don't see tired old Trump having anything left to change the narrative.

 

No it's not, polls cannot reflect how undecided voters in swing states will vote and they don't  claim to. But this election will be determined by undecided voters in swing states.

 

Hence, all these polls are of little value.

[Danderman123]

28 minutes ago, mdr224 said:

Regular americans view trump as rational and the left as out of touch. No lefty polls will help your case

And yet the polls disagree with your opinion.

 

 

[Danderman123]

26 minutes ago, Cameroni said:

 

No it's not, polls cannot reflect how undecided voters in swing states will vote and they don't  claim to. But this election will be determined by undecided voters in swing states.

 

Hence, all these polls are of little value.

Actually, the election will be determined by decided voters.

 

Undecided voters often don't vote.

 

Here's what you don't understand: when a candidate hits 50%, undecided voters are meaningless.

[Cameroni]

10 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

Actually, the election will be determined by decided voters.

 

Undecided voters often don't vote.

 

Here's what you don't understand: when a candidate hits 50%, undecided voters are meaningless.

No, it won't, the election will be determined by the undecided voters in the swing states.

 

Officials with the top pro-Harris super PAC said their polling “is much less rosy” than public surveys. Other Democratic pollsters noted that — even if their polling is right — Trump still maintains a lot of advantages.

 

There are plenty of warning signs hidden in the data: A poll commissioned by the Democratic messaging firm Navigator Research and unveiled during the convention showed Harris and Trump essentially tied across the swing-state map. 

“Every year, we’ve had different curveballs. This is a difficult industry,” said John Anzalone, who was the lead pollster on Biden’s 2020 campaign. “Something’s gonna happen in 2024. You and I, right now, don’t know what that is.”

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/22/democrat-pollsters-kamala-harris-00176065

 

Looks like the pollsters themselves are less confident than you, Danderman.

Edited August 23 by Cameroni

[Hanaguma]

21 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

Actually, the election will be determined by decided voters.

 

Undecided voters often don't vote.

 

Here's what you don't understand: when a candidate hits 50%, undecided voters are meaningless.

You keep posting national polling numbers. THose are meaningless.  At the moment, the Electoral College polls are very very tight. Wait until after Labor Day when people get back from vacation and the shine is off of both candidates. Then things will have more meaning. And hopefully by then Harris will have had at least some actual media exposure and questioning.

[Cameroni]

1 minute ago, Hanaguma said:

  At the moment, the Electoral College polls are very very tight. 

 

In the swing states Harris and Trump are tied, according to a democrat poll.

[Will B Good]

1 hour ago, Cameroni said:

she actually wrongfully convicted an innocent man, helped to set a man free that later killed, all these things will come back to haunt her.

 

You mean a jury did?

[Cameroni]

Just now, Will B Good said:

 

You mean a jury did?

When she was prosecutor.

 

She prosecuted an innocent man and led the jury to convict an innocent man.

[Will B Good]

2 minutes ago, Cameroni said:

When she was prosecutor.

 

She prosecuted an innocent man and led the jury to convict an innocent man.

 

 

So the jury?

[Cameroni]

5 minutes ago, Will B Good said:

 

 

So the jury?

At her direction. And why she thought she had the evidence to prosecute a man who was actually innocent, only she will know.

 

What's worse, she then battled tooth and nail to prevent new DNA evidence being admitted that would have exonerated Mr Cooper.

 

"I think a lawsplainer is in order about Harris' efforts as AG to prevent an appeals court from considering DNA evidence that would have exonerated a man on death row."

"Her office litigated aggressively against allowing that evidence to be considered in federal litigation to say his execution date.

 

https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-cooper-death-row-case-california-san-francisco-prosecutor-attorney-general-1929773

 

Edited August 23 by Cameroni

[georgegeorgia]

4 hours ago, Irish star said:

Your just Racist 

I wonder why your using a nationality to describe yourself?

Calling the pot kettle black